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BBD's 10 NFL Truths (long write up)

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  • bigbluedefense
    started a topic BBD's 10 NFL Truths (long write up)

    BBD's 10 NFL Truths (long write up)

    Hey, if a moron like Whitlock can do it, why can't I? Im gonna make some predictions of stuff we'll see during the season, I'm just curious to see if 4 months from now if I was right. So...here we go

    10. The Redskins will be at the bottom of the NFC East. That doesn't mean theyre a bad team, that just means that they won't be the better than the other 3. They have a great team on paper, but I just don't see Brunell holding up throughout the season and when they have to put Campbell in at Qb, kiss the playoffs good bye. You will not make the playoffs in this division with essentially a rookie qb. No way. I see an 8-8/7-9 season for them, which in this division, is enough to be the bottom.

    9. Vernon Davis will have a disappointing year. I don't believe in Vernon Davis. He ran fast...whoopidy do. He's short, and has short arms. For all his strength, he doesn't block well, nor will he ever block well because of his short arms. A TE doesn't have to be fast, he has to be long. Look at Gates, theres at least 5 TEs in the league faster, yet he is the best. Why? Because his arms go down to his shoe laces, thats why.

    8. Brian Dawkins will continue to be the Zach Thomas of safeties, all walk yet will not be considered the best FS in the game. Brian Dawkins has been the best FS in the game for the past 6 years or so. But he's always put behind someone else. He's durable, incredible at coverage, sure tackler, great blitzer, a team leader, intelligent, what more does he have to do? He is the best FS in the game, arguably the best S in the game right here right now, but he doesn't get that kind of love. And this year will be no different.

    7. The NO Saints are gonna surprise alot of people this year. This is my darkhouse playoff contender. They have a great offense. Brees, Stallworth, Horn, Deuce and Reggie...thats insane. They can throw split back looks at you all day and you couldn't stop it. Motion Reggie to the slot...peace out LB. This offense could be explosive. And they have a decent pass rush on defense. That masks alot of other glaring weaknesses. If they can catch a hot streak....this team could snag a wild card spot.

    6. Ben Roethlisberger will blame poor performance on more spoof injuries. Pay attention to this. He has a history of it. Its been overlooked because he's winning and winning solves everything. But pay attention to what he's said and done the past 2 years. His rookie year he blames his loss in the playoffs to a fake toe/foot injury, then he blames it on throwing too much (15-20 times a game is too much?). Then last year, he has a "thumb" injury that needed "surgery", but it turns out his thumb was perfectly fine. He blamed his loss to the Bengals in the regular season on his health, and in the SB he looked and felt fine....until he threw a pick for a TD (or almost a TD, i forgot). Then all of a sudden, he's holding his thumb in pain. This is a recurring theme, and if you pay close attention, if he starts losing this year, he will make more excuses...just watch out for it is all I'm saying.

    5. The Ravens will make the playoffs, and the Bengals won't. I excpect the Ravens to have a balanced offense this year. Jamal Lewis should be back, and even if Boller has to start, I don't see him doing that bad. He actually finished the year real strong. They have an all world defense as well that will keep them in games. The bengals on the other hand, don't have an impressive defense, and Palmer should miss some time. That will prevent them from getting back in the playoffs.

    4. The Giants first half schedule will either make them or break them.
    The Giants fate is simple. Its all gonna come down to the first half of the season. Their schedule is brutal. If they falter, the season is over. If they succeed, they can very well win the division. Eli Manning will have a break out year, but will it be enough to win the first half? The schedule is brutal, and one injury during those games (esp to Barber) could end the Giants season. And if the secondary plays the way it did last year...well, its not gonna be pretty.

    3. The AFC West will be an open race. This division is up for grabs. All the teams can win it...even the Raiders. The Chiefs have issues on defense and lost Roaf, the Broncos will still have issues at qb, the Raiders have a young but developing defense and Aaron Brooks, and the Chargers have Rivers running the show for the first time. All have major question marks that will be answered during the season. I wouldn't be surprised if this division mirrors the NFC East.

    2. People will realize that they are waay overrating Al Saunders. All you hear is Al Saunders this, Al Saunders that. "The redskins offense will be great because of Al Saunders.." Give me a break. Do you think that KC oline had anything to do with his success in KC? That oline made the world go round. Not Al Saunders. He didn't look like a genius when Roaf was injured last year. Al Saunders will not revitalize the skins offense. It will be good, but no one should expect KC like results. Thats just foolish.

    1. Larry Johnson will not have the rushing title next year. Larry Johnson will not have the rushing title next year despite of what everyone says. He's the easy paper choice, but he lost Roaf and teams will be gunning for him. I think he's getting too much hype and its gotten to his head. He will have a great year, but he won't be the best in the NFL, that will go to Ladanian this year.

  • njx9
    replied
    word, i should have a forum up by tomorrow, so when you see something new on the board, stop in. my plan would be to spend some portion of tomorrow finalizing the format, then getting stuff up over the weekend and tuesday (since a "drinking" weekend may not be conducive for everyone to get things up) then copy forward the posts on either tuesday or wednesday.

    Leave a comment:


  • DMWSackMachine
    replied
    Btw, BBD, I remember reading this post back when you made it, and thinking that it was about 60-40 right.....but looking back it was truly an impressive job.

    If one wanted to nit-pick, they could find something wrong with probably 6 or 7 of your points, but the spirit of what you were saying was right on everything......lol, except your beloved G-men. It's funny how that works, isn't it? Love does truly blind us.

    Still, while LJ may ultimately win the rushing title, I would still consider your point to be right. People were saying that he would run away with it, and that 2000 was the benchmark for success for him this season, but he has had waaaaaay more carries than LT, and is currently neck and neck with him. I expected him to be in it, but to lose out to somebody that came out of the pack. I truly didn't expect it to be LT to win it (even though I have always thought that he was the best RB in the league), because of the vulturing nature of Michael Turner, but I am happy to see him in position to do just that.

    As to the AFC West point, while you may sound off on that one, it was still a good one. The inclusion of the Raiders in that group was a bone-head one, imo, and the only part that I would argue with right now (though I personally would have told you you were dead wrong to think that the Chiefs had a chance before the season), as the Broncos looked like the class of the division 1/3 of the way in, while the Chiefs made a serious run at it before falling back to the pack. I don't think the Chargers are that much better than the rest of the league. Rather, I think they have had a series of fortunate circumstances conspire to keep them where they are, with the Bengals win, followed by the early deficit-turned-win @ Denver that ultimately (at least imo) sealed Denver's fate for the season and catapulted the Chargers to the top of the division - and league. So, while it superficially looks that you were full of it on that one, I would consider you to have captured the spirit of what has actually transpired, even if the letter seems to be wrong.

    Definately a job well done. 8)

    Leave a comment:


  • DMWSackMachine
    replied
    This sounds pretty interesting. I'd be happy to be involved, but it seems like a good idea to have some sort of designated format - even it it's simply a loosely put together one - for the sake of apple to apple comparison's on different topics. We could do something of the nature of a team-by-team analysis with our #1 "Essential Truth" (or whatever you want to call it) for each side of the ball, and then a "wild-card" point that we think will likely come into play with the team. Then, beyond that we could have something like 3 points apeice to talk about each conference and what we expect to see, how things will/won't play out, or even commentary on one particular player/trend/pattern/whatever.

    IDK, just a suggestion, but I definately think there should be fair amount of structure for the sake of comparing ideas on an even playing field. But whatever we decide I'll happily contribute. We need to decide pretty quick here, it will likely take a fair deal of time/effort (at least for me), and the sooner I know what's up, the better the final product will be.

    Leave a comment:


  • Dam8610
    replied
    Wow, that's impressive, especially #7.

    Leave a comment:


  • Crabjuice
    replied
    Re: BBD's 10 NFL Truths (long write up)

    Originally posted by bigbluedefense
    9. [b]Vernon Davis.... For all his strength, he doesn't block well, nor will he ever block well because of his short arms.
    Way off on this one.

    Leave a comment:


  • Xonraider
    replied
    I'm going to do one of these next year too.. :D

    Terrific job though.

    Leave a comment:


  • yourfavestoner
    replied
    This actually sounds like a brilliant idea.

    And Shiv, get that writeup done. I look forward to it every week.

    Leave a comment:


  • Ravens1991
    replied
    Even though I dont really have any write up expierence if you need somebody from the AFC just shoot me a PM.

    Leave a comment:


  • njx9
    replied
    i'll try to work some things out. i'm not sure if any admins are around, since we'd need them to get the board created... i'll pm some folks in the meantime. hopefully by thursday or friday the board can be up and we can get some things started before the weekend and have it up by monday or tuesday.

    Leave a comment:


  • MichaelJordanEberle (sabf)
    replied
    Originally posted by bigbluedefense
    Originally posted by Shiver
    I am a day late, I'll try to hammer it out tonight, as I am kind of a insomniac so I have nothing better to do..
    Im expecting "The NFC is a crapshoot part 100000000000000000000" to be somewhere in there, lol.

    There has to have been more than just 100000000000000000000

    Leave a comment:


  • bigbluedefense
    replied
    I gotta get up early tomorrow, so I may be away from the PC, but I'll still be around. It definately sounds like a good idea.

    Leave a comment:


  • njx9
    replied
    Originally posted by Shiver
    Originally posted by bigbluedefense
    Originally posted by njx9
    since this one's bumped... i'd like to advocate a joint thread between a few of you guys.

    you, shiver, DMW (assuming they don't all turn into NFC east topics) and maybe a few other guys. you all tend to give the best write ups and seem to be right a fair amount of the time. you should consider getting together and putting together something before the playoffs start.
    What would you propose? An issue that may occur is the thread being too heavily NFC dominant. Especially NFC East in particular with me and DMW knowing more about our division than anything else.

    We could potentially be opening up pandora's box with something of that nature, but it could also work. Im curious to hear how we would execute something of that sort.
    Yeah, I too am curious. Although truthfully, I keep trying to write my week 16 edition, but I've run acrossed writers block. A change-up would be nice.

    I would love for njx to do some write-ups, as a change of pace, opposed to his usual work where he owns random dummies.
    heh, i kept meaning to all year, mostly so that people would have a chance to rip apart the things i thought. i dunno, i've been trying to get a book finished, so the writing's been pretty consumed in terms of putting together enough thoughts for a serious discussion, rather than just picking at things other people say.

    Leave a comment:


  • bigbluedefense
    replied
    Originally posted by njx9
    Originally posted by bigbluedefense
    Originally posted by njx9
    since this one's bumped... i'd like to advocate a joint thread between a few of you guys.

    you, shiver, DMW (assuming they don't all turn into NFC east topics) and maybe a few other guys. you all tend to give the best write ups and seem to be right a fair amount of the time. you should consider getting together and putting together something before the playoffs start.
    What would you propose? An issue that may occur is the thread being too heavily NFC dominant. Especially NFC East in particular with me and DMW knowing more about our division than anything else.

    We could potentially be opening up pandora's box with something of that nature, but it could also work. Im curious to hear how we would execute something of that sort.
    my first thought would be in a vaguely interview style, at least to start. submit to you guys like 10-15 questions beforehand so that you'd at least have a chance to think of a few things you wanted to point out, but then include some discussion after each, argument or counter-point. this is very off-the-cuff, so bear with me if some of this doesn't sound perfectly thought out.

    i guess i'd think to pattern it after NFL Live, except that you people say infinitely more interesting things than the guys on that show, in terms of someone acting as Wingo, and you guys taking over the discussion from some questions. clearly, if there were issues you particularly wanted to address, those could be part of the question process, btu the process would hopefully ensure that the AFC would be represented.

    it'd be nice to get something like 5-6 guys, some for the NFC and a couple for the AFC (like i said, since it's off the cuff, i only picked up a couple of names that sprung to mind immediately).

    ideally, we could get a separate board created that wouldn't be viewable by anyone (to make the process easier) and then simply move the thread here afterwards for general discussion by everyone. given the number of responses to most of your and shiver's write-ups and the... polarizing nature of some of the things DMW says (no knock here, i appreciate it), i think it would generate some good discussion, especially for those fans whose teams have been eliminated.

    thoughts, concerns, etc.?
    I like it, I like it alot. We all get presented the questions before hand and we give our analysis of the topic at hand. That would be great. Id love for you to be one of the AFC guys, you gotta be part of it. I look forward to it.

    Let's work out the details. It would be a great segway leading to the playoffs.

    Leave a comment:


  • bigbluedefense
    replied
    Originally posted by Shiver
    I am a day late, I'll try to hammer it out tonight, as I am kind of a insomniac so I have nothing better to do..
    Im expecting "The NFC is a crapshoot part 100000000000000000000" to be somewhere in there, lol.

    Leave a comment:

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