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-Boise State is in the national championship game. Only Nevada really seems to pose much of a serious threat at this point, whereas Ohio State could realistically lose to about 3-4 teams in the Big Ten. Obviously, if both teams are undefeated, Ohio State would go (or Oklahoma, or Oregon, etc.), but I'm becoming increasingly less convinced there will be an undefeated team from a BCS conference.
-Alabama is still in. Even a 1 loss team from the SEC will likely get the nod, given their history.
-Because Boise State is in the title game, I think the rest of the bowl committees will feel more comfortable excluding a team from the Mountain West. In this case, the beneficiary is Stanford, which to this point would deserve it for their on-field play anyway.
-Notre Dame and BYU are both out. I have a hard time imagining Notre Dame finishing the season 5-3 with their schedule. BYU, with almost sure losses to TCU and Utah, would basically need to run the table on the rest of the MWC; certainly not impossible, but they look awful right now.
-North Carolina is back in, having beat a so-so Rutgers team. I know this will cause great joy for many.
-Wisconsin is being punished for being bitches and running the score up on Austin Peay. Naughty naughty....
-Tennessee and Georgia are hanging to bowl bids by the skin of their teeth.
-Oregon jumping Boise in the polls puts them into the NC game for now. There's a lot of fluidity here with Oregon, Ohio State, TCU, Boise State, and Oklahoma/Nebraska, but for now it seems clear that Oregon is in the driver's seat.
-Texas and Penn State fell pretty hard. Penn State particularly, which is now in the Dallas Football Classic playing Colorado. I'm sure their fan base would be thrilled with that.
-Notre Dame is back in. Barely. The Gator Bowl has to be praying they are bowl eligible, because the Big East is god awful this year.
-Wisconsin confirms my suspicion by laying an egg. Stuck in the Gator Bowl for now behind Iowa, Michigan State, and Michigan.
-Auburn is now the beneficiary of the Florida loss, although the difference in the numbers between Auburn, LSU, and (yes) Florida, is pretty small.
-I had planned on dropping the loser of the Oregon-Stanford game out of the BCS mix. Bye Stanford. Welcome back TCU.