2009 Regular Season - Week 17 Colts at Bills (Sunday 1pm ET)
2009 Regular Season - Week 1: Jacksonville
Line-up is subject to change as injuries become known:-
QB: Peyton Manning
RB: Joseph Addai
H-B: Gijon Robinson
TE: Dallas Clark
LWR: Reggie Wayne
RWR: Anthony Gonzalez
LT: Charlie Johnson
LG: Ryan Lilja
C: Jeff Saturday
RG: Mike Pollak
RT: Ryan Diem
LE: Keyunta Dawson
UT: Daniel Muir
NT: Antonio Johnson
RE: Dwight Freeney
WLB: Freddie Keiaho
MLB: Gary Brackett
SLB: Tyjuan Hagler
LCB: Kelvin Hayden
RCB: Jerraud Powers
FS: Melvin Bullitt
SS: Jamie Silva
PK: Adam Vinatieri
P: Pat McAfee
H: Pat McAfee
LS: Justin Snow
KR: TJ Rushing
PR: TJ Rushing
Tom Santi – TE: Out
Robert Mathis – DE: Questionable
Raheem Brock – DE: Questionable
Ed Johnson – DT: Suspended
Clint Session – LB: Questionable
Antoine Bethea – S: Questionable
Bob Sanders – S: Doubtful
Adam Vinatieri – PK: Probable
QB: David Garrard
RB: Rashad Jennings
FB: Greg Jones
TE: Marcedes Lewis
LWR: Troy Williamson
RWR: Tory Holt
LT: Eugene Monroe
LG: Vince Manuwai
C: Brad Meester
RG: Maurice Williams
RT: Eben Britton
LE: Reggie Heyward
UT: Terrance Knighton
NT: John Henderson
RE: Derrick Harvey
WLB: Clint Ingram
MLB: Justin Durant
SLB: Daryl Smith
LCB: Derek Cox
RCB: Rashean Mathis
FS: Reggie Nelson
SS: Sean Considine
PK: Josh Scobee
P: Adam Podlesh
H: Adam Podlesh
LS: Jeremy Cain
KR: Brian Witherspoon
PR: Brian Witherspoon
Maurice Jones-Drew – RB: Questionable
Zach Miller – TE: Probable
Clint Ingram – LB: Probable
Key injuries for the Colts on the defensive side of the ball will make this a very, very tough game. We lost to Jacksonville in Lucas Oil last year and the Colts could have similar problems against Jacksonville this year.
The key for the Colts is that there currently are no real injuries in the Passing Game (Tom Santi is the only Offensive Player carrying a knock and he probably wouldn’t have featured heavily anyway). Manning has had a full Training Camp, has his starting Offensive Line in front of him, has both starting Receivers, and a number of other options like Collie and Garcon. The Colts need to win a number of individual matchups though, one of which could be very tough. Charlie Johnson needs to allow Peyton Manning to get into his rhythm and he will be coming up against Derrick Harvey, the 8th Pick in 2008 NFL Draft. Harvey started off slowly last year but came more into his game as the year went on and could be a very good pass rushing threat this year. Johnson needs to keep Harvey out of the backfield. The other key matchup is much more favourable. That is Anthony Gonzalez against Derek Cox. Cox is a 3rd Round pick from this year’s draft, but is expected to start against the Colts. Gonzalez needs to step up his game and a matchup against a Rookie good be a brilliant start.
Here’s where the problems started for the Colts last year. They need to run the ball more consistently and keep the Jaguars’ defense on the field for longer, and more importantly, keep the Colts’ defense off the field for longer. Last year, in the corresponding fixture, the Colts had 18:25 minutes of possession, compared to Jacksonville’s 41:35. That is nowhere near good enough. The good part is that the Colts now have 2 1st Round Running Backs, a fully fit Offensive Line, and Peyton Manning. Manning’s knee meant that until basically the BYE week the Colts couldn’t even practice the stretch play. I expect the see the stretch play back to being the mainstay of the Colts’ running game. The Line now has Charlie Johnson at LT, who is a better Run Blocker than Ugoh, Ryan Lilja is now fit, and he’s the team’s best Run Blocker, while Mike Pollak now has another year under his belt and was able to attend Training Camp. All in all, I feel the Line will be better in the Run Game this year. The Jacksonville Run Defense was almost as bad as our Run Defense was last year, and while he wasn’t particularly good, they have lost one of their starting Defensive Tackles for the season. The Colts need to take advantage of this and really start running the ball better.
Panic time. The Colts’ have one of the best pass defences in the NFL. The problem is that our second best Pass Rusher is injured, our best interior Pass Rusher is suspended, our second best interior Pass Rusher is injured, our playmaking Weakside Linebacker is injured, one of our starting Cornerbacks is returning from an ACL tear, our starting Free Safety is injured and our starting Strong Safety is injured. Not the role call you want to hear in your first game back. Now, with the exceptions of Bob Sanders and Ed Johnson, all those players can and probably will play. The problem is though, even if those players do play, are they going to be firing on all cylinders? The key matchup is LE against RT. If Robert Mathis is playing he will have Eben Britton looking for his mommy. The problem is that I feel Britton will be able to handle Keyunta Dawson pretty well. We need performances out of Bullitt, and we need Bethea to be able to play because I question Silva’s contribution outside of Special Teams.
Really, panic time. We started with Keyunta Dawson and Eric Foster last year. It didn’t end well. We are missing three starting members of our front 7, while the Jaguars Offensive Line could really be back with a vengeance. Add this to the loss of Bob Sanders and we will really struggle to stop the run. The Colts really need Jones-Drew to be either out of the game, or playing under his usual level. I don’t know how much of a threat Jennings would be if Jones-Drew is out or misfiring. We need Mookie to have a key game and Dawson to show that while he wasn’t a good Defensive Tackle that he can defend pretty well at end.
We need our coverage teams to be playing very well. We can’t allow the Jaguars to start every single drive on the 30 or 40 yard line, nor can we afford to start all of ours on 10 yard line. Witherspoon is a very good returner, who has unbelievable straight line speed, so they really need to get him stopped before he gets going. Rushing showed glimpse in Preseason of being back to his best at returning the ball and McAfee really impressed me but we really need Nougatieri to be there and playing well. I could see this game being a close one and could be won or lost on a field goal.
Prediction: Jaguars – 20 vs Colts - 24
I definitely like the Colts in this game. Sure they will be without their best DT in Ed Johnson and their best safety in Bob Sanders, but the defense gets a boost playing at home. And the offense will lead the way to victory.
The Colts offense is experienced and ready to roll, they will find success on both ground and air against a retooling Jacksonville defense imo. The Colts can still do things against the Jax pass defense.
The Jaguars offensive line doesn't have its chemistry yet, the receivers don't have their chemistry with Garrard yet. This is why I love the Colts playing the Jaguars right out of the gate.
Plus Maurice Jones-Drew is currently dealing with some shin injury, although I expect him to play - but, like I've thought all offseason, I don't expect him to last as a real workhorse RB (say 350 touches) that some fantasy football people think he'll be.
Normally I don't hazard to guess a score, but just as a differing example to Seamus, I think something along the lines of 34-20 in favor of the Colts.
I just worry about the D-Line. We really need both Mathis and Brock to play. If neither plays then here's our D-Lines.
LE: ??? Do we play either Glenn or Wheeler with their hand in the dirt?
If Tra Thomas and Vince Manuwai can successfully double team Freeney, and you have to imagine that they will, and I'd imagine the other three Jags O-Line men could keep our other three rushers out, sans Brock and Mathis, then I don't see any pass rush. Even Garrard, with rusty Receivers, will do well if we can't get to him quickly.
Rotoworld says rookie Eugene Monroe and Eben Britton have won the left and right tackle spots, respectively, for the Jags.
Two rookies against Freeney and Mathis, in the Oil Drum.
I just jizzed in my pants.
The only thing is that, for the love of good football, pay all attention to Maurice Jones-Drew on third downs. Doesn't matter what distance.
Even still, if we have those injuries, I would wory even if it is Freeney against Monroe and Manuwai. The key thing is Mathis. If Mathis is fit then he will destroy Ebon Britton, an Offensive Tackle who was told he wouldn't cut it as a Left Tackle because he can't keep out elite speed rushers. If Mathis is fit then they will struggle to double block him with Britton and Lewis, which will give an easier matchup inside. They need internal pass rush to keep Manuwai away from Freeney.
This game will be won by the Colts offense
I have more confidence in the Colts offense to force the Jags to play catch up to make Freeney and Mathis more effective.
I think that is what is going to happen and the only 2 positions of confidence for me on defense in this game would be DE (if Mathis plays) and CB (our depth is solid there). If we can force the Jags to play catch up, this game is OVER in our favor.:) I think that is what will happen.
I hate that the Patriots were able to get a 1st rounder from the Raiders for Richard Seymour. They just keep on swindling that senile fool Al Davis.
The positive is that hopefully the Colts will take advatage of their short-term loss (before a long-term gain) just like in 2006 when, before the season, the Pats traded Deion Branch to Seattle for a 1st round pick. That helped the Colts get a higher seeding for the playoffs and the AFCCG victory. The Colts had difficulty running to Seymour's side, as I recall, so now they will hope run better and block better to that side which bodes well for them.
And also, seeing as how Randy Moss has been relatively healthy the last two years, I think there is a chance that he might have to deal with injury this season. Just the way things work, it tends to be cyclical.
I think the cycle for the Colts is strongest these next two years, just like it was in 2005 and 2006.
Which could be prolonged further with some really good drafts and acquisitions. Ex. picking up undrafted free agent Ed Johnson in 2007.
That is why this year is ripe for the plucking
This is a good year for us to get a #1 or #2 seed. Given the luck the #1 seeds have had in the AFC recently (except when it is the Pats who have gone to the SB every time they were #1):( , I'd rather have the Steelers take the #1 and us at #2 (rather go to Heinz field than to Foxboro).
Seamus I am with you on your concern for the defense. Preseason was pretty much shot as far as getting practice with the starters in the new defensive scheme. Too many injuries to starters and key players. I am frustrated because a: if everyone was healthy and stayed that way I think it could've been something special, and b: with so many injuries the defense might just be flat out bad.
That said, I think the Colts will win by a TD or more.
The Jags are going to spend so much of their focus on Reggie Wayne, because he slays them. Reggie is a Jaguar killer.
Btw, I don't know if you guys heard, but the Colts are easing Marlin Jackson back into playing so he's going to be the nickelback. Either Tim Jennings or Jerraud Powers will start opposite Kelvin Hayden, who feels good about coming back in time. Sounds good to me, all around.
The Raiders give up a pick that they had an 80% of wasting anyway and get a potential Hall of Famer, with some juice left in the aul motor. If they can sign Seymour to a long term deal then this is also a very good pick for the Raiders.
The key thing for the Colts is that we finish with the highest record. Remember, last year, with a **** Offensive Line, no running game, and for half the season an injured Peyton Manning, now run defense or Bob Sanders for most of the Season, we still finished 12-4, 1 game away from being the best team in the AFC. If we had beat the Titans in Tennessee then we would have had Home Field advantage for the entire playoffs. The key thing is to get that, so that if we get to the Divisional and Championship games, we are playing them on our own turf instead of the rather chilly Heinz Stadium or Foxbrough.
Powers was such a find by the Colts, spectacular job by the scouting department. He's not only going to break the 3rd round curse, he's going to start for the Colts opposite Hayden for years to come.
Omg Bill Polian talks with Brian Burke, President and General Manager of the Toronto Maple Leafs! My two favorite Pres/GMs for my two favorite teams! Wonderful!
(I heard this on Leafs Lunch today.)
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS at INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
OUT TE Zach Miller (knee)
PROBABLE DT Derek Landri (knee), T Tra Thomas (back)
DID NOT PARTICIPATE IN PRACTICE
Wednesday TE Zach Miller (knee), T Tra Thomas (back)
Thursday TE Zach Miller (knee)
Friday TE Zach Miller (knee)
LIMITED PARTICIPATION IN PRACTICE
Thursday DT Derek Landri (knee)
Friday DT Derek Landri (knee), T Tra Thomas (back)
FULL PARTICIPATION IN PRACTICE
Thursday T Tra Thomas (back)
OUT S Bob Sanders (knee), TE Tom Santi (ankle), CB Jamie Silva (abdomen)
QUESTIONABLE DT Fili Moala (knee)
DID NOT PARTICIPATE IN PRACTICE
Wednesday S Bob Sanders (knee), TE Tom Santi (ankle), CB Jamie Silva (abdomen)
Thursday CB Tim Jennings (not injury related), DT Fili Moala (knee), S Bob Sanders (knee), TE Tom Santi (ankle), CB Jamie Silva (abdomen)
Friday CB Marlin Jackson (not injury related), DT Fili Moala (knee), S Bob Sanders (knee), TE Tom Santi (ankle), CB Jamie Silva (abdomen)
FULL PARTICIPATION IN PRACTICE
Friday CB Tim Jennings (not injury related)
Wow, Marshall Faulk is picking the Jags to win.
Colts declared S Bob Sanders, S Jamie Silva, TE Tom Santi, DT Fili Moala, OL Dan Federkeil, OL Kyle DeVan, LB Cody Glenn and third QB Curtis Painter inactive for Week 1 against the Jaguars.
No surprises there.
Oh COME ON!
RUN IT IN!
What a stupid way to end a GREAT drive.
Wow, just wow.
We are being extremely stupid right now.
What happened to Gonzalez any updates?
Well ****. Good game guys. I think the division is yours still.
I'm not going to write a book, but here are some thoughts:
Oh I knew. He did previously coach the Baltimore Ravens ST including when they won the SB in 2000, so maybe he works out for you guys. But he was awful year after year in Indianapolis, yet Dungy wouldn't fire him or Ron Meeks.
Dungy was such a hypocrite. How can players lose jobs when they don't perform or be replaced with better players, but coaches can't be fired and replaced? Thankfully he retired.
With Gonzo being out the next few weeks who do you guys see starting?
I think we'll see a combination of three things:
1. Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark probably getting more targets, because Peyton trusts them the most.
2. (Hopefully) A few more passes to the RBs, because Addai and Brown can do well in that area even if the running game is meager. Which it probably will be the next two weeks, playing at Miami and at Arizona, both in primetime.
3. Both rookie slot receiver Austin Collie and second-year outside receiver Pierre Garcon will share the load of making up for Gonzo's absence.
I wish I could say it was just one guy, because I have the #1 waiver wire priority in two of my FF leagues and it would be great to get Gonzalez production from a guy in his place, but I can't point to one guy to do that. Maybe it happens, we'll see.
If I was pressed to make a guess, because the Colts will line up with at least two receivers on almost every play, I guess Pierre Garcon would be the guy to target. He plays outside and he has speed that the Colts like.
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