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I really don't see how you can prove/justify that the Raiders are looking at McCown as the long term solution at QB. Almost all of the mocks [including Scott's] have them taking JR. And if they do decide to go with CJ at #1 [which I personally don't see] it won't be b/c they want to build the franchise with McCown [if they do indeed pick him up], it will be because they just could not resist CJ. The only way I see them proving your theory right is if they offer McCown a big fat 4 year deal or something. Other than that what you are saying doesn't make a whole lot of sense.
Have you checked out the latest mock draft by Scott? He said last week in a thread it looks like the Raiders are leaning toward CJ.