View Full Version : AK's "3 Week Countdown" mock:

04-05-2011, 03:23 AM
Only 2-3 more versions coming.

Changes from the last mock indicated by underline.

1. Carolina Panthers: Cam Newton - QB - Auburn


(Note: I went back and forth on Newton/Gabbert here for awhile, but too many solid reports coming out now that Newton is the apple of Carolina's eye.)

2. Denver Broncos: Marcell Dareus - DT/DE - Alabama


(Note: Dareus has safely passed Fairley on almost every board and looks like a perfect need/value fit to Denver.)

3. Buffalo Bills: Von Miller - OLB - Texas A&M


(Note: I think Gailey really wants Newton, but has Miller as his fallback option. Senior Bowl connection.)

4. Cincinnati Bengals: Blaine Gabbert - QB - Missouri


(Note: This is one of the more difficult picks. A.J. Green is a perfect value and would fill a need here, but it's looking more and more like Palmer may be done in Cincy. Even if he wasn't, it does appear that his best days in a Bengals uniform are behind him. If Gabbert is on the board (or Newton), I now believe they will be the name on the card.)

5. Arizona Cardinals: Patrick Paterson - CB - LSU


(Note: I think the Cardinals would love to get Von Miller here, but the #1 prospect in the draft is a nice consolation prize.)

6. Cleveland Browns: A.J. Green - WR - Georgia


(Note: Too much concern with DaQuan Bowers' knees to take him here. This pick is almost like getting two players for one pick, because on top of getting Green, this could take Colt McCoy to the next level and really make the Browns offense respected with Green, Hillis, and McCoy. Robert Quinn and Nick Fairley are the other two options.)

7. San Francisco 49ers: Prince Amukamara - CB - Nebraska


(Note: A popular pick for a good reason. 49ers need CB help and Amukamara has done nothing but impress in the process leading up to the draft.)

8. Tennessee Titans: Nick Fairley - DT - Auburn


(Note: Titans desperately need a QB, and could shock people by reaching here on Locker or Mallett. They ideally would trade down to take their QB, maybe with the Rams at #14 who could move up to get Julio Jones. If they stay put, the value/need matchup is at D-Line. Fairley would be a nice fit and fill the spot once manned by Albert Haynesworth in the Titans defense.)

9. Dallas Cowboys: Tyron Smith - OT - USC


(Note: I go back and forth on Tyron Smith vs. J.J. Watt here. In the end, Jerry Jones has spent too much $$$ on offensive firepower to have it wasted because Tony Romo is scrambling for his life...)

10. Washington Redskins: Julio Jones - WR - Alabama


(Note: I know it would be out of character to see Shanny and the Redskins go WR here, but the only other good option is Robert Quinn, and with a stud OLB in Orakpo and the massive WR need I don't see how they could pass on Jones.)

11. Houston Texans: J.J. Watt - DE - Wisconsin


(Note: It came out from pretty reliable sources awhile back that the Texans really want to get a 3-4 DE here. If J.J. Watt is available, they have their man.)

12. Minnesota Vikings: Robert Quinn - DE - North Carolina


(Note: DE isn't "as" big of a need for the Vikings as some might think, as Brian Robison has flashed starter potential and was re-signed to a pretty generous contract. However, the Vikings defense relies on pressure from the front four, and in this situation it's the best value and impact player for the Vikings.
I will be shocked if Minnesota leaves the first 2 rounds without a QB, but I don't see them reaching for one in this situation. A trade back for Locker or Ponder is fairly likely (look out for Tampa at #20 as a possible spot, who could move up to target Robert Quinn).

13. Detroit Lions: DaQuan Bowers - DE - Clemson


(Note: When Dallas comes on the clock at #9, Lions fans will collectively hold their breath, because Tyron Smith would really be the ideal pick here. If he goes off the board, taking a chance on a supreme DE talent to pair with Suh might prove too much to pass on. It wasn't too long ago that Bowers was a favorite to go #1 overall. Sadly, the injury horror stories just keep rolling out, and his stock looks to be plummeting.)

14. St Louis Rams: Aldon Smith - DE - Missouri


(Note: He's not Julio Jones, but Aldon Smith could make a huge impact on the Rams defense. Smith seems to be getting lost in a lot of mocks, but really for no other reason than a lack of recent "buzz". He's a very promising pass-rushing prospect.)

15. Miami Dolphins: Mark Ingram - RB - Alabama


(Note: Jake Locker could also be in consideration here as a mobile QB in the Dolphins unique offense, but with so much uncertainty at RB and how important the position is in the Dolphins offense, Ingram to the Dolphins is the pick in the majority of mock drafts.)

16. Jacksonville Jaguars: Ryan Kerrigan - DE - Purdue


(Note: Kerrigan's stock is reportedly rising [not sure why at this time of the year] but regardless, he's been a great fit for the Jaguars all along.)

17. New England Patriots (f/OAK): Cameron Jordan - DE - California


(Note: I go back and forth on Jordan vs. Wilkerson here, but I think Jordan's ceiling is higher between the two. Regardless, the Patriots do very well to get a stud 3-4 DE prospect here AND still have a first round pick coming up.)

18. San Diego Chargers: Muhammad Wilkerson - DE - Temple


(Note: The Chargers are in a great spot here to land a very good 3-4 DE prospect. Between J.J. Watt, Cameron Jordan, and Muhammad Wilkerson, it looks like one of them should make it to #18. I believe they would be thrilled with any one of them.)

19. New York Giants: Corey Liuget - DT - Illinois


(Note: The Giants are probably the biggest wildcards in round 1, but they look like a very possible fit for the under-rated Liuget.)

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Adrian Clayborn - DE - Iowa


(Note: The Bucs are zoned in on DEs with this pick, and Clayborn would be a nice fit as a guy that could contribute right away. If Tampa wants to hit a homerun, they could swap with Minnesota at #12 and snag Robert Quinn if he's on the board.)

21. Kansas City Chiefs: Phil Taylor - DT - Baylor


(Note: Taylor has helped himself as much as any prospect in terms of improving stock after the college season ended. Reports of him "forklifting" guards at the Senior Bowl are sick.)

22. Indianapolis Colts: Anthony Castonzo - OT - Boston College


(Note: Solder is another possibility here, but the Colts need the guy who is ready to start sooner.)

23. Philadelphia Eagles: Jimmy Smith - CB - Colorado


(Note: Eagles could use a CB here or possibly a RT like Gabe Carimi. Brandon Harris might be a possibility, but Smith's skillset gives him the nod.)

24. New Orleans Saints: Cameron Heyward - DE - Ohio State


(Note: Saints will look D-Line here IMO, and either Heyward, Justin Houston, or Stephen Paea could all be possibilities.)

25. Seattle Seahawks: Christian Ponder - QB - Florida State


(Note: I'm a huge Ponder fan, and while I think talk of him going in the top half of round 1 is a little unrealistic, I do think he's a perfect fit in Seattle's WCO and is a very possible pick here come April 28th.)

26. Baltimore Ravens: Justin Houston - OLB - Georgia


(Note: With Wilkerson and Heyward off the board, the Ravens have to decide if they like Christian Ballard enough to reach on him here. Justin Houston provides more of an impact, and is exactly the type of player the Ravens like to snag and move all over the field on their defense.)

27. Atlanta Falcons: Aaron Williams - CB - Texas


(Note: I know the Falcons would like to get a pass-rushing DE here, but it wasn't the way the picks fell. Upgrading the secondary by adding a big, physical corner will do a lot for Atlanta's defense.)

28. New England Patriots: Mike Pouncey - OG/C - Florida


(Note: The Patriots would love to get Pouncey, and to get both him and Cameron Jordan is a real haul. Pouncey would upgrade their O-Line from day-1, and has that Belichick/Gator connection.)

29. Chicago Bears: Nate Solder - OT - Colorado


(Note: I think this pick has to be an OT, as we all saw what happened to Cutler last season. Solder has fallen some in the draft process, but still has the tools and potential that made him such a highly rated prospect when the 2010 NFL season ended. Gabe Carimi is an option as well, but I do not think he will be an NFL LT, and Cutler's blind side needs to be the focus.)

30. New York Jets: Stephen Paea - DT - Oregon State


(Note: A great fit as NT in the Jets defense, and his strength and power will fit right in with the Jets personality.)

31. Pittsburgh Steelers: Gabe Carimi - OT - Wisconsin


(Note: A great fit as a nasty mauling lineman in Pittsburgh's trenches.)

32. Green Bay Packers: Christian Ballard - DE - Iowa


(Note: Ballard is an under-rated prospect, and I think he's in play for the Ravens at #26. With Johnny Jolly facing serious legal issues, and Cullen Jenkins not expected back, Ballard really fits in nicely here to the Packers to end round 1.)

04-05-2011, 04:34 AM
Nice Pats mock. I think I would prefer Wilkerson to Jordan but I wouldn't be disappointed. I would wonder how he would fit in with the base defense though. Pouncey is a good pick.

04-05-2011, 09:44 AM
If Robert Quinn is there at 10, he's going to be a Redskin.

04-05-2011, 10:04 AM
Jags would probably take Jordan over Kerrigan

04-05-2011, 10:10 AM
Cant argue with the Saints biggest need.

04-05-2011, 06:17 PM
Love the pick for the Ravens

04-05-2011, 11:41 PM
Nice Phins pick

04-06-2011, 08:20 AM
I love the layout, very nice.

I also like the fact that you have Ponder going in the 1st round. There has to be at least 3-5 teams that like him more than three of the other guys and I totally agree with you that he is gong first round, whether it's to Seattle or possibly a team trading up, which will most likely happen.

04-06-2011, 08:47 AM
perfect KC pick

Matthew Jones
04-09-2011, 10:41 AM
Outstanding Patriots draft.

04-09-2011, 10:47 AM
Descent 49ers draft.Fills a big need besides QB.