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My Week 6 Thoughts

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  • My Week 6 Thoughts

    Super Bowl XLII Analysis

    Oh wait… This wasn’t the Super Bowl? My bad, after watching ESPN, Fox Sports, NFL Network, etc., I was sure that this was in fact the game to end all games. In the end the Patriots show just how great they are and they show that the Cowboys are good, but not great. The Patriots exposed the Cowboys secondary that has been unchallenged since week 1. They didn’t even try to establish a running game; they spread them out and got their receivers matched up on the Cowboys nickel and dime corners and safeties. Just like last year after the Saints’ game, expect teams to follow suite and attack the Cowboys in a similar manner. At least for the Cowboys Romo played a lot better. Tom Brady is not just on pace to get the TD record, but get it easily. While I think the cold weather and tough pass defenses on the horizon will slow him down, I think he’ll win NFL M.V.P by a landslide margin. At least a few of my predictions did well…

    Adrian Peterson Is an Unnatural Force

    Collarbone, upright running style, injury prone, etc., we all heard a lot of fluff and conjecture leading up the 2007 NFL Draft. In the end, the Minnesota Vikings would like to thank everyone for spreading so much inane banter. I’ve been saying it as long as I have been here: Adrian Peterson is the best RB I have ever seen with my own eyes. He has it all; size, speed, power, agility, acceleration, vision. In Minnesota he’s looking even better than he was at Oklahoma. How many people thought he would be making plays as a return specialist and as a receiver out of the backfield like he has? It isn’t as if he tore up a bad defense. I know Chicago is not as good as they have been, but they still have guys like Tommie Harris, Lance Briggs, and Brian Urlacher. He is right behind Eric Dickerson’s rookie pace (he finished with 1,808 yards) and has 31 less carries at the same time. Adrian Peterson was oft-compared to Eric Dickerson and right now he’s living up to that legendary comparison.

    My Redskins’ Choked

    The Redskins should have won the game; however, there are times when some teams lose despite out-playing their opponents. The Redskins dropped a plethora of passes (including one that is directly responsible for a “Campbell INT”) and Jason Campbell still had a nice game. The play that lost them the game was the Santana Moss’ fumble that turned into a Charles Woodson TD. At least their defense is playing lights out. Oh well, they are still not out of the NFC East picture and definitely still in the wild-card hunt.

    Jacksonville Is Quietly Playing Great Football

    Once again no one knows about any other team in the NFL other than New England, Indianapolis, and Dallas. Let alone the fact that the Jaguars and the Steelers have really good football teams and they should not be ignored right now. Mo-Jo has his, eh, “mojo” back and is looking like he did last year. The O-Line is finally dominating people and opening up massive running lanes. The defense is great as expected. The biggest surprise is David Garrard. He has yet to throw an interception this season and right now is the 2nd best QB in the division. His worst game thus far he still had a passer rating of 88.8. At first the Jaguars decision to abandon Leftwich was confusing, but Garrard is making me question ‘what took them so long?’ as he’s blossomed in Dirk Koetter’s offense. Next week they face the Indianapolis Colts and they have proven that they can beat them. If they want the notoriety of being an ‘elite’ football team they need to at least play the Colts tough.

    The Reigning M.V.P Is Back

    Last year LaDainian Tomlinson had a slow start to the season. He had just one 100-yard game in the first seven games of the season, and then he exploded and had one of the best individual RB season of all time. This year everyone has been talking about how he’s “struggling,” just because he isn’t annihilating the entire league. Slow starts are hardly new for him and I think Sunday’s game is proof of that. He looked every bit as good as he did last year and all of the sudden the Chargers’ are back. I for one have never doubted Tomlinson and shame on all of you who did.

    The Panthers Confuse Me

    I really, really am. Vinny Testaverde isn’t supposed to come in and play competent football. He has been in the league for twenty years (longer than I have been alive by the way). What he did on Sunday is remarkable and shows just how “ageless” he really is. Maybe Vinny is the long term answer, rather than my nemesis David Carr, I’ve certainly seen stranger things happen. All I do know is they need to give the ball to DeAngelo Williams more, and to DeShaun Foster less. It’s hard for me to think that this team can be a legitimate contender. Maybe Steve Smith can make any QB, other than Carr of course, look competent.

    Monday Night Analysis

    Falcons – Bobby Petrino needs to clean house. The veteran clique is creating a negative environment and has hurt the football team. Last week Alge Crumpler called out the coaching staff, so of course he would play up to expectations on MNF! You would think that he would have stepped up, but he didn’t. I am convinced that the only reason Warrick Dunn has retained the starting gig is because if Petrino benched such a popular veteran he’d have a mutiny on his hand. The team is starting rookies all over the field, and young players elsewhere. There is a small contingent of veterans like Warrick Dunn, Lawyer Milloy, who don’t have much of a future on the team. The team is young, and with three picks in the first fifty of the draft, and quite possibly one in the top-3, it will only continue to get younger. If you’re a veteran and you don’t like it, you can leave. It isn’t as if the team would have been that great with Michael Vick either.

    As for the product on the field in ’07, the lack of offense is killing. The Falcons’ defense has played solid football, but has consistently been put in rough situations from the offense. If the team had a better offense, both passing and rushing, the defense would be pretty good. Very few defenses have the talent to withstand no support and still get the job done. Atlanta has some talented players, but too many young guys (Chris Houston, Jamaal Anderson, Trey Lewis are all getting significant work), over the hill players (Lawyer Milloy), and below average starters (Chris Crocker, Demorrio Williams) to overcome the offense sputtering. DeAngelo Hall has played well, Michael Boley has played well, and Keith Brooking, Grady Jackson, John Abraham have played about how they always do. I don’t know what to say about the offense, other than they might as well give Byron Leftwich a shot. Maybe just to see what they have and if he has any potential down the road. Obviously Norwood needs more touches, and White has played excellent football, but the offense in general is just a disaster at this point.

    Giants – The Giants have really come around. To tell the truth I did not see this coming. Eli Manning is completing a higher percentage of his passes (even though he’s still making poor decisions), the defense has been playing shutdown defense, and the team isn’t in constant turmoil. Two things in particular stick out to me:
    • Plaxico Burress has finally lived up to his talent level. No longer is he making mental errors, dropping passes, and in general showing no effort. Instead he’s working hard, running crisp routes, and in general making plays like an elite player. This is one of the reason’s Eli Manning’s completion percentage has increased.
    • The cancerous element that was destroying the team was Tiki Barber. I didn’t think they’d be able to replace his production on the field, and they really haven’t. However, I did anticipate how much better the morale would be without him in the locker room. Tiki has tried to derail the team, this time from afar, but you are seeing different body language from everybody. Everyone trashes Terrell Owens for what he did to Philadelphia; shouldn’t we look at Tiki Barber in the same light? He too was a talented player who constantly called out other people.
    QB Struggles pt. II

    Last week I mentioned Drew Brees, Matt Hasselbeck, Brett Favre, Chad Pennington, and Vince Young. This week I will reanalyze these Quarterbacks after I have seen another week of them:

    Brett Favre – How will the Favre apologists spin this one? He threw two interceptions, and should have been picked off a lot more than that! Sean Taylor actually dropped a couple other potential INTs (from the ‘INT King’) before he hauled in the last two. When John Elway got old they gave him Terrell Davis and took pressure off of Elway, and he played better because of it. As long as the Packers don’t have a running game, Favre will continue to force ill-advised passes. His start to the season was a nice story, but he’s going to go back to being the Favre that were used to in the past couple of years.

    Vince Young – Vince, for the most part, bounced back from last week’s disastrous performance. He still threw a pass that he had no business throwing, and then he got hurt. He still has a long way to go in terms of his development as an NFL QB. A thing about Young is he isn’t even dominating with his legs this year. I really don’t understand that at all. If you cannot consistently pass you might as well try and make something happen with your physical abilities.

    Chad Pennington – Every week we see the same things; another Jets loss, once again featuring mediocre offensive production. Chad Pennington has been able to retain his starting position despite having a ‘push’ TD/INT ratio, and lacking the physical skills to attack a defense. The Jets actually had plenty of opportunities to win the game, but they settled for field goals rather than scoring.

    Matt Hasselbeck – His stats are misleading, I don’t think he played very well at all. That one floating interceptions was unbelievably terrible. The only reason his stats look good is he was playing the Saints’ defensive backfield; anyone can put up stats against those guys.

    Drew Brees – He finally woke up. Too many times I’ve seen Drew Brees make boneheaded decisions and hence he has a 1:9 TD/INT ratio. This game he was cool and collected. Lance Moore and David Patten being consistent certainly helped, as opposed to Colston and Henderson who have been anything but consistent. The O-Line played better in pass protection. If I were to bet I think Brees will be better, but he won’t reach the level that he was at last year.


    Reggie Bush Finally Shows Up

    What took so long? Anyways, he had a very Westbrook-esque performance as a runner and a receiver. He was making good, decisive cuts. He even had his three best individual runs of his career in just this past game! Now he just needs to play at this level on a consistent basis if he wants to be a top-10 RB in the NFL. The Saints do miss Deuce McAllister though. Reggie Bush got to 100 yards on 15 carries, but when they needed to pound the ball and run the clock Reggie Bush dropped a pass, and had four carries for -3 yards, and lost a fumble. In those situations last year McAllister was crucial to them grinding out victories for them last year. The Saints still won, but they sure found a way to let Seattle back into it. Even though he struggled mightily in the 4th, he still played his best football since last year’s game against the Giants. Now he just needs to continue if he and the Saints want to win some games. I would still take Maurice Jones-Drew and Joseph Addai over him though.

    Devin Hester Is One of the Best Playmakers in the NFL

    I haven’t written anything in particular about him, and I wish I would have said something sooner. He is already the best return man in NFL history; just let that sink in for a second. He even made his first explosive play as a receiver with a long TD catch. Several return men have had dominant stretches of performance, such as Dante Hall of ’03. None of them have had the sustained dominance Hester has had. He has proven that not only was last year not a fluke, but the best is ahead of him as a player. He impacts the game more than a lot of skill position players and defensive players who play much more than he does. He’s the Bears’ best player right now.

    Quick Hits
    • Jared Allen abused Levi Jones. Allen took Jiu Jitsu training in the off-season and it’s really paid off. He’s playing his best football by far.
    • Houston’s offense just is not as dynamic as it was with Andre Johnson. It’s a shame that he hasn’t been healthy, because otherwise I think they would challenge for a wild-card slot. They are still a year off as a team, but they’ve made a step in the right direction.
    • TJ Houshmandzadeh, not Chad Johnson, is the Bengals best WR. He’s more consistent, more reliable, and has a better overall game including blocking and catching in traffic. This is the second year in a row that Houshmandzadeh has out-performed his grossly over-hyped counterpart in every way. Note to Chad Johnson; please refrain from calling out an opposing defense before you play them in front of their home fans.
    • Larry Johnson is quite possibly the worst pass blocking RB in the NFL. His lack of effort and heart when he is protecting Huard is disgusting to me. He has literally ducked out of the way so as not to take contact by oncoming rushers. I don’t care how talented you are as a runner; you need to be a complete player in order to be an ‘elite’ player. It’s absolutely pathetic.
    • Arizona’s defensive breakdown at the end of the game was shockingly. Leaving Steve Smith in single coverage with the game on the line? Wait, what? Falling asleep while DeAngelo Williams tears through your defense for a 75-yard gallop. Absolutely dumbfounding. At least Darnell Dockett got another sack.
    • How did Charlie Frye beat out Derek Anderson to be the game-1 starter? Either Anderson’s emerged only once he took over as the starter, or the coaches weren’t paying attention. Anderson is young and playing great, so you have to wonder when they will ever turn it over to Brady Quinn.
    • Philip Rivers’ is playing really inconsistent right now. He made quite possibly the worst throw of the week when he threw the ball directly to Thomas Howard. I thought that last week would have gotten him back on track, but apparently it didn’t.
    • Last year’s D.P.O.T.Y contenders have been relatively quiet thus far; however, that was not the case in week 6. Julius Peppers had 1.5 sacks and two FF, Jason Taylor had a sack, Shawne Merriman had 2.5 sacks.
    Last edited by Shiver; 10-16-2007, 01:17 AM.


  • #2
    dont forget the 'boys still get henry back in 2 weeks (only misses the minny game), tank in 3 weeks (misses 2 games), and glenn back (will start running this week)

    henry will help the secondary (4 ints), tank will help with the pass rush (and help keep dline fresh), and hopefully glenn will be able to go and help stretch the field and free up owens

    cred 2 BoneKrusher

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    • #3
      I just noticed I wrote a ton this week. I think it is because I started a day earlier than I usually do, so I didn't feel I had to rush anything.

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      • #4
        I'd say the Giants challenged the Dallas secondary in Week 1, to the tune of 35 points in their own stadium. Eli threw for over 300 yards and 4 touchdowns.

        I think it's unfair to say the Redskins' choked, if the specific blame should go anywhere it should be to fraud Santana Moss. He caused the interception and his powderpuff fumble led to the Packers scoring the winning touchdown. He even sat himself afterwards, which is puzzling. Hello, deep speed decoy? Ugh, his brother is even more worthless.

        Also, (occassional) upright running was a knock on Addai as well coming out of LSU. Maybe it's overblown?

        Good note on Larry Johnson's pass-blocking, as someone who say it himself and shared. I know he was awful his first year of starting, 2005, and I blasted him for it.

        The Housh/Ocho bit, we've talked about for some time. Funny thing is Johnson is locked up long-term while TJ is signed through 2008.
        Last edited by Geo; 10-16-2007, 01:03 AM.
        Pugnacity, testosterone, truculence, and belligerence.

        Comment


        • #5
          In the last few weeks you gave Mario Williams and the rest of the Houston 1st round picks on the DL alot of praise, isn't it prudent to turn around and say they played poorly after giving up 244 yards rushing to the Jaguars?
          aka KGB Chicken

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          • #6
            Originally posted by Geo View Post
            I'd say the Giants challenged the Dallas secondary in Week 1, to the tune of 35 points in their own stadium. Eli threw for over 300 yards and 4 touchdowns.
            I don't know why I worded it that way. What I meant was they were unchallenged by the likes of Buffalo, St Louis, Miami, and Chicago (with Grossman),

            I think it's unfair to say the Redskins' choked, if the specific blame should go anywhere it should be to fraud Santana Moss. He caused the interception and his powderpuff fumble led to the Packers scoring the winning touchdown. He even sat himself afterwards, which is puzzling. Hello, deep speed decoy? Ugh, his brother is even more worthless.
            Santana Moss has had two good seasons, other than that yeah he has been worthless. I just thought for sure that "my" Redskins would have beaten GB, and they should have. Moss killed them.

            Also, (occassional) upright running was a knock on Addai as well coming out of LSU. Maybe it's overblown?
            It probably is.

            Good note on Larry Johnson's pass-blocking, as someone who say it himself and shared. I know he was awful his first year of starting, 2005, and I blasted him for it.
            No one can be a 'elite' top-5 RB when you suck at one of the three aspects of playing the position. What's sad is Larry Johnson has the physique to be a great blocker, he's 6'1" 235-lbs but he shies away from contact while players like Clinton Portis who is 5'10" 200-lbs stonewalls linebackers.

            The Housh/Ocho bit, we've talked about for some time. Funny thing is Johnson is locked up long-term while TJ is signed through 2008.
            That's sad. Houshmandzadeh does all the things you want from a technical standpoint. He catches passes in the middle while taking big shots, he blocks very well, he rarely drops passes, and most of all you can tell it's all team first for him. It's a shame that his teammate steals all of his glory simply because he's a narcissist.
            Last edited by Shiver; 10-16-2007, 01:13 AM.

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            • #7
              Originally posted by San Diego Chicken View Post
              In the last few weeks you gave Mario Williams and the rest of the Houston 1st round picks on the DL alot of praise, isn't it prudent to turn around and say they played poorly after giving up 244 yards rushing to the Jaguars?

              Of course they didn't play well. Sometimes that just happens, see Jacksonville's formidable front seven getting gashed by the Titans in week 1. If it becomes a trend then I will make mention of it.

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              • #8
                Originally posted by Shiver View Post
                Of course they didn't play well. Sometimes that just happens, see Jacksonville's formidable front seven getting gashed by the Titans in week 1. If it becomes a trend then I will make mention of it.
                That is very true, defenses often have off games, but the Texans are giving up a disturbing 4.8 yards per carry on the season. Seems like a low return given that they've spent their last three #1 draft picks on the defensive line.
                aka KGB Chicken

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                • #9
                  How much of that number is inflated due to this past Sunday? The Jaguars did average 9.4 yards per rushing play. Most of that comes from Fred Taylor's 76 yard run, and Maurice Jones-Drew run of 57. So of the Jaguars' 244 yards rushing, half of it came on two runs.

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                  • #10
                    I didn't know the Jags ran that well against a good Texans defense. Crap.

                    Looking into it:

                    Code:
                    FIRST HALF
                                    carries-yards-avg-long
                    Fred Taylor     5-83-16.6-76
                    Maurice Drew    6-41-6.8-27
                    David Garrard   4-14-3.5-5
                    Greg Jones      1-3-3.0-3
                    Total           16-141-8.8-76
                    
                    
                    SECOND HALF
                                    carries-yards-avg-long-touchdowns
                    Fred Taylor     1-7-7.0-7
                    Maurice Drew    6-84-14.0-57-2
                    David Garrard   1-12-12.0-12
                    Greg Jones      1-1-1.0-1
                    Quinn Gray      1-(-)1-(-)1.0-(-)1
                    Total           10-103-10.3-57-2
                    Mo Drew had the parting of the Red Sea opening on his 57-yard touchdown, the Jags offensive line mauled the Texans on that play. It was late in the 4th with 6 minutes to go, though.
                    Last edited by Geo; 10-16-2007, 01:31 AM.
                    Pugnacity, testosterone, truculence, and belligerence.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Agreed on your take of the Pats/Cowboys game. I think the Cowboys issues in the secondary are widely known but I still think they will finish as the top seed in the NFC because it seems they are still the most overall consistent team in the conference. (I'm going to view the Buffalo game as an aberration) although not much can be done about the secondary issues, it should likely get better for them when Henry returns, and Newman becomes 100% healthy..

                      Peterson is a stud. He has power, speed, acceleration all in one. Hope to see many more highlights of him the rest of the year. As of now he's OROY unless he gets injured, or someone takes it away from him. Doubtful.

                      Agreed on the Redskins, which is why I didn't have the confidence in them to pick them this week. That team right now is sort of an enigma to me, They can come out looking so strong one Week, and then the following Week they continuously shoot themselves in the foot to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. (Impressive Monday Night Win over the Eagles followed by a collapsing Home loss to the Giants, a demolishing of the Lions, followed by a heartbreaking loss in Green Bay) Looking back you could probably say the Skins should of won both of those games. On the bright side Jason Campbell looks to be making the next step in becoming an upper level QB in this league, and when everyone is healthy they have a lot of diversity on Offense. (Randle El, Moss, Portis, Sellers, Cooley) The pass Defense is great, but some of Coaching decisions - playcalling, clock management by Gibbs. and co. baffle me down the stretch in crucial parts of the games.

                      I said it before, but the Jags look scary and seem to be back as legit contenders in the AFC. They play smash mouth to stop the run, and run it down your throat, but most surprisingly Garrard is playing very efficiently. (No interceptions this year yet) The Colts on Monday Night next Week will be a huge test for this team, and should give us a good barometer of where they are really at.

                      L.T, nothing new players go through struggles all the time especially coming off of huge MVP years. (it's hard to always live up to amazingly high expectations) He still has the same great ability he always had.

                      Panthers confuse me too. Terrible Home team.. they are 0-2 at home and have been outscored 54-28 at Home this season. but they are 4-0 on the Road. One thing to keep in mind is that their Wins this season have come against the Rams (0-6), Falcons (1-5), Saints (1-4), and a Cardinals team that played Tim Rattay at QB who was just signed off the street.

                      Bush showed me some positive things, he ran forward and attacked the line of scrimmage for the most part. However I'd still like to see some more consistency from him and the whole ground game in general. We really struggled to wind down the clock late in the 4th quarter when we had a chance to put the game away early.
                      Last edited by Auron; 10-16-2007, 01:37 AM.

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                      • #12
                        tomorrow is the trade deadline. too bad it isn't as exciting as the mlb deadline or even the nba deadline.

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                        • #13
                          Shiver,

                          I really hope you weren't one of the people who were harping on Packers fans for saying they should have won the Bears game because they outplayed them.

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                          • #14
                            I would take Jones-Drew over Bush too. Hell, I would've taken Bush and Jones-Drew in the same draft and traded away McAllister. Jones-Drew was drafted in the 2nd Round. The Saints could have drafted Jones-Drew in the 2nd and then drafted Dawan Landry in the 5th if they wanted a safety that badly.

                            I am a huge Lance Moore fan and think the more he plays the better he gets. He runs clean routes, catches the ball nicely, and I haven't seen him drop a pass yet. Devery Henderson will probably be demoted to the 4th receiver. I don't know what's up with Colston. I think more teams are double-teaming him so he's not getting the looks he's used to.

                            Beastly sig by BoneKrusher

                            Super Bowl XLIV Champions
                            WHO DAT!

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                            • #15
                              Originally posted by diabsoule View Post
                              I would take Jones-Drew over Bush too. Hell, I would've taken Bush and Jones-Drew in the same draft and traded away McAllister. Jones-Drew was drafted in the 2nd Round. The Saints could have drafted Jones-Drew in the 2nd and then drafted Dawan Landry in the 5th if they wanted a safety that badly.
                              Thanks for your great analysis now that you know how the players are going to pan out...

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