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Old 07-10-2008, 05:00 AM    (permalink
Gay Ork Wang
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He is from Rutgers. Scotty will be here in 3, 2, 1...
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Old 07-10-2008, 08:17 AM    (permalink
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Originally Posted by BlindSite View Post
Foreword: I left out a lot of the big name picks as we're all bored of reading about Matt Ryan and Run DMC by now. This list is in no particular order and it is in no way a bad word about any other player picked in the recent draft. These are just the guys I think will have a big impact.



Top 15 Rookies to watch in 2009

In no particular order:

1. Kevin Smith – RB - Detroit Lions – Drafted: 3rd round (64 overall).
After rushing for just shy (61 yards) of Barry Sanders single season rushing record and electing to come out as a Junior Kevin Smith finds himself in a perfect situation. Playing for an up and coming offense with two solid receivers to prevent eight man fronts Smith faces competition from journey man running back Tatum Bell. Smith should be able to use his impressive blend of size and awareness to push Bell down the depth chart and earn the starting job. Should the offensive line of the Detroit Lions find chemistry early a 1,000 yard rookie season is not out of the question. Due to his size and vision Smith is likely to see the majority of running downs and goal line carries throughout the season. Just quietly in a conference considered relatively weak defensively he just might push for OROY honors.

2. Matt Forte – RB – Chicago Bears – Drafted: 2nd round (44 overall)
Until the senior bowl the former Tulane running back was considered more of a Brian Leonard / Greg Jones type tweener at the RB position but the Chicago Bears obviously hold higher hopes for the college standout. While Forte’ doesn’t project to being a flashy highlight reel player he’ll be a solid downhill runner for the Chicago bears, providing what will become a much needed source of consistency on offense he should see the majority of carries since the release of Cedric Benson. His ability to catch the ball and throw a decent block will likely see him take the majority of snaps regardless of down and distance in the Chicago offense. Similar to Kevin Smith above, a 1,000 yard rookie season is certainly not out of the question.

3. Bradon Albert – OT – Kansas City Chiefs – Drafted: 1st round (15 overall)
The Kansas City chiefs are still attempting to rebuild an offensive line lacking in firepower since the retirement of two key cogs in successive years. Brandon Albert was labeled by former college coach Al Groh “the best offensive lineman I’ve ever coached” and although he still has some minor questions about his motor and his sudden change to the tackle position he figures to start from day one as the Kansas City left tackle. The chiefs are obviously hoping that the recent trend of first round tackles booming in the NFL continues as they used a high draft pick on a relatively unproven commodity. Whether or not he makes the switch successfully to both the NFL and the tackle position will be an interesting development during the season.

4. Brian Johnson – DE – Kansas City Chiefs – Drafted 7th round (210 overall)
One might be thinking “a seventh rounder!!!! Are you freakin’ nuts?” but Brian Johnson going in the seventh round may prove to be the steal of the NFL draft. Johnson despite not competing at the highest possible level was flat out dominant in his college career. He has excellent size, speed and performed well in the Hula bowl. There isn’t really a knock on Johnson’s came apart from the standard technique that all rookie’s have coming out and his college competition. Coming to KC as a clone of their previous second day defensive end (Jared Allen) is a great position for him as a rookie. Though he probably won’t see the starting job he should make an impact as a rotational situation guy. Mark Anderson was able to make an immense impact in the same sort of role as a rookie and Johnson truly has the same ability.

5. Philip Merling – DE – Miami Dolphins – Drafted: 2nd Round (32 overall)
Philip Merling was initially projected as an early first round pick, but a rash of injuries and poor work out performances dropped his stock considerably. A high intensity non-stop player, Merling should crack the starting lineup as a 3-4 end early in the season. The dolphins are clearly looking to build from the ground up and the Tuna likes better than anyone to build through the trenches. The Dolphins found themselves an excellent player early in the second who should be able to anchor the defensive line early in his career. Playing in a tough division will demonstrate his long term potential and while a 34 end almost never racks up statistics or highlight reel plays he’ll be a key cog in the dolphins plans to improve their horrendous record.

6. Sam Baker – OT –Atlanta Falcons – Drafted: 1st round (21st overall)
Though Baker wouldn’t have been my first pick to be a franchise left tackle. The Falcons obviously were enamored with him as a player seeing as they traded up for him late in the first round. A slightly undersized and at times lazy blocker Baker will likely be given the starting LT tackle job in training camp. It will be interesting to see how he adjusts especially facing John Abraham every day. Baker faces a who’s who of defensive ends in the NFC South and the falcons need him to step up early and often or face another long, dreary season.

7. Charles Godfrey – FS – Carolina Panthers – Drafted: 3rd round (67 overall)
The Carolina Panthers have been sorely lacking at the safety position for the last few years which has lead to the loss of some games the Panthers should have easily won. Fox likes to play a two deep scheme that asks his safeties to roll coverage and pickup breaking receivers. After playing in a cover 2 scheme for much of his college career Godfrey should fit into this role easily. As he’s already received high praise from Steve Smith and has taken the majority of snaps with the first team in the OTAs it appears the starting job is his to lose. Realistically all Godfrey has to do is make the occasional pass defense and tackle receivers that break free in broken coverage and he’ll be an immediate upgrade over anyone at the safety position in the past decade not named Mike Minter or Chris Harris.

8. Jeff Otah – OT – Carolina Panthers – Drafted: 1st round (19 overall)
The Panthers’ other first round pick will likely have just as big an impact as Stewart in his rookie season. A mountain of a man at 6-6 and 323 pounds Otah will likely be given the starting Right Tackle spot from day one. The Panthers are hoping for a playoff berth this year with John Fox earlier stating “this year, one thing’s for sure, we’re all in.” Clearly they’re praying for a Jordan Gross type rookie season to help protect the recently injured Jake Delhomme and tear open running lanes for the expensive backfield. Otah is a key cog in the coaching future of John Fox and the GM job in Carolina making this rookie’s performance all the more interesting.

9. Kenny Philips – S – New York Giants – Drafted: 1st round (31st overall)
Possessing incredible smarts and an excellent football pedigree Philips hopes to continue the line of Miami safeties who make a significant impact in the NFL. Playing under Giunta and Spagnolo the master minds of the Giants super bowl win should afford the rookie some levity in his game. With the departure in free agency of Gibril Wilson the Giants have a vacuum at safety and they’re hoping Philips can fill the void.

10. Duane Brown – OT Houston Texans – Drafted: 1st round (26th overall)
At first glance the pick of Duane Brown seems like a massive reach. However, upon closer inspection one comes to realize that for the Houston Texans there was no better tackle on the board who fit their blocking scheme. Another convert to the Alex Gibbs system Duane Brown’s agility and fleet footedness should see him crack the starting line-up early in his career. Key to success in one of the NFL’s toughest divisions is keeping your quarterback upright especially when he’s throwing to one of the game’s better targets in Andre Johnson. Duane Brown isn’t exactly fighting a stellar blocker in Salaam for the starting role, and a strong camp and pre-season may see him earn the starting job. In any event it seems that the success of a young offense may come to depend on Brown early in the 2008/9 season.

11. Dominique Rogers Cromartie – CB – Arizona Cardinals – Drafted: 1st round (16 overall)
With the move of Antrelle Rolle to free safety and Roderick Hood having a standout season there was a need to lock down the rest of the depth chart. With blazing 4.31 speed Cromartie should be able to push Eric Green for the starting role and at the very least take the nickel position from day one. In a division filled with wide receivers and passing offenses the Cardinals need play makers in the secondary. With Rolle at free safety, Roderick Hood and now Rogers-Cromartie they may finally be able to take the next step. Cromartie’s hands, speed and versatility should provide highlight reel plays for years to come and he has the ability to break into the starting lineup should he have a strong pre-season.

12. Dexter Jackson – WR – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Drafted: 2nd round (58 overall)
The Tampa bay buccaneers need to find a source of explosiveness on the offense. With Joey Galloway aging and Michael Clayton failing to live up to his rookie season in years past Jackson has a good opportunity to become an impact player for the Buccs. Figuring to feature largely as a return man and slot receiver he should see game action primarily on the ST units early in the year. The Buccs have been lacking in that arena for almost the entire history of their franchise and may have finally found an answer at the position. Jackson should make an early entrance into the team and provide some much needed go-forward on the special teams units. At wide receiver should Clayton pick up his act and Antonio Bryant find his brain he may be buried on the depth chart, but it’s hard to keep a small explosive receiver down in the NFL just ask Santana Moss and Steve Smith.

13. Tracy Porter – CB – New Orleans Saints – Drafted: 2nd round (40 overall)
Porter finds himself in a secondary severely lacking in talent after starting cornerback Mike McKenzie. Jason David and Randall *** put in effort every week and no one would question their determination and drive to succeed. Their pass coverage on the other hand isn’t exactly what one could consider stellar. The Saints have been having problems in shoot outs in years past and need play makers in the secondary. Similar to the situation of Arizona’s Cromartie, Porter should be able to beat out his competition in the secondary provided he picks up the defensive playbook quickly. Porter’s athleticism and speed made him one of the better man to man coverage guys in the draft and he is exactly what New Orleans needs. At the very least look for Porter to win the nickel job.

14. Pat Sims – DT – Cincinnati Bengals – Drafted: 3rd round (77 overall )
A perennial underachiever at Auburn Sims was selected more on his potential than his college production until his junior year. Sims is reminiscent of Kris Jenkins, with some concerns about his attitude, conditioning and his character his talent is undeniable and he should make an impact as a situational player. After Peko on the depth chart the Bengals don’t have a lot to get excited about but Sims would be best served coming in as a situational player as when he is fresh and motivated he can be a major factor. It’s doubtful he’ll end up the starter in 2008 it’s not outside the realm of possibility. His talent is undeniable it’s his will to succeed and his ability to pick up the defensive schemes that will affect the outcome.

15. Limas Sweed – WR – Pittsburgh Steelers – Drafted: 2nd round (53 overall)
In what will turn out to be a huge steal the Steelers picked up a tall rangy receiver that Big Ben lovers to target. Though he’ll be playing behind Santonio Holmes and Hines Ward Sweed should see a lot of action in Mike Tomlin’s offense. The idea behind the selection is likely to improve the Steelers options in the red zone and on third downs. With his size and hands Sweed will likely see a lot of jump balls and fades thrown his way. While he won’t be racking up 1,000 yards by any stretch 40 receptions for around about 450 yards and a handful of touchdowns isn’t out of the question.
You do realize that only between 22 and 25% of 1st round draft picks start the season as rookies. Many have to wait until the second half of the season before most teams will start a rookie. Some get an opportunity sooner if a team suffers an injury at their rookie's position. The vass majority of rookies who start early play for losing teams who tend to throw their rookies into play a lot sooner than winning franchises do. The last 2 DROY have played for very poor teams and started right away while many of their counterparts who were drafted earlier, are forced to ride the bench. So if your seriously looking for rookies who will make an immediate impact for their teams, then on offense a RB is most likely to succeed as the adjustment for a RB from college to the pros seems to be the easiest, and on defense, examine the rookies who will play for a losing team because they are far more likely to play right away.
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Old 07-10-2008, 08:51 AM    (permalink
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And you just knew there were going to be some panthers on the list
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Old 07-10-2008, 12:28 PM    (permalink
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Just a query. How does Zuttah have a chance to make a splash?
Zuttah is a versatile guy who has experience at center, guard and tackle. Guys like that are always able to make valuable contributions on the line.

Plus, as solid as Faine is. I don't think he is the future at center and I think Zutah has a much brighter future at the position.
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Old 07-10-2008, 05:59 PM    (permalink
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Originally Posted by Iamcanadian View Post
You do realize that only between 22 and 25% of 1st round draft picks start the season as rookies. Many have to wait until the second half of the season before most teams will start a rookie. Some get an opportunity sooner if a team suffers an injury at their rookie's position. The vass majority of rookies who start early play for losing teams who tend to throw their rookies into play a lot sooner than winning franchises do. The last 2 DROY have played for very poor teams and started right away while many of their counterparts who were drafted earlier, are forced to ride the bench. So if your seriously looking for rookies who will make an immediate impact for their teams, then on offense a RB is most likely to succeed as the adjustment for a RB from college to the pros seems to be the easiest, and on defense, examine the rookies who will play for a losing team because they are far more likely to play right away.
I don't understand a thing in that pig latin, you need to structure your thoughts more coherentley.

I realise that crap team's rookies usually do better than other teams rookie's for one they're drafted higher, for two they're not in a big competition to win starting jobs.

I'm bored of reading about every stinkin' top 5 pick playing for a **** team making mad stats his first year before it happens and I think everyone else is too, which is why I tried to go a little out of the box with this one. As I said in my initial post.


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And you just knew there were going to be some panthers on the list
Jesus christ who gives a ****? There's just as many chiefs on the list as there are panthers and there's a good mix of positions and conferences. I could've done a top 50 but I have other things I want to do.

Regardless of which, what I had to say about the two panthers rookie's is accurate and I do believe they'll have a big impact compared to other rookies around the league.

If you really hate my work that much, don't post.

If you've got no other comment to make other than something to do with my being a panthers fan, don't post, I don't want to hear it any more.
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Old 07-10-2008, 06:37 PM    (permalink
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Good read.
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Old 07-10-2008, 06:56 PM    (permalink
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Good read.
Thanks its nice to get actual feedback, not just crap about being a Panthers fan.
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Old 07-10-2008, 08:29 PM    (permalink
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great read Blindsite, i really enjoyed this.
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Old 07-10-2008, 08:32 PM    (permalink
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As for Sam Baker, I was actually a real big fan of his coming out. I don't understand why everyone soured on him so much, everytime I saw him he looked amazing.

And let's not forget, wasn't he injured a lot this past year? Correct me if im wrong.


If anything, i can see him possibly making a switch to LG and being a pulling Guard. However, he'd need to get a little stronger. But I like him at LT, I think he'll be very solid and is underappreciated.
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Old 07-10-2008, 09:45 PM    (permalink
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If there's going to be a rookie lineman surprise it'll be him imo. Almost no one in the draft coverage community had him rated as a top 5 tackle.
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Old 07-10-2008, 09:52 PM    (permalink
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He is from Rutgers. Scotty will be here in 3, 2, 1...
Im sent to replace Scotty because he has temporarily disappeared to stalk, tie, and gag Brian Leonard.

Zuttah is God's father, yes Jordy was conceived. He can catch, he's athletic, can play all interior OL positions, has a huge wang, intelligent, quick, jacked out of his mind, and most importantly, he has a red R tattooed on his butt. :)
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Old 07-10-2008, 10:38 PM    (permalink
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As for Sam Baker, I was actually a real big fan of his coming out. I don't understand why everyone soured on him so much, everytime I saw him he looked amazing.

And let's not forget, wasn't he injured a lot this past year? Correct me if im wrong.


If anything, i can see him possibly making a switch to LG and being a pulling Guard. However, he'd need to get a little stronger. But I like him at LT, I think he'll be very solid and is underappreciated.
He was overpowered in a lot of games last year, I was a huge fan of him coming into the year, and while the injuries certainly hurt him he really struggled on the field.
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Old 07-11-2008, 12:21 AM    (permalink
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Zuttah is a versatile guy who has experience at center, guard and tackle. Guys like that are always able to make valuable contributions on the line.

Plus, as solid as Faine is. I don't think he is the future at center and I think Zutah has a much brighter future at the position.
The contract Faine received tells a different story. Barring injury, he will be the starting center for quite a while. You don't make him the highest paid player at his position for no apparent reason.

Zuttah is versatile, but I still strongly disagree that he will make a 'splash' as you referred to it, this season. The offensive line is set and he is merely going to be a back up for now.
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Old 07-11-2008, 04:09 PM    (permalink
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He was overpowered in a lot of games last year, I was a huge fan of him coming into the year, and while the injuries certainly hurt him he really struggled on the field.
His technique really went backwards at times too imo.
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