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The Panthers are efficient on offense and defense, but their turtle-like pace has obscured the fact that they just don't generate turnovers (16.8 percent of possessions, 333rd in the NCAA). Pitt also relies on free throws for 55 percent of its scoring margin while scoring fewer than a quarter of its points on 3s. These are precisely the kind of attributes that reduce the quantity and quality of a team's possessions, and our model says they render Pittsburgh the second-most vulnerable Giant to face a potential Killer. There's no guarantee the Golden Grizzlies, who sport the 212th-ranked defense in the nation, will capitalize. But say this for Oakland: It maximizes possessions, grabbing offensive rebounds on 36.8 percent of missed shots and limiting turnovers to 19.7 percent of possessions. If our model had eyes, it would wink at those stats.