||04-20-2010 09:18 PM
Why Drafting Gerald McCoy Would be a Mistake for the Bucs
McCoy is the most hyped and overrated DT to come out since Glenn Dorsey. Both were disruptive but only marginally productive in college (at least Dorsey showed a good motor and made some tackles his final season) and both severely failed to impress with their athleticism in their workouts. Dorsey is a huge bust and McCoy will likely follow suit.
Here's the thing, fellas. Collegiate DTs play against collegiate OGs who go onto become fry cooks and lawyers or somewhere in between. OGs are usually the least physically talented player on a football team. In the NFL, they look to the OTs for their OGs. Good RTs in college become OGs, good LTs become RTs and great LTs stay at LT... Collegiate OGs are not highly thought of and collegiate DTs will never have to see them again in the NFL... they have to face the far more athletic former OTs... so they have to be more athletic. Sure, Glenn Dorsey dominated SEC OGs...and McCoy dominated Big 12 OGs (at times).... but neither of them have the elite physical ability to be outstanding in the NFL.
McCoy doesn't even have the work ethic. People point to Warren Sapp's 17 reps of 225 to say that McCOy's 21 aren't a big deal... but they're wrong. Poor weigh room numbers suggests bad work ethic and comparing McCoy to Sapp just proves my point. Sapp was known for having a poor work ethic and constantly came into seasons far too fat because of it. What got Sapp by was his outstanding athleticism (4.7 in the 40 type athleticism) which McCoy DOES NOT HAVE! He's a pretty good athlete, but he's no Warren Sapp and even if he did turn around his work ethic to match many of the other DTs in the draft, it still might not be enough to ever be a good DT. That's the thing about Suh, I'm not a Suh-lover, but at the very least you know this guy will work his tail off to be the best he can be.
Then you look at production, which frankly isn't there. Interestingly, McCoy's 34 tackles are exactly half the amount that Lamarr Houston had this past season, his 15.5 TFL are 7 less than Houston, and he had 2 less sacks than Houston. And then Houston went to the combine and had 9 more reps of 225 and ran a 4.85 compared to McCoy's ordinary 5.05. But the outproducing doesn't stop there, Houston was a monster in the Natl Champ Game, notching 10 tackles, 2 TFL and 1 sack, he seemed to have just missed numerous other TFL and sacks against Alabama and their vaunted OL while McCoy went up against a QBless Stanford team and played just OK with 1 sack of a terrible QB and only 3 tackles. Too many times I've watched McCoy only to see him get washed down the line or stood up at his spot... Lamarr Houston was easy to find when watching Texas, he was the guy always in the backfield. Whether he made the play or not, he often did, he was extremely disruptive-and athletic enough to play DE for Texas his first two seasons.
I have often been right in the past about these things. I was very adamant that Gaines Adams would flop in the NFL and was extremely upset when we wasted our pick on him (overraged moron that took 6 seasons after high school to figure out how to dominate in college doesn't make for a good start to an NFL career). And most times my Buc picks have panned out FAR BETTER than the team's.
Going back to 98, the Bucs picked WR Jacquez Green, I openly pined for WR Germane Crowell... Crowell had some really good years in the NFL... Green fizzled out... advantage-ME
In 99 the Bucs drafted DT Anthony McFarland, I had hoped for DE Jevon Kearse... I can understand why McFarland was selected but I was right, Kearse was the better NFL player... advantage-ME
In 2000, I actually predicted the first two picks for the Bucs with OG Cosey Coleman and LB Nate Webster... these two picks were nothing to brag about for either me or the Bucs...tie
In 2001, I actually predicted and wanted Kenyatta Walker, ok, that makes both of us look bad.
In 2002, I had no idea, we had no 1st or 2nd
Skipping ahead to when we had a 1st rounder but I wanted DT Tommie Harris to fall to us but he didn't, my backup choice was RB Steven Jackson who was still on the board when we selected WR Michael Clayton...advantage MEEEE! in a huge way.
Going into 2004, I wanted us to retain Thomas Jones, but no, we gave Charlie Garner a year more on his contract and $1 mil more per year to play 4 games or so for us...UGHH!
In 2005, I knew Gruden was taking Williams based on what he said but I wanted a DE, I preferred Shawn Merriman, I think Ware turned out quite a bit better, but Merriman still would have been better than Williams who I hated, then learned to like, then realized he wasn't reliable and then hated for a long time, and now I root for him but he still needs to be replaced. advantage-ME
In 2006, I wanted WR Santonio Holmes, I was so pissed when the Bucs drafted a friggen Guard Davin Joseph. I'm still not happy with the OG, he should be better, but Holmes finally turned into a star this year... but I've got to go with the Bucs on this one... advantage Bucs
In 2007, we picked a player I predicted and feared would be a colossal bust, seriously, Gaines was a 24 year old playing against 20-22 year olds-HE SHOULD HAVE BEEN GOOD!, DE Gaines Adams. Several weeks before the draft I was infatuated with DE Jamal Anderson and thought he could be another Julius Peppers untill about a two weeks before the draft and I settled on LB Patrick Willis as the player I most coveted. advantage ME! in another big way.
In 2008, I went on record to say that a T-2 defense should and would NEVER draft a CB that high in the 1st round and that it would be stupid and that we had to draft for the pass rush... the Bucs picked CB Aqib Talib and I wanted DE Philip Merling... advantage Bucs in a pretty big way.
In 2009, again I wanted the pass rush addressed and I wanted us to trade down to select DT Ziggy Hood... I did not want to draft a QB as I knew that meant rebuilding, we took QB Josh Freeman and I really like him now... I still liked Ziggy Hood and if we had him we wouldn't need to be looking at McCoy now... anyways, advantage Bucs
Final score total Me 4 Bucs 3 tie 2... I'm not 100% but we would probably be a much better team if the Bucs had taken my advice. Speaking of which, I remember in 8th grade we had to write a letter to somebody. I wrote a letter to the Bucs begging them not to draft Vinny Testaverde and to keep Steve Young....yeah, advantage ME
Anyways, I hope that Suh does indeed go #1 overall to the Rams and the Lions grab McCoy thinking he will be something other than a bust and that creates a mad rush for teams coveting Bradford before the Redskins can pick him. Which means Cleveland, Buffalo, and possibly Oakland could be trying to come down... maybe even San Francisco... to pick Bradford... meaning we can move down and pick up a good DE (Morgan, Graham) and give us more high picks to further improve the team.