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Nimmy
01-05-2009, 11:18 PM
1. Detroit - Andre Smith OT Alabama
Everyone has the Lions taking a QB here, but you know what? I don't see it. Smith is a dominating tackle, better than Long and Joe Thomas in my opinion. The Lions can find someone serviceable and then target a QB in the draft next year. As it stands right now they could draft Jesus Christ as a QB and he'd spend more time on his back than throwing the ball. Smith solves problems and paves the way for a franchise QB down the line.

2. St. Louis - Sam Bradford QB Oklahoma
I think Stafford is probably the best QB prospect in the draft, but St. Louis values accuracy and decision making over arm strength and potential. Look at Warner, Green, and Bulger for evidence. I think Bradford fits in well. Bulger is done, can't stay healthy, and isn't great when he can.

3. Kansas City - Brian Orakpo DE Texas
12 sacks. The lowest since the merger I think. Orakpo is a stud and will help their pass rush a lot. I think Thigpen can play, so why draft Stafford?

4. Seattle - Michael Crabtree WR Texas Tech
Seattle could look QB, but I think Hasselbeck and even Seneca Wallace are serviceable in the NFL. Crabtree would be a massive upgrade at WR.

5. Cleveland - Aaron Curry LB Wake Forest
They need a lot, but Curry is versatile enough to solve a lot of problems. He can play multiple LB positions in a 3-4 if they stick with that, and he can play OLB in a 4-3. Gives the Browns a lot of flexibility, plus the kid can flat out play.

6. Cincinnati - Eugene Monroe OT Virginia
Cincy really needs a tackle to protect Carson Palmer. Dude can't stay healthy because the O-Line is a sieve.

7. Oakland - Jason Smith OT Baylor
Another team that desperately needs O-Line help. I could see them take Malcolm Jenkins because Asamouga may leave in free agency, but I think Smith is on the same level as Jenkins, and Oakland should make every effort to resign their superstar CB.

8. Jacksonville- Michael Oher OT Mississippi
Ladies and Gentlemen (mostly gentlemen), we have a run on tackles. There really are four elite ones this year, and shocker of shockers all the bad teams need offensive tackles. I don't think they take Stafford because Garrard really can play. It would be totally irresponsible to give up on him in my opinion.

9. N.Y. Jets (from Green Bay) - Matt Stafford QB Georgia
This is the only trade I made in my draft and I'm going to try to explain why I made this trade and did not do any other ones. First of all, I know more about the Packers than anyone else. Secondly, Stafford is sitting there and someone would definitely jump to take him. Green Bay is probably comfortable enough with their team to trade out of the top ten. Third, Ted Thompson thinks he's smarter than everyone else, but even he would not swing a trade to give Minnesota or Chicago a top QB. The Jets killed Clemens' development with the Favre trade, and Brett is likely leaving now, so they need a QB. I don't know what the Jets give, say #17 and a future 2nd?

10. San Francisco - Taylor Mays S USC
Niners could really use a top safety like Taylor Mays. Has the tools to be a Sean Taylor type player, but there are questions about his heart. There's no way he'll get away with dogging it if Singletary is his coach.

11. Buffalo - Aaron Maybin DE Penn State
They could go a lot of different ways here. DE is a need, and many think Maybin is the top one in the draft. I was thinking they could draft Maualuga and play PP on the outside, but LB isn't as much of a need as DE I feel. A top pass rusher would really help the team. All the tackles with value here have already been taken.

12. Denver - Ray Maualuga LB USC
They need tons of defensive help, and Maualuga next to DJ Williams in the linebacker corps would be a good start.

13. Washington - BJ Raji DT Boston College
They could really use a DT to stop the run and Raji is arguably the best one in the draft.

14. New Orleans - Malcolm Jenkins CB Ohio State
Jenkins falls a bit. It's not that the teams above don't need help at corner, but they just have more pressing needs. New Orleans could definitely use a CB and so they bite on the best one in the draft.

15. Houston - Everette Brown DE Florida State
Texans could use a DE to play opposite Mario Williams and Brown could be a really good player.

16. San Diego - William Moore S Missouri
Chargers take a safety, which is a pretty pressing need. With Beanie Wells on the board and Tomlinson hobbling around in the playoffs, they could DEFINITELY take him with this pick, but I think they can get another year or two out of him especially if they increase Sproles' workload.

17. Green Bay (from Jets)- Greg Hardy DE Mississippi
The reason Green Bay trades down is essentially because I think Orokpo is the top guy on their board, and after that all the top DEs sort of run together. They'd love to get one, but it doesn't really matter who. Also, all the OTs are off the board at #9. A good DE opposite of Kampman is probably the most pressing need for Green Bay, only maybe behind OL help.

18. Chicago - Mark Sanchez QB USC
Honestly, I have no idea what the Bears do. Orton played okay this year, but let's face it the guy's a bum. I don't think there's a real #1 receiver worth taking here after Crabtree, and that's what the Bears really need. Sanchez had a good Rose Bowl, and played excellent against Ohio State, the two games NFL Scouts will be most interested in. He also will likely tear up the combine.

19. Tampa Bay - Jeremy Maclin WR Missouri
They need a QB desperately, but Nate Davis? Come on. Bryant is a legit #1, so they can put Maclin in the slot and have him return kicks and punts. The success of Ginn and DeSean Jackson this year make Maclin look even better.

20. Detroit(via Dallas) - James Laurinaitis LB Ohio State
They take Andre Smith with the top pick, and now take a star linebacker who can play any LB position in the NFL. Lions need help everywhere, so a proven commodity like Laurinaitis goes a long way in my opinion. The people of Michigan might not like it so much, but they'll get over it.

21. Arizona - Beanie Wells RB Ohio State
I like Tim Hightower as much as the next guy, but come on, he's not a #1. Edge can get cut, and Beanie can split with Hightower, sounds good to me. It's a two RB league anyway and Arrington is awful.

22. Philadelphia - Jermaine Gresham TE Oklahoma
LJ Smith? Andy Reid loves Tight Ends and LJ Smith is STILL the TE here? Gresham is the best on the board and fulfills a big need. He can also let Philly use some 2 TE sets, which are SICK for running screen passes.

23. Minnesota - Vontae Davis CB Illinois
They need help in the secondary, and Vontae Davis is a stud. Pure and simple. I'm sure they'd rather replace the aging Darren Sharper, but there isn't another first round safety in the draft.

24. New England - Brandon Spikes LB Florida
Spikes and Mayo. Spikes and Mayo. That sounds sick to me.

25. Atlanta - Gerald McCoy DT Oklahoma
They definitely need a DT, and McCoy is arguably the best one if he declares.

26. Miami - Brian Cushing LB USC
Good LB for Miami. I don't know much about the Dolphis to be honest, but I'm pretty sure they could use an OLB.

27. Baltimore - Percy Harvin WR Florida
How can a team have so many defensive playmakers and zero offensive flash. Harvin isn't a #1, but dude is lightning. Can return kicks and punts, etc.

28. Philadelphia(via Carolina)- Eben Britton OT Arizona
Took a TE, so now address so O-Line issues with their second pick. Britton is rated as one of the top prospects in the country, but may fall a bit because I think he's a noticeable drop from the top 4 OTs. Maybe I'm wrong, I don't know.

29. Indianapolis - Terrence Cody DT Alabama
They REALLY need a DT, and as a Packer fan the enormous Cody reminds me of Gilbert Brown and Grady Jackson. The Colts could really use him to help stop the run, they're in a division where all anyone wants to do is run the ball.

30. Pittsburgh - Duke Robinson OG Oklahoma
If the Steelers want 7 to make it to his 30th birthday they'll draft a lot of offensive linemen.

31. N.Y. Giants - Michael Johnson DE/OLB Georgia Tech
They need another Kiwanuka kind of player, or something, I don't know.

32. Tennessee - Darius Heyward-Bey WR Maryland
They need a #1 receiver in the worst way, and Heyward-Bey might be that guy. They might rate Kenny Britt ahead of him, or go in another direction.

So that's that. Hope this was a solid first post, because I registered here at draft countdown to post my mock. If it sucks, let this n00b know!

thebow305
01-05-2009, 11:23 PM
AWESOME Phins pick, although Cody would work as well.

jdcozart
01-05-2009, 11:39 PM
A couple of things...The golden rule and one that Scott references often is that unless you have a quarterback, you do not pass on a top signal caller. You have eight teams passing on Stafford who most agree has the top physical tools. Also, how could the Lions take an OT with depth of the O-line class. Their need for a QB is tremendous. CJ would be in heaven with a legit QB. I don't like Crabtree anywhere near that high. He doesn't have the top end speed to legitimize taking him that high. Only one WR I can think of in recent memory without top end speed going that high was Fitzgerald and I think we all agree that Fitzgerald had everything else and was a better prospect. Finally, I love the trade and what you said about Ted Thompson. I grew up a Packer fan and I'd be surprised if Thompson doesn't make a trade. You hit the nail on the head when you said TT thinks he's smarter than everyone else!

Nimmy
01-05-2009, 11:49 PM
A couple of things...The golden rule and one that Scott references often is that unless you have a quarterback, you do not pass on a top signal caller. You have eight teams passing on Stafford who most agree has the top physical tools. Also, how could the Lions take an OT with depth of the O-line class. Their need for a QB is tremendous. CJ would be in heaven with a legit QB. I don't like Crabtree anywhere near that high. He doesn't have the top end speed to legitimize taking him that high. Only one WR I can think of in recent memory without top end speed going that high was Fitzgerald and I think we all agree that Fitzgerald had everything else and was a better prospect. Finally, I love the trade and what you said about Ted Thompson. I grew up a Packer fan and I'd be surprised if Thompson doesn't make a trade. You hit the nail on the head when you said TT thinks he's smarter than everyone else!

I agree about QBs for the most part, but I also want to point out that Stafford's inconsistency make him much more of a gamble than someone with his tools should be. To me and many others, he brings memories of Tim Couch and Ryan Leaf. I also think the Lions can get a year out of Culpepper, or Kitna, or someone like Pennington who gets thrown away by another team. Hell, maybe even give Favre a deal (because we all know he's going to suit up next year somewhere). One more thing about the Lions, if Smith truly is at the level of Joe Thomas, and slightly above Long and D'Brickshaw Ferguson, then they have to take him even if they don't have a QB. A superstar LT is the most valuable player in the NFL.

Other than Seattle, who passes on a QB with a need? Quinn is the future in Cleveland, Palmer is there in Cincy, Oakland is going with Jamarcus, and Jacksonville has Garrard. Seattle definitely might bite on Stafford, but I think I addressed that.

Crabtree reminds me of Fitzgerald and Keyshawn. Might not have the top end speed, but he will completely change an offense without it.

RAVENS/WIZARDS/ORIOLES
01-05-2009, 11:52 PM
i dont like the ravens picking harvin ive heard he might end up being a figurs or hester

Nimmy
01-05-2009, 11:56 PM
i dont like the ravens picking harvin ive heard he might end up being a figurs or hester

It's definitely possible, but at the same time I think he is the closest thing to Steve Smith that I've ever seen.

narf029
01-06-2009, 12:11 AM
As far as the Golden Rule goes... I'd follow it, Scott would follow it. NFL teams ignore it. Aaron Rodgers was a top 5 player on mostly every board, the top overall on some. He goes in the 20s. Brady Quinn was the top QB on some boards, he goes in the 20s. The Vikings who plan on starting Tarvaris Jackson passed on Brian Brohm to draft a safety they didn't immediately need. Franchise QB's drop. I like the Packer trade because Thompson does love to trade down, there is no perfect fit for the Packers, and with the 49ers picking 10, Stafford probably does not fall below 10.

Great work for what looks to be your first posted mock draft.

RaiderNation
01-06-2009, 12:31 AM
Good raider pick. Raji, Mays or a DE might be considered too

Nimmy
01-06-2009, 12:35 AM
As far as the Golden Rule goes... I'd follow it, Scott would follow it. NFL teams ignore it. Aaron Rodgers was a top 5 player on mostly every board, the top overall on some. He goes in the 20s. Brady Quinn was the top QB on some boards, he goes in the 20s. The Vikings who plan on starting Tarvaris Jackson passed on Brian Brohm to draft a safety they didn't immediately need. Franchise QB's drop. I like the Packer trade because Thompson does love to trade down, there is no perfect fit for the Packers, and with the 49ers picking 10, Stafford probably does not fall below 10.

Great work for what looks to be your first posted mock draft.

Dolphins went 1-15 last year and passed on Matt Ryan for a dominating LT. LTs seem to be the easiest players to project for the NFL, so why not take the sure thing instead of a couple of guys with question marks. I wouldn't personally touch Bradford because of his age and experience, and Stafford makes a ton of stupid decisions.

I also think the 2000 Ravens changed the NFL forever when they won with Dilfer. You can win without a superstar QB.

Zyro_1014
01-06-2009, 12:43 AM
love the eagles picks!

Babylon
01-06-2009, 12:43 AM
If Seattle passes on Stafford i'm taking the gas pipe.

Dont see Maybin and Cody coming out.

giantsfan
01-06-2009, 01:03 AM
I'm not a big Michael Johnson fan because he only shows up ever 12 play, would rather have DHB to give us a big WR to develop who could stretch the field. We've got a lot of nice smaller guys, but no one who's young and has great size, DHB can be a stud WR with polish and he'll be brought along slowly. Tyson Jackson could be another guy but he to dissappears more than a guy with his talents should, although it's much less common than with Michael Johnson.

jdcozart
01-06-2009, 05:11 AM
Dolphins went 1-15 last year and passed on Matt Ryan for a dominating LT. LTs seem to be the easiest players to project for the NFL, so why not take the sure thing instead of a couple of guys with question marks. I wouldn't personally touch Bradford because of his age and experience, and Stafford makes a ton of stupid decisions.

I also think the 2000 Ravens changed the NFL forever when they won with Dilfer. You can win without a superstar QB.

I like the idea of minimizing risk, but not at the expense of taking the player with the highest ceiling and a great QB is so much more valuable than a Hall of Fame LT. The talent at the QB position in the NFL is terrible right now. Sure you have Brees, Manning and Brady, but the overall level of talent is poor. You have to take the chance and the Dolphins should have taken Ryan in hindsight. Think about it this way. Going into the playoffs which teams did you think couldn't win the Super Bowl? Think about the answer and I bet you they don't have anything more than an average QB.

Gay Ork Wang
01-06-2009, 05:25 AM
i like the pick. its okay

the decider13
01-06-2009, 10:46 AM
It's definitely possible, but at the same time I think he is the closest thing to Steve Smith that I've ever seen.

Eddie Royal is closer to Steve Smith than Harvin.

Broncos pick is ok...seems to be the fashionable pick. Most drafts give the Broncos Maulugua.

broth223
01-06-2009, 10:51 AM
A couple of things...The golden rule and one that Scott references often is that unless you have a quarterback, you do not pass on a top signal caller. You have eight teams passing on Stafford who most agree has the top physical tools. Also, how could the Lions take an OT with depth of the O-line class. Their need for a QB is tremendous. CJ would be in heaven with a legit QB. I don't like Crabtree anywhere near that high. He doesn't have the top end speed to legitimize taking him that high. Only one WR I can think of in recent memory without top end speed going that high was Fitzgerald and I think we all agree that Fitzgerald had everything else and was a better prospect. Finally, I love the trade and what you said about Ted Thompson. I grew up a Packer fan and I'd be surprised if Thompson doesn't make a trade. You hit the nail on the head when you said TT thinks he's smarter than everyone else!

The golden rule is what made Millen draft Harrington ... It doesn't always work. Not that I'm saying that any of these top 3 QBs are anything like Joey but just saying there are times to ignore this rule.

BeerBaron
01-06-2009, 11:10 AM
i like the pick. its okay

yeah, I feel the same way. None of the DE's are there and I don't know if Duke at 18 is that worth it....idk.

I do however wonder whether or not JA would actually take a QB in the first. Seems like he's in more of a win now, we're not far from the superbowl type of mindset.

woodyx02
01-06-2009, 11:11 AM
Mays to the Niners makes me happy! Although they would have to consider Jenkins if he fell to them.

Menardo75
01-06-2009, 01:59 PM
Great niners pick nice work.

proshoota25
01-06-2009, 02:57 PM
AMAZING!!!!! patriots pick. mayo and spikes sounds orgasmic to me as well hahaha

TaylorMade
01-06-2009, 03:35 PM
You got the right position going on for the Skins, but I'd prefer DT Gerald McCoy over BJ Raji. The Skins have two DTs that are pretty good against the run already.