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View Full Version : Help JBond win $250 by picking NFL games!


Shane P. Hallam
10-22-2008, 03:57 PM
Hey everyone,

This year, I joined an NFL Pick'Em League. It's $10 a week. The overall winner gets 3 Grand, the weekly winner gets $250. Let's just say, the majority of weeks, I've sucked royally. So, I need to win one week straight up to make a profit (or even my money back :P). I've tried some gimmicks, picking all home teams, picking based on line changes, etc, none have worked well, so I figured, my next gimmick would be to ask NFLDC.

Rule 1: This thread is not to argue for your team, or about games, or what not. All I want is picks with maybe some top notch analysis!

Rule 2: The lines don't change. We take the early Wednesday line and stick with it.

Rule 3: I'll likely tally and go with the majority, though it is close, I'll lean my way.

Rule 4: Don't be a homer here. Money is involved! Especially with lines involved, you don't have to be a homer to call these as you see them.


So, here are the games to pick against the spread!

Atlanta (+9) @ Philly

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore

St. Louis (+7) @ New England

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)

Also, feel free to predict the MNF total score (e.g. 35 points, 51 points, etc) as the tiebreaker!

UKfan
10-22-2008, 04:00 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore

St. Louis (+7) @ New England

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)

My picks in bold.

awfullyquiet
10-22-2008, 04:03 PM
What's in it for me?

No. Really. You're going on luck here to a certain extent...

knowledge will net you 8 games. luck will net you 6 more.

that said

edit:

Atlanta (+9) @ Philly

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore

St. Louis (+7) @ New England

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)

Shane P. Hallam
10-22-2008, 04:04 PM
Both sound better than my usual 4!

tjsunstein
10-22-2008, 04:07 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore

St. Louis (+7) @ New England

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)

Dr. Gonzo
10-22-2008, 04:08 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore

St. Louis (+7) @ New England

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)

Also, feel free to predict the MNF total score (e.g. 35 points, 51 points, etc) as the tiebreaker!

Picks in bold. Total score of MNF, 47.

awfullyquiet
10-22-2008, 04:10 PM
Both sound better than my usual 4!

I think you have to look at what are the sure bets this week.

What do you think are the sure bets? (i can tell you, atlanta sounds like one of them... that +9 is really tempting)

EvilMonkey
10-22-2008, 04:13 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore

St. Louis (+7) @ New England

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)

that's just my gut, the lines are pretty brutal this week (i can honestly not guarantee these picks dont go 0-14 this week, so value my picks accordingly), might be the first time in a while i dont put any money on any games

Shane P. Hallam
10-22-2008, 04:15 PM
I think you have to look at what are the sure bets this week.

What do you think are the sure bets? (i can tell you, atlanta sounds like one of them... that +9 is really tempting)

There aren't any. Last week, I thought Oakland was for sure going to lose by at least 3, they did not. I mean, sure bets and spread don't match. I'm just looking for a multitude of perspectives so we can pick out of strength!

619
10-22-2008, 04:19 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore

St. Louis (+7) @ New England

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)
Total MNF Score : 44 points

iloxygenil
10-22-2008, 04:26 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly 9 points is just too much, Philly wins, but Atlanta covers

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina Carolina @ home vs a west coast team traveling across the country and while I love Arizona's offense, Carolina's defense matches up well this week.

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami I don't know what it is, but Miami is very unpredictable, Buffalo, are they REALLY that good? They may be, but I like Miami to edge em out this week

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ 13 points is just too much to not go with. I don't count on the Jets defense being capable enough to keep them from scoring 20, which will put them close enough to hold within 2 touchdowns.

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore Sure, Jamarcus looked good last week, but he didn't see this defense either, I like him to give it up and give it up big time, to the tune of a 14+ point spread for the Ravens

St. Louis (+7) @ New England St. Louis not the same team it was starting out this season, with the coach gone, it's like they're playing inspired football, New England is old, and banged up, I like St. Louis to win this game outright.

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe) You never can tell what you're going to get out of the Chargers, and this game is literally a coin flip being that it's played in Europe, but I like Drew Brees with an improved rushing attack now that Bush is out.

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas Dallas has to win by more than a fieldgoal, and Tampa Bay has a really stingy defense, but Dallas is up against it right now, Brad Johnson can handle the blitz, at least mentally, I like Dallas' offense to catch fire here at home.

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit How can you pick Detroit? They're bound to win a game one week, but not against Clinton Portis, not picking a RB vs the Lions, well that's just foolish, one as good as Portis, that's just lunacy. Washington by 10.

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville Cleveland is without K2, the off field issues are going to have that team distracted and the power of Jacksonville is going to dominate in this game, that physical defense and powerful running attack get it done this week. They won't have to score much, Cleveland's offense sputters almost to a complete stop this week.

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston You can't give Houston that much credit, 9.5 against an offense that can score, haven't much this season, but 9.5 is way too much, I pick Houston to win, but Cinci will cover this spread.

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh Fantastic game, big time matchup, That Steeler defense is fierce, I like Ben even with his offensive line struggling a bit, I also like Santonio Holmes to have a big game this week. I know the Giants defense has been good, but I just like the matchup this week for Pitt.

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran New coach, off the field issues, lots of distraction...well that just gives Singletary more fuel to get these guys focused, Seattle is banged up and just aren't good at football right now, I like San Fran at home to win by 7.

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (45) Good tight game, but I like Tennessee's defense this week, maybe Indy's offense was overlooking the potent Green Bay pass coverage, but they're looking into the eyes of a different animal this week. Tennessee has a lot to prove, this is their stage to prove it, I don't think they'll have a let down.

Turtlepower
10-22-2008, 04:44 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly

I think Philly will win, but this is a very generous spread. I like Atlanta to cover the spread here with Matty Ice keeping it close. The Falcons o-line has done a wonderful job protecting Ryan this year and even though they haven't seen a pass rush as good as Philly, I still expect the o-line to perform well.

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina

I think the Cardinals are a top-5 team this season... AT HOME. They need to prove that they can play on the road before I'll pick them to win on the east coast.

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami

Honestly, is there something I'm missing with this line. I understand that the Bills don't score big points on teams, but they just win. As long as they outscore win this game, I think it would be hard not to cover the spread.

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ

The Jets are currently 0-2 against the AFC West. I see them winning this game, but not covering the spread. I would like more consistency with the team before I pick them when they are favored by such a huge spread.

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore

Argh... This one is tough. I think I'd just pick Oakland here because both teams can't score points. My only worry would be Baltimore's defense overpowering Oakland. On second thought, I think that Baltimore's dominant run defense will stop Oakland from getting much done.

St. Louis (+7) @ New England

St. Louis looks better, but still isn't that good. New England should win this one by halftime.

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)

The field will be wet, so the win goes to whoever can run the ball. San Diego edges out New Orleands sans Reggie Bush.

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas

In Brad Johnson's homecoming, he won't even have time to throw. Monte Kiffin is doing an amazing job this season and will demonstrate how good his defense is.

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit

I just can't pick Detroit. Then again, Washington screams upset here.

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville

Without Kellen Winslow Cleveland beat the Giants. Without Winslow, Cleveland will compete with the Jaguars. Shaun Rogers will stop the running game for the Jags and force Garrard to throw. I'm not sure if Garrard can win games on his own.

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston

Can Houston really win by this much? I think not. That is really my entire assessment for the game.

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh

The Giants defense will kill Big Ben. The game is at Pittsburgh, but it isn't much of a factor for a team that is normally great on the road.

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran

San Francisco has everything going for them this week with Singletary as the HC. The Seahawks start Seneca Wallace.

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)

12-26. That is the combined record for the teams that Tennessee has faced. They have only faced 2 offensives ranked in the top-21. I gotta go with the experienced team here.

Also, feel free to predict the MNF total score (e.g. 35 points, 51 points, etc) as the tiebreaker!

24-14 Colts.

PACKmanN
10-22-2008, 04:50 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore

St. Louis (+7) @ New England

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)

awfullyquiet
10-22-2008, 04:53 PM
Seattle (+5) @ San Fran

San Francisco has everything going for them this week with Singletary as the HC. The Seahawks start Seneca Wallace.


Wait. Seattle starts Seneca Wallace?

I endorse TP's statement.

regoob2
10-22-2008, 05:16 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore

St. Louis (+7) @ New England

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)

giantsfan
10-22-2008, 05:40 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly
Between philly's underachieving and the impressive play of the falcons I've gotta go with the falcons with that spread.

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina
Carolina, if the cards win it'll be close and decided by a FG late.

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami
Bills, division games are tough but this is the bills first divisional game of the season and the players are excited.

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ
Brett Favre should put up a lot of points if that D can force turnovers.

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore
I like oakland in this because I think they have a chance to win and see a FG being the difference either way.

St. Louis (+7) @ New England
Love what we've seen from the rams, but the Patriots have momentum off that drumming of the cutlers.

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)
Saints are just too injured plagued and while Brees will probably out perform Rivers I just don't see NO losing by less than a TD.

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas
If romo plays go with the cowboys to bounce back and rally around they're ailing quarterback. If not expect Kiffin's defense to take advantage of Brad Johnson.

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit
Washington. Portis should have a season high caliber game. Cambell will have a productive day and will protect the football not giving Detroit any short fields. I see a big blow out here.

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville
I like the jags to come out and put a beat down on the winslow-less browns.

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston
Gotta go with a Houston in what could be a statement game for the ever improving Texans.

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh
I'm a giants fan so I think our running game will be able to move the chains against their D to wear out those monster pass rushers on the outside. defensively I like our secondary on their receivers and if spags stays creative with his twists and stunts and we get pressure we should be able to win this with a late drive for a TD or a FG to break the tie.

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran
I like the 9ers by a TD+ in Mike Singletary's first game as HC.

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)
I like the colts to hand the Titans their first loss, I think they're a veteran team that'll rise to the occasion against the division leader in a must win game for them.

Colts 26-Titans 23
49 total points.

Shane P. Hallam
10-22-2008, 05:47 PM
Arizona is getting 4.5, so if they win, I win with that pick. If they lose by a FG, same.

giantsfan
10-22-2008, 05:52 PM
Arizona is getting 4.5, so if they win, I win with that pick. If they lose by a FG, same.

Yeah, my bad, that was a brain fart on my part.

yodabear
10-22-2008, 06:37 PM
Listen to Evilmonkey and packmann they seems like to be the only ones knowing what he is talking about in here.

PACKmanN
10-22-2008, 06:57 PM
I agree yoda. Why are people putting away the Dallas win like it was nothing, that gave the Rams all the momentum they need for the season.

CJSchneider
10-22-2008, 07:02 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore

St. Louis (+7) @ New England

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)

B-Dawk
10-22-2008, 08:46 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore

St. Louis (+7) @ New England

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF) 31

princefielder28
10-22-2008, 09:24 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina
-Carolina is at home this week and they are playing some of the best football in the league. Granted Arizona had a big win against Dallas in their last game, but Carolina is riding a high and their defense was rather impressive against New Orleans.

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami
-Back-to-back losses for Miami and it gets no easier

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ
-Kansas City SUCKS

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore
-Oakland's offense will get a warm welcome from Baltimore and will struggle big time. Flacco manages the game and the Ravens win by double figures.

St. Louis (+7) @ New England

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas
-TWO WORDS : Brad Johnson

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston
-Houston is finding a groove and Fitzpatrick is hopeless

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh
-The Giants haven't been lighting the world on fire and last time they hit the road, they were hit hard. Pittsburgh gets Willie back and their offense becomes more dynamic.

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran
-Hasselbeck may play this week and even if he doesn't the 49ers aren't really riding a high wave right now after the dismissal of Nolan.

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)
-Indy's run defense is in rough shape right now and their offense got shut down by a beat up Green Bay squad. Tennessee, on a late TD, covers.

*Note : I am the top Capper in Borat's thread in Off-Topic

dunagan15
10-22-2008, 09:55 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore

St. Louis (+7) @ New England

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)

BrownsTown
10-22-2008, 10:14 PM
I edit this post because Emeril-bond tells me to.

UK_Cheesehead
10-23-2008, 05:30 AM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly

Although I actually think Philly will win this game, the Falcons with a 9 pt head start is huge, while I don't expect the Falcons' impressive start to the season continue for long, they're no pushovers so I'll go for them on the spread.

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina

I really like the look of Carolina this year, strong on D, have a great 1-2 punch at RB and Delhomme looks good again now and we all know about Smith. The Cardinals should make the playoffs, but I have my concerns with them on the road, and the Panthers at home are formidable. Panthers all day.

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami

Edwards is really stepping up this year, and although the Fins look better than last year, they still have a long way to go, at less than a FG to win on the spread, you HAVE to take the Bills.

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ

It's Kansas City.

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore

The Ravens D is playing lights out right now, and as long as Flacco doesn't turn the ball over I think the Ravens win this game quite comfortably.

St. Louis (+7) @ New England

Can never count out the Pats, even with all these injuries stacking up, in a wide open NFC I can see them sneaking into the playoffs with a wildcard. Been impressed with the Rams lately, but I feel the Pats will have just too much for them at home.

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)

This one all depends on the weather to be honest, if it rains we see Deuce run all day, if it's a nice sunny day it all depends who can out throw each other, I like the Chargers, they are hit and miss so much it's unreal, but last week they were miss, so this week they'll be hit.

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas

Bucs D is solid, Dallas are struggling on O now, and their D looks all over the shop, if Garcia plays I like the Bucs alot in this.

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit

It's the Detroit Lions.

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville

After a bad start to the season the Jags have bounced back impressively, I expect them to continue their good run with a Browns side coming to town with no Winslow.

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston

Now although I don't think Cincy will win, I don't think they'll get blown away either, so with a 9.5 pt lead, I'm liking them, they ran the Giants close and should've won, they ran the Cowboys close and probably towards the end should've won, I feel a win is coming for them, it's where and when.

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh

Giants at a +2.5 spread? All day long, although I've tipped the Steelers to win the whole thing, as long as Eli doesn't turn the ball over they win, because that D is going to see a helluva lot of Big Ben and one of those hits could well take it's toll on him.

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran

I like Singletary to pick up his first win here, Seahawks look real bad this year, and with the buzz a team suddenly usually gets after a new coach comes in will see the 49ers take the W.

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)

The Titans are one of the best teams in the league at running the ball, and the Colts are one of the worst teams in the league at stopping the run. Simple really.

I'll go for 31 points in the Colts-Titans game.

Think I'll be putting these on at my own bookies at about 12/13 fold just incase the majority (for a change lol) actually come in.

Shane P. Hallam
10-23-2008, 01:28 PM
Alright, getting down to the end, I'll be setting these tonight and posting what the final tallies and what I went with are! Any clear majorities, I'll be trusting all of you. Any of them close, I've been reading all your analysis, and I'll be choosing based on those!

PackerLegend
10-23-2008, 04:02 PM
I heard on ESPN.com somewhere you can win 1 Million if you pick 25 games in a row right. I dont know exactly how it works but I was listening to ESPN Radio and they said it. With how unpredectable the NFL is it will be pretty impossible though.

I think the keyword is "Streak" on espn.com ... not 100% sure if i remember though.

Shane P. Hallam
10-23-2008, 06:56 PM
Break downs:

Atlanta: 13
Philly: 3

Pretty clear cut, I'm going Falcons

Arizona: 6
Carolina: 10

One of the toughest games, I'm going with the majority. I underrate Carolina, but I do love the Cards right now. Carolina is the pick.

Buffalo: 15

Miami: 1

Pretty clear

Kansas City: 5

NYJ: 11

The last time KC got so many points at home was against Denver, but I'll stick with the majority. Though, some big home dogs

Oakland: 4

Baltimore: 12

Another one I may have gone the other way, but we'll go with the Baltimore D

St. Louis: 5

New England: 11

Will St. Louis' magic run end? You all think so.

San Diego: 10

New Orleans: 6

Closer, but no Bush and San Diego having the adjustment time to Europe, all majority so far!

Tampa Bay: 11

Dallas: 5

TB hot and getting points against a cold Dallas team. You guys like it!

Cleveland: 5

Jacksonville: 11

I guess I missed Jacksonville getting good, but it seems they have. We'll see if the secondary can stop DA + Braylon, I'll pick Jacksonville

Washington: 16

Detroit: 0

Yeah.

Cincinnati: 8

Houston: 9

A close match, so I was pondering going against the grain. Can Houston beat anyone by 10? It got closer, I'm taking Cinci.

Pittsburgh: 7

NYG: 9

Going with the majority against my Steelers.

Seattle: 3

San Fran: 13

Seattle looks bad, San Fran new coach going to get them going? Going with ya!

Indianapolis: 8

Tennessee: 9

I really do think this is where Peyton steps up, it got closer, I'm going Colts.

Let's hope for 10+ guys!

FlyingElvis
10-24-2008, 02:39 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly
Atlanta has played well, but theyíre giving up a ton of points and Philly can score a ton of points. In their 2 road games against stout rush Ds (TBay & Carolina) they lost by more than 9. Take Philly off the bye week Ė at least we know Reidís record off byes.

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina
Tough call here, but Carolinaís D is just rude. Iíd give them the 3 point favorite if it were in AZ, so I see no reason to expect anything less than 6 points as the home team. I like Arizonaís offense better than the Jets. I donít expect Jake to throw 6 TDs, but I wonít be surprised to see the Cards D give up big points in the dreaded East Coast 1pm game.

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami
1.5? Really? Buffalo is a good team. Iím not willing to say the same about Miami. Winning against NE or SD is no longer the great accomplishment it would have been in the 06 & 07 seasons.

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ
It is always difficult to take a 13 point favorite, unless theyíre playing the Chiefs with no LJ. Jets cover.

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore
The Ravens at home. Oakland may make this one a fun game to watch Ė as long as you like low scoring games with subpar QB play. I like the Ravens D to score at least once, which should be all you need in a game that will be field goals by both Os.

St. Louis (+7) @ New England
Um, how late can you enter the picks? If you can wait until you know Jacksonís status I might be tempted to say take the Rams. An established run game that allows for play-action passing is the best way to burn the Pats DBs. With Jackson out itís a Pats win. With him in Iím still tempted to say take the Pats, so I guess Iíll say Pats cover at home.

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe)
Saints. How can the team with the worst pass D be favored against the team with the best pass O?? Laughable.

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas
Take Tampa. Romo isnít going to play so Tampaís D will play Barber and force Johnson to win with his arm. See how silly that sounds when it is written out like that? I canít see any way the Cowboys win this one.

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit
How is this one not a double digit spread? Note to the Redskins D Coordinator: double team Calvin every play, even if heís on the sidelines. Take the Skins Ė even if they come out flat Portis will pick it up in the second half, same as every other week.

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville
Jags. Taylor. Milestones. Iím pretty sure you know how I feel about this game.

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston
Houston Texans. Theyíre quite possibly the hottest team in the league right now and the Bengals are in no position to slow them down.

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh
This is a very hard game to call. Aside from their hiccup against the Browns the Giants have been incredible. Pittís D is stingy, and the spread is a classic home team line. Iíd take the Steelers at home b/c Eli has slowed down and so has the Giants sack total.

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran
San Fran. Seattle hasnít been able to stop anybody, and their offense is still a collection of broken pieces.

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)
Iíll go with Indy. Tennessee is strong, but I think itís safe to expect the youngsters to have the jitters in the national spotlight, and old man Kerry to finally screw up at the worst time. 24 Ė 20 win for the Colts.

Also, feel free to predict the MNF total score (e.g. 35 points, 51 points, etc) as the tiebreaker!

FlyingElvis
10-24-2008, 02:42 PM
D'OH !!

posted before reading the whole thread.

Geo
10-24-2008, 02:52 PM
Hmm, I suppose I'll put my picks in this thread then. And add a comment for JB where necessary.

Eagles over Falcons. I believe Andy Reid has lost only once after a bye week, and that was against the Patriots in the Super Bowl. Plus I'm sure the Eagles offense has been working over efficiency in the red zone these last two weeks, so I like them to get the home win. Matt Ryan is going to face more pressure than the Bears delivered - or didn't, as it were. (I like the Eagles to cover as long as the weather holds up, otherwise that could not only limit the Philly passing game, but provide some missed FG opportunities from Akers. He's not a good kicker anymore.)

Panthers over Cardinals. Arizona plays well at home, especially once their offense gets hot. However this is a road game against Carolina's solid defense and balanced offense, so I think their losses on the road continue this week. Travis Laboy is still hurting, which isn't good for their defense, but I think we'll see the return of Anquan Boldin which is very good news. (Would have been nice if the Panthers were favored by 3.5, as I could see them winning by 4. As it is, I'll still take them although Warner and the Cards could make it interesting in potential catch-up mode.)

Bills over Dolphins. Miami will put up a good fight, moreso on offense I think as Pennington can find Camarillo and other receivers in the open zones. However with Trent Edwards delivering accurate passes himself and Buffalo's strong running game led by Marshawn Lynch and Fred Jackson, the Bills are my pick to take this latest game in a great divisional rivalry. (I like the Bills here, even if they win close it's by more than one point.)

Jets over Chiefs. New York could very well be without both Cotchery and Mrs. Pennington, but I have to think the Jets still win this, playing at home and after losing last week. The defense should get this done. (Missing both starting wide receivers would usually trigger cautiousness, but as long as Kris Jenkins continues to clog up the middle, that could result in turnovers from the Immortal Tyler Thigpen at the Meadowlands.)

Ravens over Raiders. Three big reasons: (1) A not-dominant west coast team traveling to the east coast, for a 1 PM EST start to boot; (2) Running the ball is big for the Raiders, however the Ravens shut down the run; and (3) Rex Ryan will probably be motivated to showcase his own defense with his brother on the opposite sideline. (I like the Ravens to cover, I'm not sure the Raiders can keep it as close as the Dolphins did last week.)

Patriots over Rams. St. Louis could use the big plays, turnovers, and touchdowns instead of field goals as they had last week, to get their third straight win over a headline team. I doubt the Patriots will overlook them in any way though, even if their annual match-up against the Colts is looming. (S-Jax being dinged up and possibly missing this game pushes it to the Pats covering imo.)

Saints over Chargers. Very tempted to pick San Diego, on the basis of Rivers passing on the Saints' secondary. But if the Chargers continue to get no pressure on the quarterback and their secondary doesn't live up to its potential, I have to go with the leading MVP in Drew Brees and the rest of the New Orleans squad to win this international showcase. But if the Saints continue to commit their stupid penchant of penalties and turnovers, the Chargers can and will jump on them. (I would think this is a high scoring game, even though neither running game gets going.)

Buccaneers over Cowboys. Dallas also knows the struggle of a defense not getting enough pressure on the opposing quarterback coupled with a struggling secondary. So as much as they need a win to stop their freefall, I think a good Bucs' offensive line can allow Jeff Garcia to make some plays down the field to help get the road win. And I've been meaning to say, from a few comments I made during the offseason here at NFLDC, I underestimated Tampa's defense.

Redskins over Lions. Detroit usually plays better at home defensively, and they will be desperate to get a win given the possibility of 0-16 with their remaining schedule. And maybe it's just me, but the Lions seem to be doing a much better job against the run, however their pass defense is of great concern. Which could mean Jason Campbell finding Cooley and Moss down the field, in addition to Clinton Portis marching on this season. (I like the Redskins to cover, they have an excellent pass defense so they should still limit any garbage time scores from Detroit.)

Jaguars over Browns. I think Cleveland actually has a real chance to win this game, but they've been so inept at times this season, I can't count on them to pull it off. The Jags are hurting at wide receiver, but thankfully for them they still have Matt Jones (never thought I'd be saying that a few months ago) not yet suspended. I don't think Jacksonville's running game has a big day against Shaun Rogers and the rest of the Browns' front seven, but the offense as a whole might do enough if Cleveland's offense continues to struggle and disappoint. (Not sure that the Jags cover the touchdown, it might be a little closer than that even if it's just two field goals.)

Texans over Bengals. Texans play better at home, especially their offense, and in that vein I think they continue their winning ways. Andre Johnson has really awakened the last few weeks, however I think the two primadonna receivers in Cincy can catch some balls and make this closer than some might think. Ryan Fitzpatrick doesn't look so terrible, as he's getting time and experience as a starter. (9.5 seems a lot, I think the Bengals could keep it closer than that. The Texans couldn't close out the Lions last week, then again all it takes is an additional FG over a 7-point lead.)

Giants over Steelers. Tempted to pick the Steelers at home, but I have a hunch that Big Blue gets some good pressure on Roethlisberger to help them win the game. Plus Santonio Holmes is inactive for being a dope, and Aaron Smith hasn't practiced all week due to a personal matter. The Steelers could definitely use both guys.

Forty-Niners over Seahawks. I wouldn't make this my Eliminator pick or anything, but I think the Niners can win this at home over the struggling Hasselbeck-less Hawks. (I don't like San Fran to cover however, 5 seems too much to me in this division game and with the JTO ready to rock your face and turn the ball over.)

Colts over Titans. Another pair of division rivals squaring off, very familiar and very physical with one another. Those two factors helping to produce four very close games the last two years, and I would expect a similar result this Monday night. Indianapolis' run defense actually comes into this game a bit maligned, having played well against the Ravens (2.7 ypc) and at the Packers (3.3 ypc) the last two weeks, but no doubt one of their greatest challenges awaits in the Titans' offensive line and Chris Johnson plus his TD vulture in White. I have a gut feeling that ball security might come into play for both Titans' runningbacks, the Colts' defense will try to force some turnovers themselves to give their offense additional scoring opportunities and/or shorter fields. The Tennessee crowd will be an even madder and more excited house with the national primetime lights shining, but the Colts usually do a great job of embracing the Monday night stage themselves. I think they pull off the very close victory, leaving everyone to mentally circle the Week 17 rematch.

Shane P. Hallam
10-26-2008, 08:34 PM
Three right. I'm on fire!

PACKmanN
10-26-2008, 08:43 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly RIGHT

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina RIGHT

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami WRONG

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ RIGHT

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore RIGHT

St. Louis (+7) @ New England RIGHT

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe) RIGHT

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas WRONG

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit RIGHT

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville WRONG

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston RIGHT

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh RIGHT

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran WRONG

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)
9-4, not bad. :)

tjsunstein
10-26-2008, 08:46 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina -WIN

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami - LOSS

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ - LOSS

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore - WIN

St. Louis (+7) @ New England - PUSH

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe) - LOSS

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas - WIN

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit - WIN

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville - LOSS

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston - LOSS

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh - WIN

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran - WIN

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)

6-5-1. Sucks ass week.

tylerb929
10-27-2008, 09:54 AM
9-4, not bad. :)

6-5-1. Sucks ass week.

Did I miss something? why are you both counting it as the Chiefs beating the Jets?

Gay Ork Wang
10-27-2008, 10:03 AM
Did I miss something? why are you both counting it as the Chiefs beating the Jets?
the chiefs covered the spread, if u add those +13 points to the chiefs score

Dr. Gonzo
10-27-2008, 12:41 PM
I did pretty damn good at 8-3-1. Everyone else = epic fail!

UK_Cheesehead
10-27-2008, 12:45 PM
Atlanta (+9) @ Philly - WRONG

Arizona (+4.5) @ Carolina - WRONG

Buffalo (-1.5) @ Miami - WRONG

Kansas City (+13) @ NYJ - WRONG

Oakland (+7) @ Baltimore - RIGHT

St. Louis (+7) @ New England - WRONG

San Diego (-3) vs. New Orleans (in Europe) - WRONG

Tampa Bay (+3.5) @ Dallas - WRONG

Washington (-7.5) @ Detroit - RIGHT

Cleveland (+7) @ Jacksonville - WRONG

Cincinnati (+9.5) @ Houston - WRONG

New York Giants (+2.5) @ Pittsburgh - RIGHT

Seattle (+5) @ San Fran - WRONG

Indianapolis (+4) @ Tennessee (MNF)

I'll go for 31 points in the Colts-Titans game.



LMAO, my record so far is 3-10.

I suck so bad.