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The Colts are the Colts. And KC ain't gonna stop 'em. LJ will get his. I dunno, I think it will be close. The Colts would be wise to grind it out with short passes and runs to keep their defense fresh. Is Bob Sanders gonna be back? Because I think maybe they should run less cover 2 if it's a potential running down, and bring Sanders up.
The Colts cannot stop the run. Period. Moreover, they've been particularly inept against run-dominant teams. (The Jags ran for over 600 yards rushing in their two meetings, and the Titans ran for well over 400 yards....and neither of them has a Larry Johnson).
Look for LJ to have 35+ carries for well over 150 yards; likewise, look for the Chiefs to hold the ball for 35-40 minutes. It will be hard for the Colts' offense to be effective when the Chiefs have a 2:1 advantage in TOP. (Hard to establish a rhythm standing on the sidelines.)
If the Colts' O is hitting on all cylinders from wire to wire, they might be able to win in a shootout. But given their track record over the last half of the season and their recent postseason struggles, I find it highly unlikely.
I'm taking the Colts. I just don't think the Cheifs are a good enough team to beat the Colts. Yes Larry Johnson is a great running back and should get a ton of yards but I don't think the Chiefs defense will be able to slow manning down enough to let the Cheifs put the points on the baord they need to.