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View Full Version : RavenOfProphecy's 3/24 Mock Draft!


Matthew Jones
03-24-2011, 02:21 PM
Really spent a lot of time researching this mock, and since there were a lot of unpopular/unusual picks, I decided to give some sources that support the projections. There are some guys who go way higher or lower than expected, but I don't think anyone slid unrealistically far or was selected way too high. Let me know what you think!

RAVENOFPROPHECY'S 3/24 MOCK DRAFT!

1. Carolina Panthers - QB Blaine Gabbert, Missouri*

"According to the Gaston Gazette, Blaine Gabbert and Marcell Dareus have emerged as the "odds-on favorites" to be the Panthers' pick at No. 1 overall."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/recent/nfl/6451/blaine-gabbert

2. Denver Broncos - DT Marcell Dareus, Alabama*

"According to NFL Network's Mike Mayock, "everybody in the league" feels it would be an "upset" of the Broncos don't draft Alabama DT Marcell Dareus with the No. 2 pick in the draft."
Source: http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/42239584/ns/sports-player_news/

3. Buffalo Bills - QB Cam Newton, Auburn*

"Sources tell ESPN 101's Tony Softli that the Bills believe Cam Newton "is the franchise quarterback" the organization needs."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6491/player?r=1

4. Cincinnati Bengals - WR Julio Jones, Alabama*

"SI's Peter King reports that the Bengals have Julio Jones rated higher than A.J. Green on their draft board."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/headlines/nfl/202054/report-bengals-prefer-julio-jones-over-green

5. Arizona Cardinals - LB Von Miller, Texas A&M

"The Arizona Republic's Kent Somers predicts that the Cardinals will draft Texas A&M OLB Von Miller if he's available with the No. 5 overall pick."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/recent/nfl/6500/von-miller

6. Cleveland Browns - WR A.J. Green, Georgia*

"Asked where he believes he might land in the draft, Georgia WR A.J. Green says he "keep(s) hearing about Cincinnati or Cleveland.""
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/content/playerpages/playerbreakingnews.asp?sport=NFL&id=6438&line=202152&spln=1

"According to the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, the Falcons are likely to contact the Browns about the No. 6 overall pick if Georgia WR A.J. Green falls past the Bengals at No. 4."
Source: http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/42249648/sports/player_news

7. San Francisco 49ers - CB Patrick Peterson, Louisiana St.*

"In the wake of the NFL Scouting Combine, there has been a lot of buzz around the San Francisco 49ers with No. 7 pick, and more than a few rumors tying them to LSU cornerback Patrick Peterson. The logic is obvious. The 49ers possess a truly glaring need in the secondary, which was arguably their weakest point last season, despite quarterback play that was dismal at times. The case against taking a QB at No. 7 has been concretely established and rehashed, which leaves the 49ers to address a key defensive need with the No. 7 overall pick."
Source: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/631672-2011-nfl-draft-is-patrick-peterson-make-or-break-for-the-san-francisco-49ers

8. Tennessee Titans - DT Nick Fairley, Auburn*

"NFL personnel sources tell FOX Sports' Adam Caplan that Nick Fairley is strictly a "three-technique" tackle who will appeal only to 4-3 teams. This is the main reason Fairley could slide a bit. While Fairley has a monster upside, he's not going to appeal to every team drafting in the top ten. The over-under is probably the Browns at No. 6 overall. We wouldn't be shocked if Fairley went second to Denver, but a slide to the Titans at eight is also conceivable."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6492/player?r=1

9. Dallas Cowboys - OT Tyron Smith, Southern California*

"Hearing the Cowboys "love" Southern Cal OT Tyron Smith and if he works out well could be their guy at pick 9"
Source: http://twitter.com/WesBunting/status/50960655888560128

10. Washington Redskins - QB Jake Locker, Washington

"Redskins coach Mike Shanahan insists that the NFL lockout will not prevent him from drafting a quarterback this April."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6424/player?r=1

11. Houston Texans - CB Prince Amukamara, Nebraska

"The Texans might lean toward Prince Amukamara if they're deciding between Quinn and the Nebraska cornerback."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6557/player?r=1

12. Minnesota Vikings - DE Da'Quan Bowers, Clemson*

"According to ESPN's Todd McShay, NFL teams are concerned that Clemson DE Da'Quan Bowers' knee injury shows up on the field. "I've talked to 12 different teams," McShay said in a Wednesday morning conference call. "There are slightly different versions of what you hear. ... Some people say (Bowers) favors the knee on tape.""
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6463/player?r=1

"According to draft analysts, the 2011 crop of talent is weak at safety, one of the Vikings’ needs, and tight end, but it is strong at defensive end, where the Vikings might be looking for help if they can’t re-sign potential unrestricted free agent Ray Edwards."
Source: http://www.foxsportsnorth.com/03/17/11/Vikings-have-several-ways-to-go-with-No-/landing.html?blockID=442794&feedID=3697

13. Detroit Lions - OT Nate Solder, Colorado

"NFL Network's Mike Mayock expects the Lions to target an offensive tackle such as Boston College's Anthony Castonzo if the top cornerbacks are off the board at No. 13 overall."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6519/player

"Don Banks of Sports Illustrated has posted an updated mock draft, and he has the Lions now taking Colorado offensive tackle Nate Solder with the 13th pick in the first round. In his first mock draft, Banks projected that the Lions would select Boston College offensive tackle Anthony Castonzo."
Source: http://detnews.com/article/20110223/SPORTS0101/102230412/Lions-will-take-Colorado’s-Nate-Solder--Sports-Illustrated-analyst-says#ixzz1HXrUrzGZ

14. St. Louis Rams - DE Aldon Smith, Missouri*

"The St. Louis Post-Dispatch's Jim Thomas thinks the Rams will take a defensive end if both A.J. Green and Julio Jones are gone by the No. 14 pick."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/recent/nfl/6477/aldon-smith

15. Miami Dolphins - OG Mike Pouncey, Florida

"Florida G/C Mike Pouncey expects to be drafted between No. 15 and No. 20 in the first round next month. As evidence, Pouncey points to upcoming visits with the Dolphins, Jags, Patriots, Giants, and Bucs."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6478/player?r=1

"After speaking with several general managers, NFL Network's Steve Wyche wouldn't be surprised if Alabama RB Mark Ingram slipped into the late first or early second round."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6471/mark-ingram

"Coach Tony Sparano is committed to keeping the Dolphins a ground-and-pound, run-first offense going forward. Sparano sidestepped questions about re-signing Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams, suggesting instead that the team will target a speedy homerun hitter in the vein of Detroit's Jahvid Best. That's pretty much the polar opposite skill-set of Alabaman's Mark Ingram, popularly mocked to Miami at No. 15 overall."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/nfl/mia/?r=1

16. Jacksonville Jaguars - DE Ryan Kerrigan, Purdue

"Sources tell SI.com's Tony Pauline that Purdue DE Ryan Kerrigan's draft stock is on the rise to the point where he could be a top-15 pick. Teams drafting in the 11-15 range that might seriously consider Kerrigan include the Texans (No. 11), Vikings (12), and Rams (14). He's been heavily linked to the Jaguars."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/recent/nfl/6495/ryan-kerrigan

17. New England Patriots (from Oakland) - DE Cameron Jordan, California

"The Boston Herald's Ian Rapoport believes Wisconsin DE J.J. Watt is an unlikely draft pick for the Patriots because his agent is Tom Condon. The Pats haven't selected a Condon client since a falling out over Ben Watson's contract negotiations five years ago. It may not be a deal-breaker if the Pats fall in love with Watt, but it certainly seems like Bill Belichick has been steering clear. Also represented by Condon: Mizzou DE Aldon Smith, Boston College LB Mark Herzlich, and Texas CB Aaron Williams."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6469/player?r=1

18. San Diego Chargers - DE J.J. Watt, Wisconsin*

"The San Diego Union-Tribune's Kevin Acee believes Wisconsin DE J.J. Watt will probably be gone when the Chargers pick at No. 18 in the draft. A "monster" in Acee's words, Watt would be a coup for a Chargers team that could lose three of its top four defensive lineman to free agency this offseason. "
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/recent/nfl/6469/jj-watt

"According to the San Diego Union-Tribune, the Chargers will "almost certainly" use the No. 18 overall pick on a defensive end or outside linebacker. The Chargers are dangerously thin at defensive end with two of their top three players at the position (Travis Johnson, Jacques Cesaire) headed to free agency. They'll likely draft an outside linebacker at some point in the first three rounds, but doing so 18th overall would all but be an admission that Larry English was a bust. Look for Cam Jordan, J.J. Watt, and Muhammad Wilkerson to be squarely on GM A.J. Smith's first-round radar."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6507/player?r=1

19. New York Giants - OT Anthony Castonzo, Boston College

"Castonzo is in the group right behind Smith, and makes sense for the Giants. The fact that scouts believe he has left tackle ability, plus the Boston College connection, make him a natural for New York."
Source: http://www.bigblueview.com/2011/3/7/2034965/2011-nfl-draft-anthony-castonzo-boston-college-new-york-giants-mock-draft

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - DE Robert Quinn, North Carolina*

"John McClain of the Houston Chronicle is "hearing" that Robert Quinn's benign brain tumor is "scaring some teams off."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6557/player?r=1

21. Kansas City Chiefs - OT Derek Sherrod, Mississippi St.

"The Kansas City Star suggests that the Chiefs may be looking to move LT Branden Albert to right tackle or guard. The Chiefs led the NFL in rushing a year ago and Albert deserves a ton of credit for that. But moving Albert to right tackle, drafting a left tackle like Mississippi State's Derek Sherrod and sending Barry Richardson to the bench would make some sense."
http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/nfl/kc/?r=1

"Mayock acknowledged Houston's impressive measurables and "explosiveness off the edge," but doesn't believe he deserves a first-round grade. "What I don't like and what a lot of people in the league don't like, is that (Houston's) tape is somewhat lackadaisical," said Mayock. "He's not a great hustler every snap of every game. For me, that puts him in the second round.""
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6556/player?r=1

22. Indianapolis Colts - OG Danny Watkins, Baylor

"The Ravens are one of three teams this week who will work out first-round prospect Danny Watkins, a fast-rising guard-tackle out of Baylor who is one of the more intriguing stories of the draft."
Source: http://www.nfldraftscout.com/ratings/dsprofile.php?pyid=89839&draftyear=2011&genpos=OT

23. Philadelphia Eagles - OT Gabe Carimi, Wisconsin

"NFL Network analyst Mike Mayock compares Wisconsin OT Gabe Carimi to former Eagles OT Jon Runyan. "He's kind of got a little nasty to him," said Mayock. Carimi has improved his draft stock in Senior Bowl practices. The Eagles, picking at No. 23 overall, just happen to have a need at right tackle. "
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/recent/nfl/6518/gabe-carimi

24. New Orleans Saints - DT Muhammad Wilkerson, Temple*

"According to SI.com draft analyst Tony Pauline, the "smart money" is currently on the Saints drafting Temple DT Muhammad Wilkerson in the first round."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6464/player?r=1

"Coach Sean Payton envisions Shaun Rogers as more of a nose tackle than a three-technique tackle. Rogers would seem more suited to the three-technique considering his ability to collapse the pocket, but the Saints will keep Sedrick Ellis in that role. Rogers will eat into Remi Ayodele's snaps instead."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/nfl/no/?r=1

25. Seattle Seahawks - QB Ryan Mallett, Arkansas*

"The Seahawks are planning to draft a quarterback regardless of whether or not they commit to bringing back free agent Matt Hasselbeck. The Seahawks have had dialogue with Hasselbeck about an extension, but recent reports suggest the sides are "miles apart" in monetary terms. Although they gave up two draft picks to acquire Charlie Whitehurst last year, it's quite possible Seattle will take a signal-caller at No. 25."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/nfl/sea/?r=1

26. Baltimore Ravens - WR Torrey Smith, Maryland*

"Coach John Harbaugh was noncommittal when asked if free agent WRs Donte' Stallworth and T.J. Houshmandzadeh would be back in Baltimore next season. Both veterans have expressed an interest in re-signing, but the Ravens are placing a high priority on getting younger, faster, and far more explosive at receiver. Neither veteran is more than a back-burner option for GM Ozzie Newsome."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/nfl/bal/?r=1

27. Atlanta Falcons - DE Allen Bailey, Miami (FL)

"University of Miami defensive lineman Allen Bailey is now scheduled for an official visit with the Atlanta Falcons in addition to his private workout, according to a league source with knowledge of the situation. Bailey is definitely on the radar of the NFC South champions."
Source: http://www.nationalfootballpost.com/Falcons-have-their-eye-on-Miami-DL-Allen-Bailey.html

28. New England Patriots - RB Mark Ingram, Alabama*

"After speaking with several general managers, NFL Network's Steve Wyche wouldn't be surprised if Alabama RB Mark Ingram slipped into the late first or early second round. Teams believe running back is a relatively easy position to fill, especially after the success of Arian Foster (undrafted), LeGarrett Blount (undrafted), Peyton Hillis (seventh round), and James Starks last season (sixth round)."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6471/mark-ingram

29. Chicago Bears - DT Corey Liuget, Illinois*

"The Bears haven't drafted a former Illinois player in 25 years. Then it might be a good time to restart that trend. Georgie Halas, Dick Butkus, and Red Grange were all former Fighting Illini. Illinois DT Corey Liuget is fully expected to be on Chicago's radar with the No. 29 overall pick."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6564/player?r=1

30. New York Jets - LB Justin Houston, Georgia*

"Calvin Pace ranked among the bottom five outside linebackers in a pass-rushing effectiveness study recently published by ProFootballFocus.com. The study basically factors in sacks, hits, and pressures divided by pass-rushing opportunities. Pace's failure to generate consistent pressure leaves outside linebacker as a top need going into the draft."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/nfl/nyj/?r=1


31. Pittsburgh Steelers - CB Aaron Williams, Texas*

""What I am trying to figure out ... is [whether] he is the third corner or the first free safety," NFL Network's Mike Mayock said of Williams. "He reminds me a little bit of (Charles) Woodson as far as his skill set.""
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6444/aaron-williams

32. Green Bay Packers - LB Brooks Reed, Arizona

"According to SI.com draft analyst Tony Pauline, the Packers "are interested" in Arizona DE/LB Brooks Reed. No. 32 overall is another potential landing spot for Reed in the first round. Redskins DC Jim Haslett, currently on the Pro Day circuit, dropped this nugget on his team's website Friday: "I talked to guys in Green Bay and they’re still not happy with their defense yet. They need another outside guy rushing." Reed would be an explosive bookend for Clay Matthews."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6539/player?r=1

33. New England Patriots (from Carolina) - LB Akeem Ayers, UCLA*

"NFL Network's Mike Mayock referred to Ayers as, "not quite as explosive as I thought he'd be." Ayers was previously considered a mid first-round prospect, but the slower-than-anticipated times could easily knock him into the back end of the first round."
Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/6453/player?r=1

prock
03-24-2011, 02:24 PM
I dig Bowers.

BaLLiN
03-24-2011, 02:32 PM
still dont like Castanzo, he isnt anything we already have at LT, and if Shawn Andrews didn't have chronic back issues, he would be our LT. I think we have confidence that either Beatty or Andrews takes LT, but thats just a feeling off of how well they were doing last year despite the musical offensive line, inconsistent playing time, and losing a center every few games.

I truly think we either look for Tyron Smith who would be very good at either tackle position, we take Carimi as a RT, or we get a luxury pick of CB, RB, or DL.

Matthew Jones
03-24-2011, 02:46 PM
still dont like Castanzo, he isnt anything we already have at LT, and if Shawn Andrews didn't have chronic back issues, he would be our LT. I think we have confidence that either Beatty or Andrews takes LT, but thats just a feeling off of how well they were doing last year despite the musical offensive line, inconsistent playing time, and losing a center every few games.

I truly think we either look for Tyron Smith who would be very good at either tackle position, we take Carimi as a RT, or we get a luxury pick of CB, RB, or DL.

I think Carimi would be a decent pick, but Castonzo makes way too much sense at this point in time. It seems as though all evidence points to him, and if the Giants pass on him without Tyron Smith or Nate Solder available, I'll be pretty surprised. Aside from talent, Andrews has none of the qualities you look for in a left tackle - accountability, stability, consistency, durability, etc. William Beatty looks like he could potentially start somewhere but if they have a chance to get a safe starter like Castonzo at #19, I think Beatty will have to move over.

Pat Sims 90
03-24-2011, 02:51 PM
Would not listen to Peter King he is a ******* dumbass about Julio being rated higher then AJ Green. Peter King never gets anything right when it comes to the Bengals. The Bengals supposedly hung around AJ Green a lot at his Pro Day so i figure AJ Green is the pick.

Matthew Jones
03-24-2011, 02:56 PM
Would not listen to Peter King he is a ******* dumbass about Julio being rated higher then AJ Green. Peter King never gets anything right when it comes to the Bengals. The Bengals supposedly hung around AJ Green a lot at his Pro Day so i figure AJ Green is the pick.

I'm not surprised that they'd show interest in Green at the Pro Day...that's just covering your bases. I'm sure they did the same thing for all the other realistic options in the first round. I keep hearing about Jones over Green though, because of questions about Green's practice habits/work ethic/intelligence. I am not sure which of the two Cincinnati prefers, but I tried to leave any speculation whatsoever out of the mock and rely exclusively on outside sources for the picks in order to make it as objective as possible.

fed36
03-24-2011, 03:01 PM
I agree that the skins will draft a QB - but with only a 1st, 2nd, and not picking again till the 5th - I think that if the skins do not trade down in the first, then they cannot afford to take a QB in the first and I think #10 is way too high for Locker in my opinion. The skins might draft a QB in the second though.

DiG
03-24-2011, 03:01 PM
im ok with locker but i do honestly think its going to happen in a trade down. skins know they need more picks and have been public about trying to trade down. i really do think its more likely the skins dont pick at #10 right now than they do and if they dont move down from 10 count on them moving down in the 2nd for sure.

Matthew Jones
03-24-2011, 03:26 PM
im ok with locker but i do honestly think its going to happen in a trade down. skins know they need more picks and have been public about trying to trade down. i really do think its more likely the skins dont pick at #10 right now than they do and if they dont move down from 10 count on them moving down in the 2nd for sure.

I've heard some really strong rumors that Minnesota really likes Locker, and that Miami does as well. I doubt he gets out of the first half of the first round.

ChicagoBearsVet23
03-24-2011, 04:04 PM
Great pick for the Bears

Hines
03-24-2011, 04:06 PM
I personally believe the Steelers will trade down if the draft fell like that, but I can see Aaron Williams being the pick. I don't love it, but I don't hate it.

wicket
03-24-2011, 04:35 PM
I wouldnt have issues with wilkerson but I do prefer Heyward in that situation fo rthe saints

Seasonticketholder
03-24-2011, 08:37 PM
I guarantee that if the pick for the Saints comes down to Mark Ingram and Muhammad Wilkerson, the selection will be Mark Ingram. I could care less what Tony Pauline does with his money. And that's not a knock on Wilkerson who is pretty darn talented. I like Wilkerson. I also like Cameron Heyward and think he would get some consideration. But where the Saints would have Ingram ranked in relationship to Wilkerson, and their draft philosophy of going best player available, means that Ingram would be the pick.

dolphinfan2k5
03-24-2011, 08:47 PM
Thank you for acknowledging that there are no signs that point us to Ingram other than that people think we need a runningback.

coordinator0
03-24-2011, 10:26 PM
I'll call your argument for Torrey Smith and raise you one for Justin Houston:

The Ravens have made no secret that they want to upgrade the pass rush around linebacker Terrell Suggs this offseason.

Ideally, the Ravens would have a situation like they did in 2003, when a rookie Suggs had a career-best 12 sacks and Boulware notched 8 1/2 of the opposite edge.

“Going forward, are we going to continue to try to bring in some other people that can get to the passer? Having Suggs to have a companion, to go along with him as we did with Peter and Suggs?” said Ravens General Manager Ozzie Newsome. “That will be very helpful for the organization, and it’s something that we’ll look into as we move forward.”

http://blogs.baltimoreravens.com/2011/01/25/ravens-want-to-upgrade-around-suggs/

Both are pretty big needs but I think Houston is much better value at that spot.

4U2NV
03-24-2011, 11:30 PM
AWESOME mock! I've been reading a lot of the same reports and my final mock that I'm working on is eerily similar to your's. GET OUT OF MY HEAD! :P Seriously though, good job and thanks for addressing Miami's biggest need and not going with the crowd.

J-Mike88
03-24-2011, 11:44 PM
Great ****ing job on the mock with the info & links.

ROP is in it to win it.
Reed to the Packers would work well.

Brown Leader
03-25-2011, 02:35 AM
Cincinnati Bengals - WR Julio Jones, Alabama*

Regardless of A.J. or Julio if PP is available to the Bengals I don't think they'll pass.

Cleveland Browns - WR A.J. Green, Georgia*

With a skeleton crew up front I doubt the Browns forfeit one of the top defensive lineman for a WR.

8. Tennessee Titans - DT Nick Fairley, Auburn*
If Fairley is viewed as a 3 tech only the Titans already have a pretty good one and should be looking for an elite nose tackle.

10. Washington Redskins - QB Jake Locker, Washington
Interesting but why not just trade back up for Locker, or even better, let him fall to you.

18. San Diego Chargers - DE J.J. Watt, Wisconsin*

"The San Diego Union-Tribune's Kevin Acee believes Wisconsin DE J.J. Watt will probably be gone when the Chargers pick at No. 18 in the draft. A "monster" in Acee's words, Watt would be a coup for a Chargers team that could lose three of its top four defensive lineman to free agency this offseason. "
Exactly.

32. Green Bay Packers - LB Brooks Reed, Arizona
I'm not buying Reed as a first round pick. Try Sheard.

Good read.

Brothgar
03-25-2011, 02:42 AM
Wow you have Quinn dropping a bit far don't you? Care to explain?

wicket
03-25-2011, 02:49 AM
I guarantee that if the pick for the Saints comes down to Mark Ingram and Muhammad Wilkerson, the selection will be Mark Ingram. I could care less what Tony Pauline does with his money. And that's not a knock on Wilkerson who is pretty darn talented. I like Wilkerson. I also like Cameron Heyward and think he would get some consideration. But where the Saints would have Ingram ranked in relationship to Wilkerson, and their draft philosophy of going best player available, means that Ingram would be the pick.


Ingram is not even remotely close to bpa for the saints offensive system but we've had this discussion before

AntoinCD
03-25-2011, 04:08 AM
Loving the format of the mock and Im ok with the Pats picks in general. Im coming more round to the thinking they wont address OLB until the second and I would be in favour of Ayers, Martez Wilson, Brooks Reed or Sam Acho then. Cameron Jordan is a nice pick but I feel he may need to add bulk, but he would fit in both the base and sub packages. Im honestly not a big fan of Ingram though. I would prefer offensive line help at that stage, although admittedly the value isn't great(maybe Ijalana). If they do go RB I would definitely prefer someone like Demarco Murray or Ryan Williams at the end of the second/early third.

+rep though

T-RICH49
03-25-2011, 04:52 AM
FAIL on KC'a pick.no way we wastte a pick on a RT

Matthew Jones
03-25-2011, 05:12 AM
Regardless of A.J. or Julio if PP is available to the Bengals I don't think they'll pass.

I really considered this but I'm not sure which direction they'd go in, it really depends on what happens with Johnathan Joseph. Do you happen to have any sources for that? I'm open to changing the pick but I haven't really heard enough to do that yet.

With a skeleton crew up front I doubt the Browns forfeit one of the top defensive lineman for a WR.

This was another really tough pick. Ultimately I ended up going with the safest, best player available in Green. Bowers I had dropping due to medical and Fairley mostly character.

If Fairley is viewed as a 3 tech only the Titans already have a pretty good one and should be looking for an elite nose tackle.

Considering the Titans tried to trade for Albert Haynesworth so that he could play three-technique, I like this pick pretty well. I'm not sure what other direction there really is for them to go in, either. Maybe Bowers? Haven't heard anything about that one.

Interesting but why not just trade back up for Locker, or even better, let him fall to you.

I mentioned this one earlier - the Vikings and Dolphins both seem very interested in Locker. I would probably have gone with one of the receivers if available, but if they're not there I'm thinking Locker. Considered Cameron Jordan as well.

Exactly.

Ultimately he may not fall this far on draft day, but I really didn't have anywhere to put him without projecting trades. I don't think New England would take him with the other five-techniques on the board and a lot of other ends started slipping. I could see San Diego moving up for someone like Watt, Jordan, Kerrigan, or Nate Solder.

I'm not buying Reed as a first round pick. Try Sheard.

I don't know if I buy the Sheard as a first-round pick hype. I'm probably a little higher on him than Reed at this point but I think the Packers are more likely to go with the high-character guy. I know Sheard has a good reputation generally but that arrest is going to be scary to any team that values character.

Good read.

I've interspersed my comments within the quote. Thanks for the feedback!

Matthew Jones
03-25-2011, 05:18 AM
Wow you have Quinn dropping a bit far don't you? Care to explain?

I included some info in the post - his tumor is a medical concern to teams and after a year away from football it's possible he has somewhat of a slide on draft day, especially if he didn't hit home runs during team interviews. Remember that Dez Bryant was ineligible for a season and fell into the 20s after being considered easily one of the top five prospects in the draft. I found that quote about Houston maybe preferring Amukamara over Quinn, then figured Minnesota would just take Bowers if available (better projection to left end, could see Cameron Jordan or Muhammad Wilkerson there too.)

For St. Louis, I considered Bill Devaney's recent tendency to draft from the Big 12 and went with Aldon Smith, who can also kick inside on passing downs and seems perfect for their defense. I have Jacksonville, New England, and San Diego passing because historically those teams look for guys without significant flags early on in the draft. Personally, I would love if the Patriots took a chance on Robert Quinn, but if he's available at #17 and Belichick passes, I can understand that too. I see Cameron Jordan as a better fit.

The closest I came to putting him in the first half of the first round was Jacksonville, but there are too many things that suggest they're in love with Ryan Kerrigan to change the pick without seeing some kind of hard evidence in the other direction. Remember the Jaguars took Tyson Alualu in the top ten last year, so they're not a team that's influenced by the hype some more high-profile targets attract.

Matthew Jones
03-25-2011, 05:24 AM
FAIL on KC'a pick.no way we wastte a pick on a RT

I know Chiefs fans like to hate on offensive linemen, but I think there's a legitimate chance they go with an offensive lineman in the first round. I'd even almost say it's likely for them. Derek Sherrod is a four year starter and team captain out of the SEC and really fits what Scott Pioli looks for in a prospect. I could see Anthony Castonzo if he was available as well, and Mike Pouncey might be considered a coup for them as another guy out of the SEC. They might want to try him out at center.

If they go defense, I'd be willing to put money on Phil Taylor not being the pick. It's true he may go in the first round, but a player with an arrest history who was kicked off of a football team and has weight/conditioning/stamina/motor/intelligence issues is not someone who I could ever see on their board. I probably would have gone with Ryan Kerrigan if he made it down to #21, but that's pretty unlikely. Kansas City is a prime candidate to trade down - I see Akeem Ayers as a possible target if they move towards the end of the first round or into the very early second round. Remember that Scott Pioli was here in New England from the beginning of Belichick's tenure, so I have a pretty good feel for what he likes and dislikes in a prospect.

Poz51
03-25-2011, 07:45 AM
1 - I love the format; links and quotes, very nice.
2 - I agree with the Newton pick, and I tend to believe the "source" as IMO and as someone else in another thread said "they are all but screaming it from the roof tops". Whether he is there when they pick is something I am continually debating.
3 - I dont agree with all the picks personally, but one caught my eye, and that was Allen Bailey, I just dont get it with this guy, yes he is a physical freak, but so have been many failures before him, when I watch him play I dont see the first round at all, I see lots of development needed just to see the field. Maybe its just me...
4 - Reputation for the creativeness, and doing something different. I enjoyed reading through the whole thing.
5 - Bonus; Cincy's pick, I have Peterson in my mock that I am working on (although the top five picks keep changing which screw everything up, continually), but had Jones for a couple days over Green, I think Jones makes more sense for them, similarly to Trent Williams to Washington over Russell Okung last year.

Seasonticketholder
03-25-2011, 09:42 AM
Ingram is not even remotely close to bpa for the saints offensive system but we've had this discussion before

We not going to change each other's minds on this one so best thing is to leave it alone and wait to draft day. If Ingram is there, depending on who else is available at othe positions of need, we'll get a chance to see who was right and who was wrong.

I am sticking to Ingram being the BPA based on how RavenofProphecy's draft falls here.

monson
03-25-2011, 12:39 PM
I don't think the Condon argument holds if there is a rookie cap.

Don Vito
03-25-2011, 12:47 PM
I'm not a big Ayers fan. He is a guy who I bet we like because of his ability to drop back and play every down, but dammit can we just draft a guy who can get pressure? Just one? Jordan and Ingram are both good picks, nice work.

FlyingElvis
03-25-2011, 01:24 PM
Nice work - very cool change of pace.

I, too, applaud you for not giving the Phins Ingram.

Honestly, if the draft fell like this, I'd be screaming for Heyward at 33. **** it! 2 stud 3-tech DEs would be sick. No worries about if / how well Ty Warren will be coming back from injury and grab Acho or his equivalent late 2nd.

Iamcanadian
03-25-2011, 01:55 PM
Very decent mock but I of course, I still have a few questions.

1) Peter King kept predicting the Lions to win their division under Matt Millen and he really liked Millen as the Lions GM. Since then I lost all respect for King and wouldn't take anything he says seriously.
Take my advise, don't use his suggestions again.

2) Bowers is scheduled to workout on April 1st, till then all rumours of his dropping could end quickly and his return to top 5 talk could be instant.

3) Quinn also has a workout scheduled and while I believe his brain tumour could scare off a few GM's, the doctors will decide his fate not the GM's. If he improves to a 4.65 40 time, he is a top 5 talent and slipping all the way to #20 may be too much of a drop IMO. This guy is very, very talented.

Jets - Mayock says Houston's excellent workouts just doesn't show up on film in games and he wouldn't touch him in round 1. I doubt the Jets take a shot on another possible Ghoston.

I think Ayers will go round 1 but Green Bay has to be looking at OL before they take an OLBer. Just my opinion.

King Carls 5 Year Plan
03-25-2011, 06:06 PM
FAIL on KC'a pick.no way we wastte a pick on a RT

actually, he thinks we're drafting a LT and moving Albert to RT.

seriously, if this were going to happen, then we would have done it last year when we were picking #5 and Okung was there. i can see the Chiefs drafting a RT @ #21 this year, but we gotta ditch this 'moving Albert to another position crap'. he did just fine at LT. and i'm one of the Chiefs fans last year that advocated for moving him to G or RT last season to get Okung (early in the draft process). i highly doubt he moves anywhere. it just makes no sense.

Matthew Jones
03-25-2011, 06:10 PM
actually, he thinks we're drafting a LT and moving Albert to RT.

seriously, if this were going to happen, then we would have done it last year when we were picking #5 and Okung was there. i can see the Chiefs drafting a RT @ #21 this year, but we gotta ditch this 'moving Albert to another position crap'. he did just fine at LT. and i'm one of the Chiefs fans last year that advocated for moving him to G or RT last season to get Okung (early in the draft process). i highly doubt he moves anywhere. it just makes no sense.

Some people see Sherrod as more of a right tackle in the NFL. Regardless, I think he makes a lot of sense for Kansas City. He's a smart, technically sound, safe senior who served as a team captain and whose resume includes three years of SEC starting experience.

thebow305
03-25-2011, 07:44 PM
If we reach for Pouncey and pass on a talent like Robert Quinn, who has no business falling into the teens, I will choke someone. That's legit. But that does seem like something this FO would do.

BTW, I like the style of this mock a lot! A lot of work and research here. Nice work! +Rep!

txparkes49x
03-25-2011, 07:47 PM
perfect pick!

Brown Leader
03-27-2011, 09:35 PM
Regardless of A.J. or Julio if PP is available to the Bengals I don't think they'll pass.

I really considered this but I'm not sure which direction they'd go in, it really depends on what happens with Johnathan Joseph. Do you happen to have any sources for that? I'm open to changing the pick but I haven't really heard enough to do that yet.
No source, other than the Bengals roster. S is probably the weakest position on the team.

With a skeleton crew up front I doubt the Browns forfeit one of the top defensive lineman for a WR.

This was another really tough pick. Ultimately I ended up going with the safest, best player available in Green. Bowers I had dropping due to medical and Fairley mostly character.
IMO the safest best player available is DE Watt. WRs are "shiny hood ornaments"

If Fairley is viewed as a 3 tech only the Titans already have a pretty good one and should be looking for an elite nose tackle.

Considering the Titans tried to trade for Albert Haynesworth so that he could play three-technique, I like this pick pretty well. I'm not sure what other direction there really is for them to go in, either. Maybe Bowers? Haven't heard anything about that one.
Speaking of ornaments, I really think Green would do best if he's not expected to be the #1 right away in the NFL-or at least not too much too soon for him. I think the Titans would be a great fit for him and they're offense needs help.

I'm not buying Reed as a first round pick. Try Sheard.

I don't know if I buy the Sheard as a first-round pick hype. I'm probably a little higher on him than Reed at this point but I think the Packers are more likely to go with the high-character guy. I know Sheard has a good reputation generally but that arrest is going to be scary to any team that values character.
Hasn't everybody wanted to throw someone out a bar window? I'm actually envious, that's winning. But seriously I've never read the official particulars of that bout, so who knows how damaging it might be for him.

Bar-bq
03-28-2011, 05:29 AM
Pretty good Rams pick, considering. I don't know if I like Kerrigan more there, but you made a good call at DE.

Day One Pick
03-28-2011, 09:10 PM
Very nice job with this mock. Everything seems logical.