ChiFan24
10-19-2008, 02:30 AM
I usually try to be a little creative with these things, though not at the expense of reality. So there may be a couple picks that surprise you. I also tried to project the players' stock 6 months from now. No trades, still way too early.
And if your post is going to consist of "good/bad (insert team) mock," save it. Read the mock, and give me something thoughtful please.
1. Detroit Lions – Matt Stafford QB Georgia
This could just as easily be Bradford or Sanchez, who knows, but my money is on Stafford. In fact, from what I’ve seen, Stafford, along with Brady Quinn and Jay Cutler, is probably one of my top three QB prospects of the decade (though I reserve the right to change my mind). He’s got that big, strong frame that allows him to break away from potential sacks and he also moves around very well in the pocket. And while he’s a little inconsistent with his accuracy, he’s got the arm and the touch to make every throw. After Drew Stanton fails miserably in his audition this year, and Rod Marinelli is fired, the Lions will be in the market for a QB.
2. Kansas City Chiefs – Sam Bradford QB Oklahoma
I think two of the top three come out, and at the moment, I’ll give Bradford the edge over Sanchez. It’s hard to get a good read on Bradford because of all the talent around him, but he has a good arm, good athleticism, and makes excellent decisions. He could stand to gain a little muscle, but Kansas City isn’t going to let that stop them from taking a legitimate QB of the future.
3. St. Louis Rams – Vontae Davis CB Illinois
Maybe I’m a little biased here, but if Vontae drops out of the top five, I will be absolutely shocked. He’s my top prospect, and at the moment, nobody else is close. Antonio Cromartie is the only guy I’ve ever graded near him as far as CBs go. Vontae isn’t just an athlete playing CB – he’s got freakish athleticism, but he also as physical corner as you’ll find in the draft, and his overall technique is not given nearly enough credit. After he destroys the combine, people won’t question Davis over Oher or Monroe.
4. Cincinnati Bengals – Michael Oher OT Mississippi
I’d say middle linebacker is Cincinnati’s biggest need, but come draft day I think Maualuga will be considered a huge reach here, and Laurinaitis has already dropped to late first, as he should. And since, unfortunately, it’s too early to project trades, I’m going with Oher, who really has no business dropping from the top three. Levi Jones has been barely adequate since injuries started biting, and Oher would provide excellent protection on Palmer’s blindside as well as a dominant force in the run game. If the team doesn’t want to give up on Levi Jones, Oher also has plenty of experience at guard (though that would be a massive waste of his talent).
5. Oakland Raiders – Andre Smith OT Alabama
As much as I like Oher, Smith is right on his tail. He’s not quite as quick on his feet or technically sound as Oher (though certainly not lacking in that department), but he’s an absolute mammoth in the run game at 340. Al Davis has been looking for a difference maker at left tackle since Robert Gallery was a complete bust there, and while Smith really isn’t a fit for the semi-ZBS Oakland runs, a new coach could make that point moot.
6. San Francisco 49ers – Jeremy Maclin WR Missouri
Kind of a tough pick. I’m fairly sure Martz is staying for next year – thus, no QB until the second round (not that anyone is worth the pick). I’m not so sure about Mike Nolan. It could be a rush backer like Selvie or Orakpo, but since I’m not sure what kind of defense they’ll be running, I’m giving J.T. O’Sullivan a dynamic big play threat that could complement Josh Morgan nicely.
7. Seattle Seahawks – Eugene Monroe OT Virginia
I had trouble picking between Monroe and Crabtree, but eventually I settled on the better value. Crabtree would be a great fit for Seattle’s WCO as a replacement for Deion Branch, but I’m going with Monroe, who can make the expensive, injury prone Walter Jones expendable, and give the team a new, more mobile LT for the offense to build around.
8. Miami Dolphins – Malcolm Jenkins CB Ohio State
I looked at George Selvie and Brian Orakpo here, but they’re both reaches in the top ten in my book. A guy like Mike Crabtree wouldn’t be unheard of either; he’d actually be an excellent potential number one with Ginn, Bess, and Camarillo complementing him. However, the corner position has been filled by the likes of Mike Lehan and Andre Goodman for far to long in Miami, and Jenkins is terrific value here. I sometimes let him get overshadowed by Vontae Davis in my own mind, but Jenkins is also the kind of corner that’s not going to come around very often – top athleticism and physicality, with a knack for making big plays in the secondary.
9. Houston Texans – Aaron Curry OLB Wake Forest
Having seen more of the Texans than I really want to, I’ve decided that their first pick needs to be on defense. Duane Brown is holding up all right at tackle, and Steve Slaton is all they really need in their running back. The other side of the ball leaves a lot to be desired. Super Mario and Okoye are the only two d-linemen capable of generating a pass rush; Demeco Ryans is the only linebacker that can tackle; and without Dunta, they can’t cover anyone (though that’s mostly Jacque Reeves’ fault). And nobody else is even remotely good enough for the Texans to try anything creative on defense. They need to find themselves another DE, a OLB or two, and a safety. So it’s between Greg Hardy, William Moore, and Curry. You probably can’t go wrong with any of them, but I’m going with Aaron Curry, an amazing physical and athletic specimen that can either replace Morlon Greenwood, or more likely Zach Diles on the strong side.
10. Minnesota Vikings – Jermaine Gresham TE Oklahoma
There’s really no great fit here; Minnesota really doesn’t need anything defensively, the three tackles worth the pick are off the board, and I’m not ready to form an opinion on Tebow, so I’m just leaving him out of the draft. Gresham might be a reach, but he could have the kind of combine that catapults him into top ten discussion. And God knows the Vikings could use an upgrade over Visanthe Shiancoe.
11. Cleveland Browns – Brian Orakpo DE/OLB Texas
On one hand, I could be over thinking things. On the other hand, it’s October. Chris Wells would be a good fit here – he’s a power back with the type of body that can take a pounding. But I cannot help thinking that he’s going to fall in coming months, and I’ll elaborate on that when he comes off the board. I’m going to go with Orakpo, who’s stock has soared recently, and looks tailor made for the strong side OLB spot. Orakpo would be a massive upgrade over Willie McGinnest, and could free things up for Kamerion Wimbley to make more plays on the weakside.
12. Baltimore Ravens – Darrius Heyward-Bey WR Maryland
I fully expect Baltimore to bring Terrell Suggs back next season; whether it be through a long term deal or another one year tender. So no George Selvie. Instead, I’m giving them Darrius Heyward-Bey, whose big play ability will give him the edge over Michael Crabtree in Cam Cameron’s eyes.
13. Atlanta Falcons – Michael Crabtree WR Texas Tech
Not long after Baltimore passes, Atlanta gladly scoops Crabtree up. As talented as Michael Jenkins and Laurent Robinson are, Crabtree has too much upside to pass up; if he develops into the Fitz clone some think he can be, Atlanta would have a high-powered offense for years to come.
14. New Orleans Saints – Chris Wells RB Ohio State
You’d think that New Orleans would be the team to end the heavily offensive trend started here, but tell me, which defensive player would New Orleans have ranked higher than Beanie? Reggie Bush is clearly not a consistent between the tackles guy, Deuce McAllister’s return is questionable at best, and Pierre Thomas, having defied pretty big odds just becoming an occasional contributor, is only an occasional contributor. Now, Wells drops a bit on my board because he’s got durability questions, which won’t fly for a power back, he’s not going to blow anyone away at the combine, and he does not do the little things well. A little Bensony if you ask me. However, Sean Payton proved with the Reggie Bush pick that he’s not going to let a potentially great back slip past him, so I’d look for his fall to end here.
15. Green Bay Packers – Greg Hardy DE Mississippi
If you ask me, Green Bay does not really have many needs. RB might become an issue, but I’m not ready to call Grant a fluke just yet. To me, Green Bay needs to add some depth, as injuries to Al Harris and Cullen Jenkins have shown. Not coincidentally, I’m looking at D.J. Moore and Greg Hardy, as well as Jason Smith as a third OT and William Moore. In the end, I’m going with the most value, as Hardy is a top ten prospect in my book. Aaron Kampman is a stud at left end, but Cullen Jenkins, even when healthy, isn’t really a three down end at RE. KGB, who rotates with them, is about at the end of the line and could be replaced, and I don’t think Jeremy Thompson or Will Montgomery is the answer. Hardy would provide Green Bay a young speed rushing threat to rotate with Kampman and Jenkins.
16. New England Patriots – Rey Maualuga ILB Southern California
I’m not going to over think things here; the Patriots still have a hole at TED linebacker, and Maualuga is a great fit. Now, I don’t think he’s going to run a good forty, and he’s actually looked soft and hesitant at times this season. But anyone who watched the Rose Bowl could tell you that Rey is a legitimate first rounder and playmaker, and his size and talent suits New England perfectly.
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Michael Johnson DE Georgia Tech
Honestly, I almost skipped this pick. Nothing I like here. I thought about C.J. Spiller as a Felix Jones-type pick, but that would require Warrick Dunn to retire and Cadillac Williams to be released. Almost went with Colt McCoy, but that’s just too much of a reach at this point, in my book. Sen’Derrick Marks as well. I’m going with Michael Johnson, an incredible physical specimen with the frame to dominate at LE.
18. New York Jets – Tyson Jackson DE Louisiana State
Almost too obvious a pick…and yes, there’s such thing. A part of me thinks Jackson is going to fall a bit, but as of now, his stock is right around here. And since I don’t see much of an alternative, I’ll give the Jets Jackson to replace Shaun Ellis in the 3-4.
19. Indianapolis Colts – Sen’Derrick Marks DT Auburn
Indianapolis is in dire need of a DT, and if this isn’t where Marks’ stock is, this is where it should be. Ideally he’s an under tackle, though who knows what Indy will do? They certainly need an upgrade at both DT spots though, and I’d bet money on them picking the best available.
20. Philadelphia Eagles – William Moore FS Missouri
It could just as easily be Taylor Mays here but…you know what? I’m tired, and the Eagles are boring. Go Phillies.
21. Chicago Bears – Duke Robinson OG Oklahoma
As a Bears fan, our number one need in my mind is a big mauler at right tackle, and I would love for Phil Loadholt to show me some better technique as a pass blocker so I could feel comfortable with him opposite Chris Williams. But since that’s not the case, I’m going with his teammate, Duke Robinson, to step in and create holes for Matt Forte at right guard. I also like Alex Mack as a guard and eventual replacement for Olin Kreutz.
22. Buffalo Bills – Marcus Freeman OLB Ohio State
With Angelo Crowell almost certain to take off in free agency, the Bills need a strong side linebacker that’s not Keith Ellison. It will surprise some if Freeman comes off the board before James Laurinaitis, but he’s simply the better fit here. Brandon Pettigrew also makes some sense, but I don’t know how much Buffalo values its tight ends.
23. Arizona Cardinals – C.J. Spiller RB Clemson
I don’t know if there are any Cardinals fans that can back me up on this, but a year ago, it was rumored that Arizona was set to take Chris Johnson in the second round. I think Arizona decides to be a little frisky with this pick, coming off its first playoff birth in about ten years, and makes sure it ends up with its homerun threat at running back. Edge James can be released, and Spiller can join Tim Hightower in a promising young tandem. Of course, George Selvie would have made just as much, if not more sense.
24. San Diego Chargers – Taylor Mays S Southern California
Mays has amazing size and speed, though there are some that hold that against him, since he doesn’t play to his Sean Taylor-like potential. Still he’s a great player, and is well worth a first rounder. San Diego fans may argue that Paul Oliver is a future starter, but I’d argue he’s a third safety. And win.
25. Detroit Lions (f/Dal) – James Laurinaitis MLB Ohio State
Laurinaitis goes a lot later than his hype says he should, but this is a good fit for him. Jordan Dizon will have an illustrious career on special teams, I’m sure, but a competent regime will likely look to replace him as MLB of the future.
26. Denver Broncos – D.J. Moore CB Vanderbilt
Denver’s pass defense is just awful, and while it doesn’t help that the pass rush is non-existent and the safeties are Marquand Manuel and Marlon McCree, Dre Bly is incredibly inconsistent (and old) and Karl Paymah is just God awful. Moore has great athleticism and can play nickel while returning kicks.
27. Jacksonville Jaguars – Vince Oghobaase DT Duke
I’ve seen him play a couple times, and he’s been impressive; seems to make plays in the backfield. His size and athleticism make him seem like a perfect complement to John Henderson. That’s about all I can say about him, until I can get a better look.
28. Washington Redskins – Darius Butler CB Connecticut
The Redskins could use another young corner opposite Carlos Rogers, as Springs and Smoot are no guarantees to return next season. If Butler is not considered a first rounder now, he will be after the Senior Bowl/Combine.
29. Philadelphia Eagles (f/Car) – Ciron Black OT Louisiana State
Yawn.
30. Tennessee Titans – Percy Harvin WR Florida
I know it’s not really Tennessee’s style to take a receiver before the fourth round, but Harvin is a huge steal here; he could have just as easily gone top 15. Him and Chris Johnson on the same field would be deadly
31. New York Giants – George Selvie DE South Florida
People are going to say Selvie went too low, but I’m not sure this is low enough. 6-4, 242 is pretty horrific size from a 4-3 DE, and I don’t see him blowing by tackles the way he does in the Big East. Regardless, the Giants love their DE’s, and this gives them the option of moving Kiwanuka back to SLB.
32. Pittsburgh Steelers – Jason Smith OT Baylor
Pittsburgh needs to find a way to protect Roethlisberger, or he won’t be long for this league. Smith doesn’t have the kind of bulk Pittsburgh looks for, but their offensive line coach should be fired anyway.
33. Detroit Lions – Derrick Williams WR Penn State
Roy Williams is gone and the Mike Martz duo of Shaun McDonald and Mike Furrey isn’t shouldn’t be starting in this league. Williams gives the Lions an ultra-talented receiver to pair with Calvin Johnson and return kicks.
34. Kansas City Chiefs – Dannell Ellerbe MLB Georgia
It’s either him or Beckwith, but I think Ellerbe translates better to MLB. Certainly better than Pat Thomas.
35. St. Louis Rams – Colt McCoy QB Texas
I don’t like passing on an offensive lineman again, especially in favor of a young QB, but McCoy is good value at this point, and St. Louis needs a young QB badly.
36. Cincinnati Bengals – Knowshon Moreno RB Georgia
No, I didn’t forget him. He’s just not that good. This is a good spot for him though.
37. Oakland Raiders – Alex Mack C California
The offensive line retooling continues with another dominant run blocker. Jake Grove has been a bust.
38. San Francisco 49ers – Brian Cushing OLB Southern California
Great fit as an athletic rush backer in the 3-4, would also fit as a SLB in the 4-3.
39. Seattle Seahawks – Louis Murphy WR Florida
Would have gone with Colt McCoy, but instead a physically gifted receiver to replace Branch and/or Engram down the line.
40. Miami Dolphins – Everette Brown DE/OLB Florida State
I couldn’t tell if he’s better than Ricky Sapp at this point, but Miami could use either rush backer on the weak side.
41. Houston Texans – Kam Chancellor SS Virginia Tech
I’m looking through Texans history, and I’m not seeing one good, or even decent, safety. Chancellor fixes that.
42. Minnesota Vikings – Phil Loadholt OT Oklahoma
Why is a mediocre center playing right tackle?
43. Cleveland Browns – Charles Scott RB Louisiana State
People like to claim that Scott has 4.4 speed when they’re pumping him up, and that’s just not true. He looks like a 4.55 at best. However, he runs hard and punishes defenders, and he’s a potential workhouse with very little mileage. He’d be an excellent pick for Cleveland.
44. Baltimore Ravens – Brandon Pettigrew TE Oklahoma State
Am I crazy or is Todd Heap done? I say cut your losses and pick up a very good all around tight end in Pettigrew.
45. Atlanta Falcons – Sean Weatherspoon OLB Missouri
Long-term replacement for Keith Brooking.
46. New York Giants (f/NO) – Jamon Meredith OT/OG South Carolina
Is a potential left tackle, but is also getting experience at guard.
47. Green Bay Packers – Xavier Fulton OT Illinois
The Packers value athletic linemen and Fulton’s stock will rise around the draft.
48. New England Patriots – Alphonso Smith CB Wake Forest
The Patriots drafted Wheatley and Wilhite last year, and they’ll both develop into serviceable corners, but they’re not done adding youth.
49. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Javon Ringer RB Michigan State
No receivers that I particularly like, no QB’s…I guess I could go with Peria Jerry…but screw it, I’m going with Ringer, who isn’t going to fall much further than this. Graham is the unquestioned number one, but even if Dunn doesn’t move on next year, Ringer will be a nice long-term replacement.
50. New York Jets – Alex Boone OT Ohio State
Long-term replacement for Damien Woody.
51. Indianapolis Colts – Peria Jerry DT Mississippi
They really need to load up on DTs, and Jerry can play the nose in Indianapolis.
52. Philadelphia Eagles – Travis Beckum TE Wisconsin
They can use him how they use Smith.
53. Chicago Bears – Maurice Evans DE Penn State
The Bears’ pass rush has been pathetic this year; Mark Anderson has been especially ineffective. Dan Bazuin didn’t work out, so Angelo will take another shot at a pass rusher.
54. Buffalo Bills – Vance Walker DT Georgia Tech
At the very least, he’ll provide depth after McCargo is sent packing.
55. Arizona Cardinals – Cody Brown OLB/DE Connecticut
Another underrated Husky, will provide youth at a position where Arizona is pretty old.
56. New England Patriots (f/SD) – Chase Coffman TE Missouri
New England loves their tight ends, and this pick would actually make sense.
57. Dallas Cowboys – Terrance Taylor DT Michigan
Could get away with playing the nose in Wade Phillips’ scheme, and would let Jay Ratliff kick to end.
58. Denver Broncos – Rashad Johnson S Alabama
Another upgrade in the secondary.
59. Jacksonville Jaguars – Darry Beckwith MLB Louisiana State
Long-term replacement for Mike Peterson.
60. Miami Dolphins (f/Was) – Patrick Chung S Oregon
Great value, and continues the upgrade in the secondary.
61. Carolina Panthers – Domonique Johnson CB Jackson State
I’ve never seen this guy, and until the Senior Bowl, I don’t plan to, but if he runs a 4.4 at 6-2, 200, he won’t go much later than this.
62. Tennessee Titans – Kevin Barnes CB Maryland
Finnegan is amazing, but Harper’s only got a couple years of being a good starter left.
63. New York Giants – Fili Moala DT Southern California
A bit of a character concern, but a ton of talent.
64. Pittsburgh Steelers – Evander Hood DT/DE Missouri
Depth at DE.
And if your post is going to consist of "good/bad (insert team) mock," save it. Read the mock, and give me something thoughtful please.
1. Detroit Lions – Matt Stafford QB Georgia
This could just as easily be Bradford or Sanchez, who knows, but my money is on Stafford. In fact, from what I’ve seen, Stafford, along with Brady Quinn and Jay Cutler, is probably one of my top three QB prospects of the decade (though I reserve the right to change my mind). He’s got that big, strong frame that allows him to break away from potential sacks and he also moves around very well in the pocket. And while he’s a little inconsistent with his accuracy, he’s got the arm and the touch to make every throw. After Drew Stanton fails miserably in his audition this year, and Rod Marinelli is fired, the Lions will be in the market for a QB.
2. Kansas City Chiefs – Sam Bradford QB Oklahoma
I think two of the top three come out, and at the moment, I’ll give Bradford the edge over Sanchez. It’s hard to get a good read on Bradford because of all the talent around him, but he has a good arm, good athleticism, and makes excellent decisions. He could stand to gain a little muscle, but Kansas City isn’t going to let that stop them from taking a legitimate QB of the future.
3. St. Louis Rams – Vontae Davis CB Illinois
Maybe I’m a little biased here, but if Vontae drops out of the top five, I will be absolutely shocked. He’s my top prospect, and at the moment, nobody else is close. Antonio Cromartie is the only guy I’ve ever graded near him as far as CBs go. Vontae isn’t just an athlete playing CB – he’s got freakish athleticism, but he also as physical corner as you’ll find in the draft, and his overall technique is not given nearly enough credit. After he destroys the combine, people won’t question Davis over Oher or Monroe.
4. Cincinnati Bengals – Michael Oher OT Mississippi
I’d say middle linebacker is Cincinnati’s biggest need, but come draft day I think Maualuga will be considered a huge reach here, and Laurinaitis has already dropped to late first, as he should. And since, unfortunately, it’s too early to project trades, I’m going with Oher, who really has no business dropping from the top three. Levi Jones has been barely adequate since injuries started biting, and Oher would provide excellent protection on Palmer’s blindside as well as a dominant force in the run game. If the team doesn’t want to give up on Levi Jones, Oher also has plenty of experience at guard (though that would be a massive waste of his talent).
5. Oakland Raiders – Andre Smith OT Alabama
As much as I like Oher, Smith is right on his tail. He’s not quite as quick on his feet or technically sound as Oher (though certainly not lacking in that department), but he’s an absolute mammoth in the run game at 340. Al Davis has been looking for a difference maker at left tackle since Robert Gallery was a complete bust there, and while Smith really isn’t a fit for the semi-ZBS Oakland runs, a new coach could make that point moot.
6. San Francisco 49ers – Jeremy Maclin WR Missouri
Kind of a tough pick. I’m fairly sure Martz is staying for next year – thus, no QB until the second round (not that anyone is worth the pick). I’m not so sure about Mike Nolan. It could be a rush backer like Selvie or Orakpo, but since I’m not sure what kind of defense they’ll be running, I’m giving J.T. O’Sullivan a dynamic big play threat that could complement Josh Morgan nicely.
7. Seattle Seahawks – Eugene Monroe OT Virginia
I had trouble picking between Monroe and Crabtree, but eventually I settled on the better value. Crabtree would be a great fit for Seattle’s WCO as a replacement for Deion Branch, but I’m going with Monroe, who can make the expensive, injury prone Walter Jones expendable, and give the team a new, more mobile LT for the offense to build around.
8. Miami Dolphins – Malcolm Jenkins CB Ohio State
I looked at George Selvie and Brian Orakpo here, but they’re both reaches in the top ten in my book. A guy like Mike Crabtree wouldn’t be unheard of either; he’d actually be an excellent potential number one with Ginn, Bess, and Camarillo complementing him. However, the corner position has been filled by the likes of Mike Lehan and Andre Goodman for far to long in Miami, and Jenkins is terrific value here. I sometimes let him get overshadowed by Vontae Davis in my own mind, but Jenkins is also the kind of corner that’s not going to come around very often – top athleticism and physicality, with a knack for making big plays in the secondary.
9. Houston Texans – Aaron Curry OLB Wake Forest
Having seen more of the Texans than I really want to, I’ve decided that their first pick needs to be on defense. Duane Brown is holding up all right at tackle, and Steve Slaton is all they really need in their running back. The other side of the ball leaves a lot to be desired. Super Mario and Okoye are the only two d-linemen capable of generating a pass rush; Demeco Ryans is the only linebacker that can tackle; and without Dunta, they can’t cover anyone (though that’s mostly Jacque Reeves’ fault). And nobody else is even remotely good enough for the Texans to try anything creative on defense. They need to find themselves another DE, a OLB or two, and a safety. So it’s between Greg Hardy, William Moore, and Curry. You probably can’t go wrong with any of them, but I’m going with Aaron Curry, an amazing physical and athletic specimen that can either replace Morlon Greenwood, or more likely Zach Diles on the strong side.
10. Minnesota Vikings – Jermaine Gresham TE Oklahoma
There’s really no great fit here; Minnesota really doesn’t need anything defensively, the three tackles worth the pick are off the board, and I’m not ready to form an opinion on Tebow, so I’m just leaving him out of the draft. Gresham might be a reach, but he could have the kind of combine that catapults him into top ten discussion. And God knows the Vikings could use an upgrade over Visanthe Shiancoe.
11. Cleveland Browns – Brian Orakpo DE/OLB Texas
On one hand, I could be over thinking things. On the other hand, it’s October. Chris Wells would be a good fit here – he’s a power back with the type of body that can take a pounding. But I cannot help thinking that he’s going to fall in coming months, and I’ll elaborate on that when he comes off the board. I’m going to go with Orakpo, who’s stock has soared recently, and looks tailor made for the strong side OLB spot. Orakpo would be a massive upgrade over Willie McGinnest, and could free things up for Kamerion Wimbley to make more plays on the weakside.
12. Baltimore Ravens – Darrius Heyward-Bey WR Maryland
I fully expect Baltimore to bring Terrell Suggs back next season; whether it be through a long term deal or another one year tender. So no George Selvie. Instead, I’m giving them Darrius Heyward-Bey, whose big play ability will give him the edge over Michael Crabtree in Cam Cameron’s eyes.
13. Atlanta Falcons – Michael Crabtree WR Texas Tech
Not long after Baltimore passes, Atlanta gladly scoops Crabtree up. As talented as Michael Jenkins and Laurent Robinson are, Crabtree has too much upside to pass up; if he develops into the Fitz clone some think he can be, Atlanta would have a high-powered offense for years to come.
14. New Orleans Saints – Chris Wells RB Ohio State
You’d think that New Orleans would be the team to end the heavily offensive trend started here, but tell me, which defensive player would New Orleans have ranked higher than Beanie? Reggie Bush is clearly not a consistent between the tackles guy, Deuce McAllister’s return is questionable at best, and Pierre Thomas, having defied pretty big odds just becoming an occasional contributor, is only an occasional contributor. Now, Wells drops a bit on my board because he’s got durability questions, which won’t fly for a power back, he’s not going to blow anyone away at the combine, and he does not do the little things well. A little Bensony if you ask me. However, Sean Payton proved with the Reggie Bush pick that he’s not going to let a potentially great back slip past him, so I’d look for his fall to end here.
15. Green Bay Packers – Greg Hardy DE Mississippi
If you ask me, Green Bay does not really have many needs. RB might become an issue, but I’m not ready to call Grant a fluke just yet. To me, Green Bay needs to add some depth, as injuries to Al Harris and Cullen Jenkins have shown. Not coincidentally, I’m looking at D.J. Moore and Greg Hardy, as well as Jason Smith as a third OT and William Moore. In the end, I’m going with the most value, as Hardy is a top ten prospect in my book. Aaron Kampman is a stud at left end, but Cullen Jenkins, even when healthy, isn’t really a three down end at RE. KGB, who rotates with them, is about at the end of the line and could be replaced, and I don’t think Jeremy Thompson or Will Montgomery is the answer. Hardy would provide Green Bay a young speed rushing threat to rotate with Kampman and Jenkins.
16. New England Patriots – Rey Maualuga ILB Southern California
I’m not going to over think things here; the Patriots still have a hole at TED linebacker, and Maualuga is a great fit. Now, I don’t think he’s going to run a good forty, and he’s actually looked soft and hesitant at times this season. But anyone who watched the Rose Bowl could tell you that Rey is a legitimate first rounder and playmaker, and his size and talent suits New England perfectly.
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Michael Johnson DE Georgia Tech
Honestly, I almost skipped this pick. Nothing I like here. I thought about C.J. Spiller as a Felix Jones-type pick, but that would require Warrick Dunn to retire and Cadillac Williams to be released. Almost went with Colt McCoy, but that’s just too much of a reach at this point, in my book. Sen’Derrick Marks as well. I’m going with Michael Johnson, an incredible physical specimen with the frame to dominate at LE.
18. New York Jets – Tyson Jackson DE Louisiana State
Almost too obvious a pick…and yes, there’s such thing. A part of me thinks Jackson is going to fall a bit, but as of now, his stock is right around here. And since I don’t see much of an alternative, I’ll give the Jets Jackson to replace Shaun Ellis in the 3-4.
19. Indianapolis Colts – Sen’Derrick Marks DT Auburn
Indianapolis is in dire need of a DT, and if this isn’t where Marks’ stock is, this is where it should be. Ideally he’s an under tackle, though who knows what Indy will do? They certainly need an upgrade at both DT spots though, and I’d bet money on them picking the best available.
20. Philadelphia Eagles – William Moore FS Missouri
It could just as easily be Taylor Mays here but…you know what? I’m tired, and the Eagles are boring. Go Phillies.
21. Chicago Bears – Duke Robinson OG Oklahoma
As a Bears fan, our number one need in my mind is a big mauler at right tackle, and I would love for Phil Loadholt to show me some better technique as a pass blocker so I could feel comfortable with him opposite Chris Williams. But since that’s not the case, I’m going with his teammate, Duke Robinson, to step in and create holes for Matt Forte at right guard. I also like Alex Mack as a guard and eventual replacement for Olin Kreutz.
22. Buffalo Bills – Marcus Freeman OLB Ohio State
With Angelo Crowell almost certain to take off in free agency, the Bills need a strong side linebacker that’s not Keith Ellison. It will surprise some if Freeman comes off the board before James Laurinaitis, but he’s simply the better fit here. Brandon Pettigrew also makes some sense, but I don’t know how much Buffalo values its tight ends.
23. Arizona Cardinals – C.J. Spiller RB Clemson
I don’t know if there are any Cardinals fans that can back me up on this, but a year ago, it was rumored that Arizona was set to take Chris Johnson in the second round. I think Arizona decides to be a little frisky with this pick, coming off its first playoff birth in about ten years, and makes sure it ends up with its homerun threat at running back. Edge James can be released, and Spiller can join Tim Hightower in a promising young tandem. Of course, George Selvie would have made just as much, if not more sense.
24. San Diego Chargers – Taylor Mays S Southern California
Mays has amazing size and speed, though there are some that hold that against him, since he doesn’t play to his Sean Taylor-like potential. Still he’s a great player, and is well worth a first rounder. San Diego fans may argue that Paul Oliver is a future starter, but I’d argue he’s a third safety. And win.
25. Detroit Lions (f/Dal) – James Laurinaitis MLB Ohio State
Laurinaitis goes a lot later than his hype says he should, but this is a good fit for him. Jordan Dizon will have an illustrious career on special teams, I’m sure, but a competent regime will likely look to replace him as MLB of the future.
26. Denver Broncos – D.J. Moore CB Vanderbilt
Denver’s pass defense is just awful, and while it doesn’t help that the pass rush is non-existent and the safeties are Marquand Manuel and Marlon McCree, Dre Bly is incredibly inconsistent (and old) and Karl Paymah is just God awful. Moore has great athleticism and can play nickel while returning kicks.
27. Jacksonville Jaguars – Vince Oghobaase DT Duke
I’ve seen him play a couple times, and he’s been impressive; seems to make plays in the backfield. His size and athleticism make him seem like a perfect complement to John Henderson. That’s about all I can say about him, until I can get a better look.
28. Washington Redskins – Darius Butler CB Connecticut
The Redskins could use another young corner opposite Carlos Rogers, as Springs and Smoot are no guarantees to return next season. If Butler is not considered a first rounder now, he will be after the Senior Bowl/Combine.
29. Philadelphia Eagles (f/Car) – Ciron Black OT Louisiana State
Yawn.
30. Tennessee Titans – Percy Harvin WR Florida
I know it’s not really Tennessee’s style to take a receiver before the fourth round, but Harvin is a huge steal here; he could have just as easily gone top 15. Him and Chris Johnson on the same field would be deadly
31. New York Giants – George Selvie DE South Florida
People are going to say Selvie went too low, but I’m not sure this is low enough. 6-4, 242 is pretty horrific size from a 4-3 DE, and I don’t see him blowing by tackles the way he does in the Big East. Regardless, the Giants love their DE’s, and this gives them the option of moving Kiwanuka back to SLB.
32. Pittsburgh Steelers – Jason Smith OT Baylor
Pittsburgh needs to find a way to protect Roethlisberger, or he won’t be long for this league. Smith doesn’t have the kind of bulk Pittsburgh looks for, but their offensive line coach should be fired anyway.
33. Detroit Lions – Derrick Williams WR Penn State
Roy Williams is gone and the Mike Martz duo of Shaun McDonald and Mike Furrey isn’t shouldn’t be starting in this league. Williams gives the Lions an ultra-talented receiver to pair with Calvin Johnson and return kicks.
34. Kansas City Chiefs – Dannell Ellerbe MLB Georgia
It’s either him or Beckwith, but I think Ellerbe translates better to MLB. Certainly better than Pat Thomas.
35. St. Louis Rams – Colt McCoy QB Texas
I don’t like passing on an offensive lineman again, especially in favor of a young QB, but McCoy is good value at this point, and St. Louis needs a young QB badly.
36. Cincinnati Bengals – Knowshon Moreno RB Georgia
No, I didn’t forget him. He’s just not that good. This is a good spot for him though.
37. Oakland Raiders – Alex Mack C California
The offensive line retooling continues with another dominant run blocker. Jake Grove has been a bust.
38. San Francisco 49ers – Brian Cushing OLB Southern California
Great fit as an athletic rush backer in the 3-4, would also fit as a SLB in the 4-3.
39. Seattle Seahawks – Louis Murphy WR Florida
Would have gone with Colt McCoy, but instead a physically gifted receiver to replace Branch and/or Engram down the line.
40. Miami Dolphins – Everette Brown DE/OLB Florida State
I couldn’t tell if he’s better than Ricky Sapp at this point, but Miami could use either rush backer on the weak side.
41. Houston Texans – Kam Chancellor SS Virginia Tech
I’m looking through Texans history, and I’m not seeing one good, or even decent, safety. Chancellor fixes that.
42. Minnesota Vikings – Phil Loadholt OT Oklahoma
Why is a mediocre center playing right tackle?
43. Cleveland Browns – Charles Scott RB Louisiana State
People like to claim that Scott has 4.4 speed when they’re pumping him up, and that’s just not true. He looks like a 4.55 at best. However, he runs hard and punishes defenders, and he’s a potential workhouse with very little mileage. He’d be an excellent pick for Cleveland.
44. Baltimore Ravens – Brandon Pettigrew TE Oklahoma State
Am I crazy or is Todd Heap done? I say cut your losses and pick up a very good all around tight end in Pettigrew.
45. Atlanta Falcons – Sean Weatherspoon OLB Missouri
Long-term replacement for Keith Brooking.
46. New York Giants (f/NO) – Jamon Meredith OT/OG South Carolina
Is a potential left tackle, but is also getting experience at guard.
47. Green Bay Packers – Xavier Fulton OT Illinois
The Packers value athletic linemen and Fulton’s stock will rise around the draft.
48. New England Patriots – Alphonso Smith CB Wake Forest
The Patriots drafted Wheatley and Wilhite last year, and they’ll both develop into serviceable corners, but they’re not done adding youth.
49. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Javon Ringer RB Michigan State
No receivers that I particularly like, no QB’s…I guess I could go with Peria Jerry…but screw it, I’m going with Ringer, who isn’t going to fall much further than this. Graham is the unquestioned number one, but even if Dunn doesn’t move on next year, Ringer will be a nice long-term replacement.
50. New York Jets – Alex Boone OT Ohio State
Long-term replacement for Damien Woody.
51. Indianapolis Colts – Peria Jerry DT Mississippi
They really need to load up on DTs, and Jerry can play the nose in Indianapolis.
52. Philadelphia Eagles – Travis Beckum TE Wisconsin
They can use him how they use Smith.
53. Chicago Bears – Maurice Evans DE Penn State
The Bears’ pass rush has been pathetic this year; Mark Anderson has been especially ineffective. Dan Bazuin didn’t work out, so Angelo will take another shot at a pass rusher.
54. Buffalo Bills – Vance Walker DT Georgia Tech
At the very least, he’ll provide depth after McCargo is sent packing.
55. Arizona Cardinals – Cody Brown OLB/DE Connecticut
Another underrated Husky, will provide youth at a position where Arizona is pretty old.
56. New England Patriots (f/SD) – Chase Coffman TE Missouri
New England loves their tight ends, and this pick would actually make sense.
57. Dallas Cowboys – Terrance Taylor DT Michigan
Could get away with playing the nose in Wade Phillips’ scheme, and would let Jay Ratliff kick to end.
58. Denver Broncos – Rashad Johnson S Alabama
Another upgrade in the secondary.
59. Jacksonville Jaguars – Darry Beckwith MLB Louisiana State
Long-term replacement for Mike Peterson.
60. Miami Dolphins (f/Was) – Patrick Chung S Oregon
Great value, and continues the upgrade in the secondary.
61. Carolina Panthers – Domonique Johnson CB Jackson State
I’ve never seen this guy, and until the Senior Bowl, I don’t plan to, but if he runs a 4.4 at 6-2, 200, he won’t go much later than this.
62. Tennessee Titans – Kevin Barnes CB Maryland
Finnegan is amazing, but Harper’s only got a couple years of being a good starter left.
63. New York Giants – Fili Moala DT Southern California
A bit of a character concern, but a ton of talent.
64. Pittsburgh Steelers – Evander Hood DT/DE Missouri
Depth at DE.