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Nebraska K Alex Henery - 3rd Rounder?

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  • Nebraska K Alex Henery - 3rd Rounder?

    Alex Henery is an amazing kicker, but now with the new kickoff changes in the NFL his 39 Touchbacks makes him even more valuable.

    54-54 PAT.
    39 Touchbacks.
    18-19 Last Year.
    68-75 Field Goals
    90% Career
    43.2 Yard Punt Average.

  • #2
    I think the opposition to the kickoff rule is overstated. I believe I heard that touchbacks happened 16% of the time last year. It is expected that only 5 to maybe 15% more go for touchbacks. But I think with the shorter running start from the coverage teams, I think the elite NFL returners (Hester, Cribbs, etc) will still get some returns. I think you will see them run kicks out from 5-to-7 yards deep and hope they can get past the 20.

    And actually, last year the average kickoff landed at the 6 1/2 yard line. So, the average kickoff will still be returnable with 5 extra yards (from 1 1/2).

    If teams are overvaluing big-legged kickers or undervaluing kick return specialists because of this rule, they are really overthinking things. Kickers won't be able to kick thru the endzone consistently. They are still going to have to angle kicks to great returners.

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    • #3
      Where are you getting these numbers? Henery didn't have a single kickoff last season, and has 0 Career Touchbacks.

      Adi Kunalic, the back-up Field Goal Kicker, was the Kickoff Specialist, and has been for the past three seasons.

      And, spending a Top 100 pick on a Kicker is just ridiculous. Though it's tough to find elite and clutch kickers, there are plenty who can nail it within 40 Yards.

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      • #4
        Originally posted by rawdawg View Post
        I think the opposition to the kickoff rule is overstated. I believe I heard that touchbacks happened 16% of the time last year. It is expected that only 5 to maybe 15% more go for touchbacks. But I think with the shorter running start from the coverage teams, I think the elite NFL returners (Hester, Cribbs, etc) will still get some returns. I think you will see them run kicks out from 5-to-7 yards deep and hope they can get past the 20.

        These figures don't match up with the last season that teams kicked off from the 35 yard line, I believe it was in 1993. According to the NFL, we are likely to see about 20-25% less returns.
        Returned TD's in 1993 = 4 Returned TD's in 2010 = 23
        HC's will never stand for their kick returners trying a return from 5 yards to 7 yards deep and nothing is going to change that.
        As for the shorter run up time, it may allow for some decent returns in the 30 to 40 yard range, but I see it as a complete negative for return TD's.
        And actually, last year the average kickoff landed at the 6 1/2 yard line. So, the average kickoff will still be returnable with 5 extra yards (from 1 1/2).

        I think the new rule will encourage teams to sign better kickers and more important, since it will downgrade kick returners, the solid money they no longer will get, will be used by teams to carry perhaps a kick off specialist.
        If teams are overvaluing big-legged kickers or undervaluing kick return specialists because of this rule, they are really overthinking things. Kickers won't be able to kick thru the endzone consistently. They are still going to have to angle kicks to great returners.
        I disagree, minimum we will see 20-25% increase in touchbacks as per the last year they kicked from the 35 and teams will now likely sign kick off specialists who can consistently kick the ball deep into the end zone.
        And proud of it!!!

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        • #5
          Just because they are moving the kickoff spot back to the 35 doesn't mean you should get carried away and put Henery in Round 3. The fifth is more likely (to maybe Dallas or Washington in the 140s).
          Last edited by MidwestJimmy; 03-23-2011, 05:59 PM.

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          • #6
            Wouldn't say 3rd round, but Henery is the best kicker in the class for sure... will go in the 6th or 7th imo.

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            • #7
              I think the Lions should look at him in the 6TH. I watched a Lions game on TV and they said Suh is telling the Front Offices to look at Nebraska Players.

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              • #8
                Originally posted by dannyz View Post
                I think the Lions should look at him in the 6TH. I watched a Lions game on TV and they said Suh is telling the Front Offices to look at Nebraska Players.
                Jason Hanson will still be hitting 50+ yard field goals ten years from now.

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                • #9
                  Billy Cundiff should have about a 75% touchback rate this year.

                  I wonder how many kickers are going to learn to kickoff more vertically and trap the opponent inside the 5 or 10

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                  • #10
                    I don't care how good you are as a kicker... no kicker deserves to be drafted

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