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What are the odds? (A CJ "what if?" thread)

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  • What are the odds? (A CJ "what if?" thread)

    The conventional wisdom has the Raiders selecting JaMarcus Russell #1 overall, much to the delight of Lions fans everywhere. Russell-to-Oakland puts Millen in the driver's seat of the 2007 draft.

    But...what are the chances -- in your opinion -- that Calvin Johnson is selected #1 overall instead, either by Oakland or by someone trading with Oakland into the #1 spot?

    I'm pessimistic. While I think it's highly unlikely the Raiders trade out of the top spot, I do believe they have a plan (even if it's Plan B) to draft CJ for themselves.

    Here's my take:

    35% chance Oakland drafts CJ

    5% chance Oakland trades out of the top spot (with an 80% chance that the team trading up selects CJ)

  • #2
    10% OAK takes CJ
    0.1% OAK trades out of #1 spot

    90% OAK takes JRuss

    fenikz

    "Pride comes before the fall" - Mark Dantonio

    35-21

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by asmitty45 View Post
      10% OAK takes CJ
      0.1% OAK trades out of #1 spot

      90% OAK takes JRuss
      perfecy except that doesnt equal zero

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by asmitty45 View Post
        10% OAK takes CJ
        0.1% OAK trades out of #1 spot

        90% OAK takes JRuss
        100.1 % your math is off.

        Sig by Fenikz

        I remember NFLDC
        don't tell anyone, but Charlie Casserly is a dope fiend

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        • #5
          100% JaMarcus to Oakland. That is all.

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by Addict View Post
            100.1 % your math is off.
            dammit ok

            9.9% OAK takes CJ
            0.1% Trade Down
            90% OAK takes JRuss

            fenikz

            "Pride comes before the fall" - Mark Dantonio

            35-21

            Comment

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