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I think Edgerrin James will be hurt because of his years in Arizona. What I mean by that is that those years are revealing that he is not nearly as good as what his stats in Indianapolis would indicate. Throughout his entire career in Indy he wasn't the guy the defense geared up to stop. That makes things a lot easier.
In his defense, he went from one of the best OLs in the NFL to one of the worst. If the Cardinals can build an OL for him, he could probably reach his 03-05 production levels again.
The problem arises when people use statistics like a drunk uses a lamp post: for support instead of illumination.
If luck is where preparation meets opportunity, then clutch is where failure meets luck.
<Add1ct> setting myself on fire can't be that hard
<Add1ct> but tackling a mosquito might prove a challenge
There's only one running back who ever came back from a 400+ carry season to have anything resembling sucess. He's the exception that proves the rule. It's not LJ.
Give me a break. There is such a small sample to choose from that saying only one came back successfully means jack squat.
What about players who had 360 or 370 carries during the regular season and went on to play 2 or 3 playoff games that put them over 400 carries for the season? Nobody ever talks about them yet there are a good number of runningbacks who fall under that category. I looked it up once but I am too lazy to do it again. Emmitt Smith was one of them though and I believe he had 2 or 3 seasons with 400+ carries counting the playoffs, most of them being early in his career. He also had a couple more seasons in the 380 or 390 range that really were not much of a difference. He was just fine.
Jonathan Ogden (I believe he just retired but I will still count him as active)
champ bailey will 100% make it as will ray lewis obviously. i also think zach thomas will end up there.
"it won't change not one way how I play this week no matter what the fine is. You can't stop playing defense the way defense has always been created to play." - Ray Lewis after being fined $20,000 for hit on Hines Ward
We have now reached the point in the offseason where nothing substantial will happen until the draft. So, to liven the place up a bit, I ask you to name the active players you think will reach the HOF. Off the top of my head in no particular order.
QB Tom Brady
Steven Jackson....I know he still has a long long ways to go Ladainian Tomlinson
Larry Johnson....Again he must do a lot, and I worry about him getting too many carries
I would say AP, but he has only played one year and the injury concern is still there for me
Terrell Owens Marvin Harrison
There are many others I feel have a decent shot, but there are issues like character (TO's #'s will be too amazing to deny him) and having to continue their success for years to come. These are guys I would put in this group in a rough order of what I think their chances of making it are:
Hines Ward......should probably make it because of his overall game, but stat sheets may hurt him
Andre Johnson......an amazing talent, but his career could end up being wasted away with a terrible team if remains in Houston
Again many others that could make it, like Orlando Pace (must return to a top level without injuries for a few years) and Samuel from Washington. I am probably leaving some guys off this on accident.
DL Michael Strahan
LB Ray Lewis
DB Champ Bailey
There are a lot guys here that have a shot but I am not as confident about. I'm even a little hesitant on Reed.
the bolded guys are the only guys on that list that are actual 100% hall of famers as of now