gpngc
01-02-2008, 01:23 AM
Any feedback (other than first-round QB-phobia-induced denial) would be appreciated...
01. MIA- Glenn Dorsey
So after a dismal 1-15 season, Bill Parcells and the Miami Dolphins are on the clock. With GM Randy Mueller gone, it will be interesting to see what other changes the Dolphins make. This is a team with many questions, from head coach to quarterback and all the way down the line. The good news, however, is that Parcells is well-known for being able to build from the bottom, which is exactly what he did when he took over in Dallas a few years ago. The Cowboys are now the one-seed in the NFC in large part because of Bill Parcells, who laid the foundation there when he was brought in. As far as the number one pick goes, I fully expect the Dolphins to look to move down. The unquestionable top two prospects in the draft are Darren McFadden and Glenn Dorsey, but neither would be a smart pick for the Dolphins. Why? Ronnie Brown was one of the best running-backs in the league before he got hurt, and it’s unlikely that the Dolphins would want to use two top-2 picks on running-backs in the last few years, especially with how easy it is to find a good HB later in the draft or even in free agency. Why not Dorsey? Well, here it becomes a bit tricky. Glenn Dorsey is a Warren-Sapp like talent who would excel in a 4-3 scheme at the UT position. A three-technique, Dorsey is NOT an ideal fit as a 3-4 NT or DE. With that said, however, the Dolphins could choose to run strictly a 4-3 rather than switching back-and-forth, which is what they’ve been doing. Overall, there are a bunch of defensive philosophical decisions that must be made before the Dolphins really consider Glenn Dorsey. If I had to guess now, I’d say they’d go with Dorsey, but this is without projecting trades, and assuming that the Dolphins don’t plan on using the 3-4 as much as they have been.
02. STL- Chris Long
It was a long year in St. Louis, as the Rams struggled on defense and suffered from a barrage of injuries on offense. Many are predicting a LT such as Jake Long here, but I just don’t see it. The Rams took Alex Barron in the first round a few years ago to not only play RT, but also to take over for Orlando Pace when he retires. Pace’s days as a Ram may be over but Barron should be able to take over at LT for the future. With that said, why take a RT at #2 overall, especially when you have one of the worst defenses in the NFL? Enter Chris Long, DE of Virginia, and son of NFL legend Howie Long. Long is beast of a prospect with a great motor and everything you look for in a franchise DE. He can get after the quarterback as well as play the run, and has enjoyed a fabulous career for the Cavaliers. As a senior, Long tallied 14 sacks which was good for third in the nation. In St. Louis, Long could step in and immediately improve a Rams defensive line that already has some talent, including DT Adam Carriker, and pass-rushing DE Leonard Little.
03. ATL*- Darren McFadden
Everyone knows what happened to the Falcons with Michael Vick and then Bobby Petrino, but it’s time to move forward. And if there’s ever a player who can help an organization move forward its Darren McFadden of Arkansas. Simply one of the best prospects in the last decade, McFadden has everything you look for in an explosive offensive weapon. He has incredible speed, a lethal stiff-arm, and can even throw the ball. McFadden can run inside, outside, and will even catch some passes. Sound familiar? The best comparison for D-Mac is probably NFL offensive rookie of the year Adrian Peterson. Because of their striking similarity, there is no chance that McFadden falls to seven this year like Peterson did last year. In fact, the only reason the Dolphins and Rams don’t take him is because they both already have their franchise running-backs. The Falcons do need a QB, but with McFadden on the board, that can wait. Jerious Norwood has a history of injury and Warrick Dunn is not player he once was, so the need is there. The one thing Falcons fans need to worry about is Oakland jumping them by winning the coin-flip scenario, or a team like the Raiders or Jets moving up to 1 or 2 to grab McFadden.
04. OAK*- Sedrick Ellis
JaMarcus Russell showed some promise in his first NFL start, including a rocket touchdown throw to Jerry Porter. The Raiders could use a big-time WR, but there probably isn’t one in this draft. Instead, they could look to help a struggling run defense, and DT Sedrick Ellis is one of the more unheralded elite prospects in this draft. Ellis is right behind Glenn Dorsey when it comes to DT’s, and he’d be a huge upgrade for the Raiders. A run-stuffer who can also get after the passer from the inside, Ellis recorded 8.5 sacks as a senior. Jake Long could also get some consideration here, but ultimately the defense needs to be addressed.
05. KC*- Jake Long
The Chiefs have a huge need at LT and Jake Long is the best LT prospect in the draft. Probably not as technically sound as Joe Thomas, Jake Long is still a great looking prospect with the potential to be a dominant force for years to come in Kansas City. A great run-blocker, Long could work on his footwork in pass protection to adjust to the speed of the pass-rushers in the NFL.
06. NYJ- Vernon Gholston
The Jets missed out on Darren McFadden thanks to a meaningless, and quite frankly, ugly, overtime win against the Chiefs in week 17. Dwayne Robertson played better at NT in the second half of the season, but the Jets didn’t generate enough of a pass-rush off the edge in their 3-4 scheme. Vernon Gholston of Ohio State is the perfect 3-4 OLB prospect for Eric Mangini and the Jets. A junior who will probably declare, Gholston had 13 sacks this season. In the Demarcus Ware/Shawne Merriman mold, Gholston could develop into a difference-maker at the next level, and would immediately be an upgrade over Victor Hobson in New York.
07. NE (SF)- James Laurinaitis
Apparently the 49ers thought they would be decent this year, and traded this pick during last year’s draft hoping they’d be a playoff contender. Needless to say, they were very, very, wrong. Now the 16-0 Patriots have the 7th overall pick in the draft, and the most likely scenario is that they move down. If they stay put however, look for the Pats to address their aging LB corps with a guy like James Laurinaitis, should he declare.
08. BAL- Malcolm Jenkins
Brian Billick is gone, so it will be interesting to see who the Ravens bring in to be their new head coach. Regardless of who it is, he’ll have a decision to make at QB where Kyle Boller was Billick’s guy, Steve McNair is 100 years old, and young Troy Smith showed signs in his limited action. If the Ravens like a guy like Matt Ryan or Brian Brohm, they could pull the trigger on a franchise QB here. In my opinion, having scouted Ryan and Brohm, this would be a mistake. Ultimately, I think the Ravens will pass on a potential franchise QB and go for their second greatest need, which is at CB, where they have questionable depth and two often-injured veterans in Chris McAllister and Samari Rolle. Malcolm Jenkins of Ohio State is a junior, but if he declares he’ll likely be the first CB off the board. Jenkins has good size and athleticism, and would be the next big-time first round Ohio State DB.
09. CIN- Dan Connor
Even with all that offensive talent, the Bengals struggled all year. Coaching changes must be made, and I expect they are coming soon. As for this pick, it’s pretty obvious they need to address the defense, and Dan Connor of Penn State is a solid LB prospect with a bright pro future. Connor could play inside or outside, and brings everything you look for in a leader on and off the field. As a senior, Connor recorded 145 tackles for Penn State.
10. NO- Keith Rivers
It was quite a disappointing season in New Orleans. Defensive help is on the way, as the Saints will look to improve at LB, DL, and in the secondary. In this projection, they go with a LB in Keith Rivers who has the talent to be a monster at the next level. A bit undersized, Rivers has the speed and athleticism to excel in the NFL and would be an upgrade at OLB for the Saints.
11. BUF- Malcolm Kelly
Dick Jauron did a pretty good job with his team this season, and Trent Edwards and Marshawn Lynch look like the future of the Buffalo Bills. However, in order to compete with the Patriots, the Bills still need to improve, specifically at CB and WR. In this projection, they go with arguably the top WR prospect in the nation, in junior Malcolm Kelly of Oklahoma. Kelly enjoyed a breakout year this season as freshman QB Sam Bradfords favorite target, catching 49 passes for 821 yards and 9 touchdowns. The Bills like Lee Evans, but lack a solid #2 WR. Kelly has the potential to be a special player at the next level, as he combines great size with good deep speed and most importantly, excellent hands.
12. DEN- Kenny Phillips
John Lynch is aging and Nick Ferguson could be upgraded, so safety is a need for the Broncos. If Kenny Phillips of Miami were to fall to Denver at 12, it is hard to picture them passing on him. Phillips is a spectacular physical specimen in the mold of the late, great Sean Taylor. It was sort of a down year for Phillips and the Hurricanes, but as a pro prospect, there is nothing this kid lacks. Size, speed, strength, tackling, big-play potential- it’s all there. Learning from Lynch would surely help as well.
13. CAR- Matt Ryan
The Panthers probably don’t want to take a QB here because they like Matt Moore and still view Jake Delhomme as their starter. However, with no big-time safety or TE on the board, the Panthers could start preparing for the future with QB Matt Ryan of Boston College. Some believe Ryan is a top-flight QB prospect worthy of a top ten pick. I just don’t see it. Ryan is a nice QB, but I don’t know if he’s the franchise player many are making him out to be. As a senior, Ryan had 31 touchdown passes, but also 19 interceptions. Not the best decision-maker, Ryan has a knack for extending the play using his feet, and can throw the ball well on the run. At Boston College, Ryan didn’t have a great receiving corps, so it will be interesting to see how he does with pro wideouts in the NFL.
14. CHI- Brian Brohm
There is no question that the Bears need a new QB after the Rex Grossman disaster. Brian Brohm of Louisville is a smart player with a lot of experience and great college production. The questions about him being a system QB will arise, but the film shows the kid has the skills to succeed in the NFL. He doesn’t have a rocket-arm, but Brohm can make all the throws and of all the QB’s in this draft has the best ability to read defenses. As a prospect, a good comparison might be Eli Manning in that he probably needs to be in the right system to succeed. The Bears, in my opinion, are a perfect fit because they’ll count on Brohm to make good decisions and rely on a strong defense and running-game.
15. DET- Mike Jenkins
After a strong start, the Lions faded away down the stretch and find themselves in the top half of the draft once again. With a need a CB, Mike Jenkins of South Florida makes sense here. Jenkins, arguably the top senior CB prospect in the draft, is as good a cover-guy as you’ll find in the country. Speedy, physical, and excellent in man-to-man coverage, Jenkins would immediately be an upgrade over Travis Fisher in Detroit.
16. ARZ- Derrick Harvey
The Cardinals quietly had a nice season, finishing at 8-8 under rookie head coach Ken Whisenhunt. Kurt Warner played well all year, which raises some questions about who will be the starter next year when Matt Leinart returns from injury. A good run-stopping team, the Cardinals are in need of a pass-rusher off the edge and Derrick Harvey is the perfect DE/OLB hybrid prospect for their defensive scheme. An opposing QB’s nightmare at Florida, Harvey sacked Ohio State QB Troy Smith three times in the BCS National Championship game as a sophomore. This year as a junior Harvey faced more double-teams and recorded just 6.5 sacks for the Gators. Should he declare, the versatile and athletic Harvey would likely be a first round pick.
17. MIN- DeSean Jackson
It looks like Adrian Peterson was a gigantic steal for the Vikings last year, so they’ll be under a lot of pressure to build on a great draft from a year ago. With a clear need at WR, DeSean Jackson of Cal would immediately give the Vikings a second homerun threat on offense. Teamed up with the young talented Sidney Rice, Jackson is the perfect complement, a smallish speedster with excellent open-field ability. Jackson is a Ted Ginn-like prospect who’s probably a bit more polished as a WR. A game-breaker, Jackson could go a lot higher than this come draft day, especially if he runs well in the 40.
18. HOU- Rashard Mendenhall
Like the Cardinals, the Texans quietly had a good season even with some issues at QB. Matt Schaub was ok when he was on the field, but he couldn’t stay healthy. Ahman Green was a complete bust in his first year in Houston, and is not getting any younger anyway. Help in the secondary could be on the way, but in this projection they go with HB Rashard Mendenhall of Illinois. Mendenhall had an excellent junior year at Illinois, helping his team to a 9-win season including a huge upset win over Ohio State. Mendenhall is a tough runner with good vision and adequate quickness, along with the ability to get yards after contact. This season he rushed for 1526 yards and 16 touchdowns to go along with two more touchdowns receiving.
19. PHI- Sam Baker
The Donovan McNabb situation is one that will be monitored throughout the offseason. Although he seemed quite content to stay with the Eagles after a week 17 win, there still is the possibility of a trade, especially considering the Kevin Kolb pick a year ago. With needs at safety and CB, the Eagles could look to trade up and make a play for a guy like Kenny Phillips. However, given the inability for their OT’s to stay healthy, along with the age of Jon Runyan, and the horrendous showing by Winston Justice, it might be time to address OT. Sam Baker of USC is a three-time all-American with everything you look for in a franchise LT. His strength is his footwork; as Baker is as technically sound in pass-protection as any prospect in this draft. Not a mauler, Baker could still add some bulk and improve his run-blocking, but is most likely a first-rounder, and could even go higher than this come April.
20. TB- Kentwan Balmer
The Bucs have a need at UT and Kentwan Balmer of North Carolina is one of the more underrated players in this draft. Quickness is a huge plus for Balmer, who can get in the backfield as quick as any defensive tackle in the nation. Balmer has a good motor and can get after the passer as well as stop the run, and would be a great addition to a defensive line with two young DE’s in Gaines Adams and Greg White.
21. WAS- Calais Campbell
It’s been a tough year in Washington after the tragic passing of star S Sean Taylor. The team has rallied behind coach Joe Gibbs and veteran backup Todd Collins and into the playoffs. Clinton Portis has been sensational down the stretch, and the team is playing inspired on defense. The Skins could still use some youth along the defensive line, and Calais Campbell of Miami is a top-notch DE prospect. Campbell didn’t have a dominant junior year with the Hurricanes, but is still considered a first-round possibility should he declare. Campbell combines great size with excellent athleticism and would immediately give the Skins a pass-rushing threat off the edge.
22. DAL (CLE)- Limas Sweed
This pick goes to Dallas from the Cleveland Browns. The Cowboys recently extended WR Patrick Crayton and have Terry Glenn and of course Terrell Owens on the roster. However, both Glenn and Owens are getting up there in age and Sam Hurd isn’t exactly a threat on the outside. With Tony Romo looking like the clear-cut future at QB for years to come, a WR to take over for T.O. when he starts slowing down might be an option with one of Dallas’ two first round picks. Enter Limas Sweed of Texas. Sweed is a beast of a WR, and although he missed much of his senior year with an injury, still has a good chance at the first round. At 6’5, 219, Sweed is a huge red-zone threat and a match-up nightmare for small DB’s.
23. SEA- Michael Oher
Shaun Alexander has clearly lost a step, but it’s hard to envision the Seahawks bringing in a first-round running-back here with all the money they have invested in Alexander. Beyond HB, the Seahawks have needs at TE, DT, and OG, and Michael Oher can play either OG or OT at the next level. Only a junior, Oher is still somewhat raw and not completely fundamentally sound. However, he possesses great strength and has the potential to grow into a dominant NFL lineman. The Seahawks could use his versatility by plugging him in at OG until Walter Jones retires, then moving him to OT.
24. PIT- Jeff Otah
With Marvel Smith struggling and Alan Faneca on his way out, the Steelers will likely need to take more than one offensive lineman in this draft. Jeff Otah of Pitt is a great OT prospect with a huge frame at over 340 pounds. Otah can be a mauler in the run game but has also shown flashes of being a fleet-footed blindside protector.
25. TEN- Adarius Bowman
Vince Young struggled a bit this season but still managed to get his Titans into the playoffs. Still lacking a true #1 WR, the Titans will likely address WR early in the draft. Adarius Bowman of Oklahoma State is a big play-making WR with good hands and strength. A good comparison might be a poor-mans Anquan Boldin with a bit more size and speed.
26. NYG- Ryan Clady
David Diehl has been exceptional this season at LT for the Giants, and the G-Men could clearly use a safety, CB, or OLB with this pick. However, with a guy like Ryan Clady on the board, perhaps the Giants would go with the best player available and take the potential franchise LT from Boise State. Clady has quick feet and decent strength and would be a great eventual replacement as Eli Manning’s blindside protector in New York.
27. SD- Erin Henderson
Give credit to Norv Turner. After a rocky start, he’s brought the Chargers to the top of the AFC West and into the playoffs for the second straight year. With Chris Chambers now on board, the Bolts might want to look at defense in the first round this year and ILB is a need. Erin Henderson of Maryland is a junior LB not many are talking about at this time in the draft process. Henderson, the brother of Minnesota Vikings LB E.J. Henderson, is a sideline-to-sideline player who is good in pursuit and has good toughness and speed. Not great at shedding blockers, the 6’3, 240-pound Henderson projects as an OLB or ILB at the next level and would fit in great in the Chargers 3-4 scheme. If he declares, Henderson could move up, as he is known for being quite a workout warrior for the Terps.
28. JAC- Lawrence Jackson
David Garrard had an amazing year in Jacksonville, as Fred Taylor, Maurice Jones-Drew, and a hard-hitting defense saved Jack Del Rio’s job. The one thing the Jaguars defense lacks is a dominant pass-rushing DE, and bringing in a guy like Lawrence Jackson of USC would help fill that void. Jackson had a great career at USC, including a senior year with 9.5 sacks. A beast off the edge, Jackson also plays the run well at around 270 pounds for the Trojans.
29. GB- Aqib Talib
Brett Favre is at it again. The Packers came out of nowhere to the top of the NFC, and have a legitimate shot at the Super Bowl. An improved defense along with some big-play young guys in Ryan Grant and Greg Jennings, and Mike McCarthy and the Packers are champions of the NFC North. As for needs going into next year, the Pack could use some depth behind Al Harris and Charles Woodson at CB, and a guy like Aqib Talib of Kansas would be a great addition. Talib is one of the top cover-men in the nation and has NFL skills, as he accounted for 4 interceptions this season, returning one for a touchdown. Talib also played some snaps at WR, and scored four touchdowns on only eight catches. A playmaker, Talib could develop into a starting CB at the next level, and will immensely help his stock if he runs well in the postseason.
30. SF (IND)- Quentin Groves
This pick goes to the Niners from the Colts. With a need at OLB, the Niners could use a guy like Quentin Groves of Auburn. Groves had 9.5 sacks a junior and only 3 this season, but is an ideal candidate for a 3-4 OLB. At about 6’3, 255, Groves has the size and speed to excel off the edge at the next level. Tully Banta-Cain hasn’t lived up to expectations in San Francisco, as they need playmakers on both sides of the ball.
31. DAL- Terrell Thomas
Beyond Anthony Henry and Terence Newman, the Cowboys lack quality depth at CB. Terrell Thomas of USC is an experienced player with great ball-skills and good toughness. A scrappy player, Thomas will go for the strip while tackling, and would make a great nickel-back and special teamer early in his career for a team like Dallas.
32. NE- FORFEITED
33. MIA- Antoine Cason
34. STL- Ali Highsmith
35. ATL*- Andre Woodson
36. OAK*- Early Doucet
37. KC*- DeJuan Tribble
38. NYJ- Eric Young
39. SF- Dre Moore
40. BAL- Shawn Crable
41. CIN- Chris Ellis
42. NO- Frank Okam
43. BUF- Brandon Flowers
44. DEN- Xavier Adibi
45. CAR- Martin Rucker
46. CHI- Gosder Cherilus
47. DET- Jerod Mayo
48. ARZ- Leodis McKelvin
49. MIN- John Carlson
50. ATL (HOU)- Chris Williams
51. PHI- Reggie Smith
52. TB- Harry Douglas
53. WAS- Terrance Taylor
54. CLE- Jonathan Stewart
55. SEA- Martellus Bennett
56. PIT- Robert Felton
57. TEN- Darrell Robertson
58. NYG- Justin King
59. MIA (SD)- Fred Davis
60. JAC- Domnoique Rodgers-Cromartie
61. GB- Carl Nicks
62. IND- Roy Schuening
63. DAL- Tony Hills
64. NE- Tracy Porter
65. MIA- Mario Manningham
66. STL- Kirk Barton
67. ATL*- Barry Richardson
68. NE (OAK*)- Steve Slaton
69. KC*- D.J. Hall
70. NYJ- Joe Flacco
71. SF- Adrian Arrington
72. BUF (BAL)- Marcus Freeman
73. CIN- Marcus Harrison
74. NO- Marcus Griffin
75. BUF- Corneilius Ingram
76. MIN (DEN)- Bruce Davis
77. CAR- Red Bryant
78. CHI- Ezra Butler
79. DET- Chris Johnson
80. ARZ- Ray Rice
81. MIN- Dustin Keller
82. HOU- Charles Godfrey
83. PHI- Andre Caldwell
84. TB- Dwight Lowery
85. WAS- Chevis Jackson
86. CLE- Kendall Langford
87. SEA- Jacob Hester
88. PIT- Jonathan Goff
89. TEN- Vince Hall
90. NYG- Hilee Taylor
91. CHI (SD)- Jordan Grimes
92. JAC- Jonathan Hefney
93. GB- Beau Bell
94. IND- Lavelle Hawkins
95. DAL- Allen Patrick
96. NE- Phillip Wheeler
01. MIA- Glenn Dorsey
So after a dismal 1-15 season, Bill Parcells and the Miami Dolphins are on the clock. With GM Randy Mueller gone, it will be interesting to see what other changes the Dolphins make. This is a team with many questions, from head coach to quarterback and all the way down the line. The good news, however, is that Parcells is well-known for being able to build from the bottom, which is exactly what he did when he took over in Dallas a few years ago. The Cowboys are now the one-seed in the NFC in large part because of Bill Parcells, who laid the foundation there when he was brought in. As far as the number one pick goes, I fully expect the Dolphins to look to move down. The unquestionable top two prospects in the draft are Darren McFadden and Glenn Dorsey, but neither would be a smart pick for the Dolphins. Why? Ronnie Brown was one of the best running-backs in the league before he got hurt, and it’s unlikely that the Dolphins would want to use two top-2 picks on running-backs in the last few years, especially with how easy it is to find a good HB later in the draft or even in free agency. Why not Dorsey? Well, here it becomes a bit tricky. Glenn Dorsey is a Warren-Sapp like talent who would excel in a 4-3 scheme at the UT position. A three-technique, Dorsey is NOT an ideal fit as a 3-4 NT or DE. With that said, however, the Dolphins could choose to run strictly a 4-3 rather than switching back-and-forth, which is what they’ve been doing. Overall, there are a bunch of defensive philosophical decisions that must be made before the Dolphins really consider Glenn Dorsey. If I had to guess now, I’d say they’d go with Dorsey, but this is without projecting trades, and assuming that the Dolphins don’t plan on using the 3-4 as much as they have been.
02. STL- Chris Long
It was a long year in St. Louis, as the Rams struggled on defense and suffered from a barrage of injuries on offense. Many are predicting a LT such as Jake Long here, but I just don’t see it. The Rams took Alex Barron in the first round a few years ago to not only play RT, but also to take over for Orlando Pace when he retires. Pace’s days as a Ram may be over but Barron should be able to take over at LT for the future. With that said, why take a RT at #2 overall, especially when you have one of the worst defenses in the NFL? Enter Chris Long, DE of Virginia, and son of NFL legend Howie Long. Long is beast of a prospect with a great motor and everything you look for in a franchise DE. He can get after the quarterback as well as play the run, and has enjoyed a fabulous career for the Cavaliers. As a senior, Long tallied 14 sacks which was good for third in the nation. In St. Louis, Long could step in and immediately improve a Rams defensive line that already has some talent, including DT Adam Carriker, and pass-rushing DE Leonard Little.
03. ATL*- Darren McFadden
Everyone knows what happened to the Falcons with Michael Vick and then Bobby Petrino, but it’s time to move forward. And if there’s ever a player who can help an organization move forward its Darren McFadden of Arkansas. Simply one of the best prospects in the last decade, McFadden has everything you look for in an explosive offensive weapon. He has incredible speed, a lethal stiff-arm, and can even throw the ball. McFadden can run inside, outside, and will even catch some passes. Sound familiar? The best comparison for D-Mac is probably NFL offensive rookie of the year Adrian Peterson. Because of their striking similarity, there is no chance that McFadden falls to seven this year like Peterson did last year. In fact, the only reason the Dolphins and Rams don’t take him is because they both already have their franchise running-backs. The Falcons do need a QB, but with McFadden on the board, that can wait. Jerious Norwood has a history of injury and Warrick Dunn is not player he once was, so the need is there. The one thing Falcons fans need to worry about is Oakland jumping them by winning the coin-flip scenario, or a team like the Raiders or Jets moving up to 1 or 2 to grab McFadden.
04. OAK*- Sedrick Ellis
JaMarcus Russell showed some promise in his first NFL start, including a rocket touchdown throw to Jerry Porter. The Raiders could use a big-time WR, but there probably isn’t one in this draft. Instead, they could look to help a struggling run defense, and DT Sedrick Ellis is one of the more unheralded elite prospects in this draft. Ellis is right behind Glenn Dorsey when it comes to DT’s, and he’d be a huge upgrade for the Raiders. A run-stuffer who can also get after the passer from the inside, Ellis recorded 8.5 sacks as a senior. Jake Long could also get some consideration here, but ultimately the defense needs to be addressed.
05. KC*- Jake Long
The Chiefs have a huge need at LT and Jake Long is the best LT prospect in the draft. Probably not as technically sound as Joe Thomas, Jake Long is still a great looking prospect with the potential to be a dominant force for years to come in Kansas City. A great run-blocker, Long could work on his footwork in pass protection to adjust to the speed of the pass-rushers in the NFL.
06. NYJ- Vernon Gholston
The Jets missed out on Darren McFadden thanks to a meaningless, and quite frankly, ugly, overtime win against the Chiefs in week 17. Dwayne Robertson played better at NT in the second half of the season, but the Jets didn’t generate enough of a pass-rush off the edge in their 3-4 scheme. Vernon Gholston of Ohio State is the perfect 3-4 OLB prospect for Eric Mangini and the Jets. A junior who will probably declare, Gholston had 13 sacks this season. In the Demarcus Ware/Shawne Merriman mold, Gholston could develop into a difference-maker at the next level, and would immediately be an upgrade over Victor Hobson in New York.
07. NE (SF)- James Laurinaitis
Apparently the 49ers thought they would be decent this year, and traded this pick during last year’s draft hoping they’d be a playoff contender. Needless to say, they were very, very, wrong. Now the 16-0 Patriots have the 7th overall pick in the draft, and the most likely scenario is that they move down. If they stay put however, look for the Pats to address their aging LB corps with a guy like James Laurinaitis, should he declare.
08. BAL- Malcolm Jenkins
Brian Billick is gone, so it will be interesting to see who the Ravens bring in to be their new head coach. Regardless of who it is, he’ll have a decision to make at QB where Kyle Boller was Billick’s guy, Steve McNair is 100 years old, and young Troy Smith showed signs in his limited action. If the Ravens like a guy like Matt Ryan or Brian Brohm, they could pull the trigger on a franchise QB here. In my opinion, having scouted Ryan and Brohm, this would be a mistake. Ultimately, I think the Ravens will pass on a potential franchise QB and go for their second greatest need, which is at CB, where they have questionable depth and two often-injured veterans in Chris McAllister and Samari Rolle. Malcolm Jenkins of Ohio State is a junior, but if he declares he’ll likely be the first CB off the board. Jenkins has good size and athleticism, and would be the next big-time first round Ohio State DB.
09. CIN- Dan Connor
Even with all that offensive talent, the Bengals struggled all year. Coaching changes must be made, and I expect they are coming soon. As for this pick, it’s pretty obvious they need to address the defense, and Dan Connor of Penn State is a solid LB prospect with a bright pro future. Connor could play inside or outside, and brings everything you look for in a leader on and off the field. As a senior, Connor recorded 145 tackles for Penn State.
10. NO- Keith Rivers
It was quite a disappointing season in New Orleans. Defensive help is on the way, as the Saints will look to improve at LB, DL, and in the secondary. In this projection, they go with a LB in Keith Rivers who has the talent to be a monster at the next level. A bit undersized, Rivers has the speed and athleticism to excel in the NFL and would be an upgrade at OLB for the Saints.
11. BUF- Malcolm Kelly
Dick Jauron did a pretty good job with his team this season, and Trent Edwards and Marshawn Lynch look like the future of the Buffalo Bills. However, in order to compete with the Patriots, the Bills still need to improve, specifically at CB and WR. In this projection, they go with arguably the top WR prospect in the nation, in junior Malcolm Kelly of Oklahoma. Kelly enjoyed a breakout year this season as freshman QB Sam Bradfords favorite target, catching 49 passes for 821 yards and 9 touchdowns. The Bills like Lee Evans, but lack a solid #2 WR. Kelly has the potential to be a special player at the next level, as he combines great size with good deep speed and most importantly, excellent hands.
12. DEN- Kenny Phillips
John Lynch is aging and Nick Ferguson could be upgraded, so safety is a need for the Broncos. If Kenny Phillips of Miami were to fall to Denver at 12, it is hard to picture them passing on him. Phillips is a spectacular physical specimen in the mold of the late, great Sean Taylor. It was sort of a down year for Phillips and the Hurricanes, but as a pro prospect, there is nothing this kid lacks. Size, speed, strength, tackling, big-play potential- it’s all there. Learning from Lynch would surely help as well.
13. CAR- Matt Ryan
The Panthers probably don’t want to take a QB here because they like Matt Moore and still view Jake Delhomme as their starter. However, with no big-time safety or TE on the board, the Panthers could start preparing for the future with QB Matt Ryan of Boston College. Some believe Ryan is a top-flight QB prospect worthy of a top ten pick. I just don’t see it. Ryan is a nice QB, but I don’t know if he’s the franchise player many are making him out to be. As a senior, Ryan had 31 touchdown passes, but also 19 interceptions. Not the best decision-maker, Ryan has a knack for extending the play using his feet, and can throw the ball well on the run. At Boston College, Ryan didn’t have a great receiving corps, so it will be interesting to see how he does with pro wideouts in the NFL.
14. CHI- Brian Brohm
There is no question that the Bears need a new QB after the Rex Grossman disaster. Brian Brohm of Louisville is a smart player with a lot of experience and great college production. The questions about him being a system QB will arise, but the film shows the kid has the skills to succeed in the NFL. He doesn’t have a rocket-arm, but Brohm can make all the throws and of all the QB’s in this draft has the best ability to read defenses. As a prospect, a good comparison might be Eli Manning in that he probably needs to be in the right system to succeed. The Bears, in my opinion, are a perfect fit because they’ll count on Brohm to make good decisions and rely on a strong defense and running-game.
15. DET- Mike Jenkins
After a strong start, the Lions faded away down the stretch and find themselves in the top half of the draft once again. With a need a CB, Mike Jenkins of South Florida makes sense here. Jenkins, arguably the top senior CB prospect in the draft, is as good a cover-guy as you’ll find in the country. Speedy, physical, and excellent in man-to-man coverage, Jenkins would immediately be an upgrade over Travis Fisher in Detroit.
16. ARZ- Derrick Harvey
The Cardinals quietly had a nice season, finishing at 8-8 under rookie head coach Ken Whisenhunt. Kurt Warner played well all year, which raises some questions about who will be the starter next year when Matt Leinart returns from injury. A good run-stopping team, the Cardinals are in need of a pass-rusher off the edge and Derrick Harvey is the perfect DE/OLB hybrid prospect for their defensive scheme. An opposing QB’s nightmare at Florida, Harvey sacked Ohio State QB Troy Smith three times in the BCS National Championship game as a sophomore. This year as a junior Harvey faced more double-teams and recorded just 6.5 sacks for the Gators. Should he declare, the versatile and athletic Harvey would likely be a first round pick.
17. MIN- DeSean Jackson
It looks like Adrian Peterson was a gigantic steal for the Vikings last year, so they’ll be under a lot of pressure to build on a great draft from a year ago. With a clear need at WR, DeSean Jackson of Cal would immediately give the Vikings a second homerun threat on offense. Teamed up with the young talented Sidney Rice, Jackson is the perfect complement, a smallish speedster with excellent open-field ability. Jackson is a Ted Ginn-like prospect who’s probably a bit more polished as a WR. A game-breaker, Jackson could go a lot higher than this come draft day, especially if he runs well in the 40.
18. HOU- Rashard Mendenhall
Like the Cardinals, the Texans quietly had a good season even with some issues at QB. Matt Schaub was ok when he was on the field, but he couldn’t stay healthy. Ahman Green was a complete bust in his first year in Houston, and is not getting any younger anyway. Help in the secondary could be on the way, but in this projection they go with HB Rashard Mendenhall of Illinois. Mendenhall had an excellent junior year at Illinois, helping his team to a 9-win season including a huge upset win over Ohio State. Mendenhall is a tough runner with good vision and adequate quickness, along with the ability to get yards after contact. This season he rushed for 1526 yards and 16 touchdowns to go along with two more touchdowns receiving.
19. PHI- Sam Baker
The Donovan McNabb situation is one that will be monitored throughout the offseason. Although he seemed quite content to stay with the Eagles after a week 17 win, there still is the possibility of a trade, especially considering the Kevin Kolb pick a year ago. With needs at safety and CB, the Eagles could look to trade up and make a play for a guy like Kenny Phillips. However, given the inability for their OT’s to stay healthy, along with the age of Jon Runyan, and the horrendous showing by Winston Justice, it might be time to address OT. Sam Baker of USC is a three-time all-American with everything you look for in a franchise LT. His strength is his footwork; as Baker is as technically sound in pass-protection as any prospect in this draft. Not a mauler, Baker could still add some bulk and improve his run-blocking, but is most likely a first-rounder, and could even go higher than this come April.
20. TB- Kentwan Balmer
The Bucs have a need at UT and Kentwan Balmer of North Carolina is one of the more underrated players in this draft. Quickness is a huge plus for Balmer, who can get in the backfield as quick as any defensive tackle in the nation. Balmer has a good motor and can get after the passer as well as stop the run, and would be a great addition to a defensive line with two young DE’s in Gaines Adams and Greg White.
21. WAS- Calais Campbell
It’s been a tough year in Washington after the tragic passing of star S Sean Taylor. The team has rallied behind coach Joe Gibbs and veteran backup Todd Collins and into the playoffs. Clinton Portis has been sensational down the stretch, and the team is playing inspired on defense. The Skins could still use some youth along the defensive line, and Calais Campbell of Miami is a top-notch DE prospect. Campbell didn’t have a dominant junior year with the Hurricanes, but is still considered a first-round possibility should he declare. Campbell combines great size with excellent athleticism and would immediately give the Skins a pass-rushing threat off the edge.
22. DAL (CLE)- Limas Sweed
This pick goes to Dallas from the Cleveland Browns. The Cowboys recently extended WR Patrick Crayton and have Terry Glenn and of course Terrell Owens on the roster. However, both Glenn and Owens are getting up there in age and Sam Hurd isn’t exactly a threat on the outside. With Tony Romo looking like the clear-cut future at QB for years to come, a WR to take over for T.O. when he starts slowing down might be an option with one of Dallas’ two first round picks. Enter Limas Sweed of Texas. Sweed is a beast of a WR, and although he missed much of his senior year with an injury, still has a good chance at the first round. At 6’5, 219, Sweed is a huge red-zone threat and a match-up nightmare for small DB’s.
23. SEA- Michael Oher
Shaun Alexander has clearly lost a step, but it’s hard to envision the Seahawks bringing in a first-round running-back here with all the money they have invested in Alexander. Beyond HB, the Seahawks have needs at TE, DT, and OG, and Michael Oher can play either OG or OT at the next level. Only a junior, Oher is still somewhat raw and not completely fundamentally sound. However, he possesses great strength and has the potential to grow into a dominant NFL lineman. The Seahawks could use his versatility by plugging him in at OG until Walter Jones retires, then moving him to OT.
24. PIT- Jeff Otah
With Marvel Smith struggling and Alan Faneca on his way out, the Steelers will likely need to take more than one offensive lineman in this draft. Jeff Otah of Pitt is a great OT prospect with a huge frame at over 340 pounds. Otah can be a mauler in the run game but has also shown flashes of being a fleet-footed blindside protector.
25. TEN- Adarius Bowman
Vince Young struggled a bit this season but still managed to get his Titans into the playoffs. Still lacking a true #1 WR, the Titans will likely address WR early in the draft. Adarius Bowman of Oklahoma State is a big play-making WR with good hands and strength. A good comparison might be a poor-mans Anquan Boldin with a bit more size and speed.
26. NYG- Ryan Clady
David Diehl has been exceptional this season at LT for the Giants, and the G-Men could clearly use a safety, CB, or OLB with this pick. However, with a guy like Ryan Clady on the board, perhaps the Giants would go with the best player available and take the potential franchise LT from Boise State. Clady has quick feet and decent strength and would be a great eventual replacement as Eli Manning’s blindside protector in New York.
27. SD- Erin Henderson
Give credit to Norv Turner. After a rocky start, he’s brought the Chargers to the top of the AFC West and into the playoffs for the second straight year. With Chris Chambers now on board, the Bolts might want to look at defense in the first round this year and ILB is a need. Erin Henderson of Maryland is a junior LB not many are talking about at this time in the draft process. Henderson, the brother of Minnesota Vikings LB E.J. Henderson, is a sideline-to-sideline player who is good in pursuit and has good toughness and speed. Not great at shedding blockers, the 6’3, 240-pound Henderson projects as an OLB or ILB at the next level and would fit in great in the Chargers 3-4 scheme. If he declares, Henderson could move up, as he is known for being quite a workout warrior for the Terps.
28. JAC- Lawrence Jackson
David Garrard had an amazing year in Jacksonville, as Fred Taylor, Maurice Jones-Drew, and a hard-hitting defense saved Jack Del Rio’s job. The one thing the Jaguars defense lacks is a dominant pass-rushing DE, and bringing in a guy like Lawrence Jackson of USC would help fill that void. Jackson had a great career at USC, including a senior year with 9.5 sacks. A beast off the edge, Jackson also plays the run well at around 270 pounds for the Trojans.
29. GB- Aqib Talib
Brett Favre is at it again. The Packers came out of nowhere to the top of the NFC, and have a legitimate shot at the Super Bowl. An improved defense along with some big-play young guys in Ryan Grant and Greg Jennings, and Mike McCarthy and the Packers are champions of the NFC North. As for needs going into next year, the Pack could use some depth behind Al Harris and Charles Woodson at CB, and a guy like Aqib Talib of Kansas would be a great addition. Talib is one of the top cover-men in the nation and has NFL skills, as he accounted for 4 interceptions this season, returning one for a touchdown. Talib also played some snaps at WR, and scored four touchdowns on only eight catches. A playmaker, Talib could develop into a starting CB at the next level, and will immensely help his stock if he runs well in the postseason.
30. SF (IND)- Quentin Groves
This pick goes to the Niners from the Colts. With a need at OLB, the Niners could use a guy like Quentin Groves of Auburn. Groves had 9.5 sacks a junior and only 3 this season, but is an ideal candidate for a 3-4 OLB. At about 6’3, 255, Groves has the size and speed to excel off the edge at the next level. Tully Banta-Cain hasn’t lived up to expectations in San Francisco, as they need playmakers on both sides of the ball.
31. DAL- Terrell Thomas
Beyond Anthony Henry and Terence Newman, the Cowboys lack quality depth at CB. Terrell Thomas of USC is an experienced player with great ball-skills and good toughness. A scrappy player, Thomas will go for the strip while tackling, and would make a great nickel-back and special teamer early in his career for a team like Dallas.
32. NE- FORFEITED
33. MIA- Antoine Cason
34. STL- Ali Highsmith
35. ATL*- Andre Woodson
36. OAK*- Early Doucet
37. KC*- DeJuan Tribble
38. NYJ- Eric Young
39. SF- Dre Moore
40. BAL- Shawn Crable
41. CIN- Chris Ellis
42. NO- Frank Okam
43. BUF- Brandon Flowers
44. DEN- Xavier Adibi
45. CAR- Martin Rucker
46. CHI- Gosder Cherilus
47. DET- Jerod Mayo
48. ARZ- Leodis McKelvin
49. MIN- John Carlson
50. ATL (HOU)- Chris Williams
51. PHI- Reggie Smith
52. TB- Harry Douglas
53. WAS- Terrance Taylor
54. CLE- Jonathan Stewart
55. SEA- Martellus Bennett
56. PIT- Robert Felton
57. TEN- Darrell Robertson
58. NYG- Justin King
59. MIA (SD)- Fred Davis
60. JAC- Domnoique Rodgers-Cromartie
61. GB- Carl Nicks
62. IND- Roy Schuening
63. DAL- Tony Hills
64. NE- Tracy Porter
65. MIA- Mario Manningham
66. STL- Kirk Barton
67. ATL*- Barry Richardson
68. NE (OAK*)- Steve Slaton
69. KC*- D.J. Hall
70. NYJ- Joe Flacco
71. SF- Adrian Arrington
72. BUF (BAL)- Marcus Freeman
73. CIN- Marcus Harrison
74. NO- Marcus Griffin
75. BUF- Corneilius Ingram
76. MIN (DEN)- Bruce Davis
77. CAR- Red Bryant
78. CHI- Ezra Butler
79. DET- Chris Johnson
80. ARZ- Ray Rice
81. MIN- Dustin Keller
82. HOU- Charles Godfrey
83. PHI- Andre Caldwell
84. TB- Dwight Lowery
85. WAS- Chevis Jackson
86. CLE- Kendall Langford
87. SEA- Jacob Hester
88. PIT- Jonathan Goff
89. TEN- Vince Hall
90. NYG- Hilee Taylor
91. CHI (SD)- Jordan Grimes
92. JAC- Jonathan Hefney
93. GB- Beau Bell
94. IND- Lavelle Hawkins
95. DAL- Allen Patrick
96. NE- Phillip Wheeler