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Old 08-14-2008, 01:36 AM    (permalink
diabsoule
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Default Diab's NFL Truths

1. How 'bout dem Cowboys?!

I know this is going out on a limb with this one... Dallas has brought in a complimentary back to Marion Barber in Felix Jones, they have improved their secondary with Adam Jones and Mike Jenkins, and their offensive line is still intact. Unless Dallas is bitten by a huge injury bug then there is no reason why they shouldn't win the division. I'm also predicting them to have home field advantage throughout the playoffs yet not make it to the Super Bowl (more on that later). None of this will save Wade Phillips job as he is replaced by Jason Garrett next year.

2. The Bills will have a better record than the Jets. Both will miss the playoffs...

I really liked the way the Bills played last year with Trent Edwards as their quarterback. Marshawn Lynch is a stud and will continue to grow this year as a running back. James Hardy is an excellent compliment next to Lee Evans. On the defensive side of the ball Marcus Stroud will help them stop the run and Leondis “McLovin” McKelvin will be an excellent compliment to Terrance McGee in the secondary. Ko Simpson and Donte Whitner will both be healthy. This team will contend heavily for a wild-card spot and will just barely be beaten out. Dick Jauron will be in contention for coach of the year.

The Jets, on the other hand, have brought in Brett Favre in hopes of pushing them over the hump. Not only did I think this was a mistake when they traded for him but I think it will backfire. Favre will have to adjust to a new system, develop a rapport with his receivers, and try not to butt heads with the Mangenius. Favre and his 38 (39 in October) year old arm will revert back to his 2005 and 2006 form and throw more or equal interceptions to touchdowns. The Jets don't have the kind of defense to overcome those kind of errors. Despite the gamble on Favre, the Mangenius ends up looking like a mancub and should have stuck with developing Kellen Clemons.

3. Cardinals will win the NFC West – the weakest division in football

I'm not sold on Seattle's offense getting them very far. Their defense will sustain them and win some games for them but it just won't be enough. On the other hand this will be Matt Leinart's year and he will prove it. I see Arizona being much more competitive this year, especially on defense. They have some of the best wide receivers in the league in Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald and Steve Breaston will excel in the slot. Arizona barely beats out Seattle.

4. Cleveland Rocks!

I didn't know whether to title this truth “Who let the dawgs out?” or “Dawggystyle”. So instead of choosing between those two I chose what I did.”
There will be a changing of the guard this year in the AFC North. Pittsburgh will continue to experience the growing pains of having a new head coach which will allow Cleveland to hurdle them and win the NFC North. I really like this Cleveland team's chemistry and I love the moves they made in the offseason. They were aggressive about addressing their needs I think Corey Williams is going to excel as a 3-4 end. There are two things that worry me: 1) their secondary. Eric Wright and Brandon McDonald don't inspire me at all. I actually think their one of the worst corner duo's in the NFL right now. 2) Their running back situation. Jamal Lewis had a breakthrough season last year but I wonder for how much longer he will be able to continue performing like he did. Jason Wright averaged 4.7 yards per rush last year but I feel he is more of a situational type back. Even with that said, Cleveland with their offensive weapons and improved front 7 will win the AFC North.
The Steelers needed offensive line help in the worst way going into the draft and only managed to draft one offensive lineman, OT Tony Hills, in the fourth round. Justin Hartwig is an upgrade over Sean Mahan at center but losing Alan Faneca will hurt. While they got some great value with skill position players Limas Sweed and Rashard Mendenhall they will struggle keeping Roethlisberger up right. The Steelers will earn a wild card.

5a. Green Bay victorious.

Even with the departure of Brett Favre, I don't see this Green Bay skipping a beat. Aaron Rodgers has had three years to learn the system and he should step right in like a veteran. He's been practicing against GB's defense for three years as well, which can only help him. If Rodger's goes down with an injury, though, then I can see Green Bay struggling

5b. Minnesota needs a QB.

Despite addressing their need for a pass rusher I am just not sold on Minnesota. I'm surprised they haven't been looking around for a QB yet. Here's an idea: Minnesota trades for J.P. Losman. The starting job is all but Trent Edwards' to lose in Buffalo and Minnesota would get a better signal caller than Tavaris Jackson. The same could be said about trading for QB Shaun Hill of the 49ers. I know, wishful thinking... Back to reality, the Vikings defense is scary. Their front 7 is monstrous. Their secondary, eh, I've seen better. But, with their ability to stop the run and now with Jared Allen rushing the passer they should win some ball games. However, you have to be able to throw the ball and that's something I don't see them doing very well this year, esp. when Bernard Berrian is your best receiver. AD and Chester “Cheetah” Taylor will touch the ball quite often. If they can stay healthy the Vikings are in the playoffs. If one of them goes down then their barely in contention for the wild card.

6. Around and round we go

Mike Nolan, Marvin Lewis, and John Fox will be the first three coaches fired next year. Depending on how well the Raiders do this year Lane Kiffin may or may not be fired. I see some drastic changes coming soon to some teams. I think Mike Martz could be in consideration for the SF job depending on how well the offense performs this year. Russ Grimm will be another name mentioned, possibly for the Cincinnati job or Carolina job. Bill Cowher's name is always one that comes up and I feel he will be closely courted by the Panthers. Pete Carroll's name will probably be brought up as well.

7. Be a Saint

This will be my first homer “truth”. The New Orleans Saints will win the NFC South and it will come down between them and Tampa Bay. I have really liked what the Saints have done this offseason. While I am still a little hesitant on their moves to bring in two guys that were injured last season, you can't help but feel that the front office knows what their doing after gambling on Drew Brees. Bringing in Jeremy Shockey makes an already dangerous offense that much more lethal. While I'm not sold on Deuce lasting a whole season, I am very confident in RB Pierre Thomas' ability to help fill in if he goes down. It also looks like Robert Meachem will be the #2 opposite Colston and that Adrian Arrington will be our 3rd or 4th receiver on the depth chart. Vilma, DE Bobby McCray, and DT Sedrick Ellis help strengthen our front seven and we should get a lot more pressure on opposing QB's than we have been able to get in recent years.

8. Shirts vs. Skins

The Washington Redskins will make the playoffs as a wild card. I am going out on another limb with this one but I don't think the NY football Giants have added enough talent to recover from losing DE Michael Strahan, TE Jeremy Shockey, and S Gibril Wilson. I also think the Eagles will continue to be a mediocre team and fully expect another Donovan McNabb injury. For some reason or another I really like Washington this year. I think Jason Campbell will make strides as a starting QB, Clinton Portis is a dangerous running back, they brought in some good weapons at WR, and they traded for DE Jason Taylor. While I'm not sold on Jim Zorn being a head coach, I feel that Washington is the next best team in the division, at least for this year.

9. Houston vs. The Oilers

This year Gary Kubiak and the Houston Texans will boast a better record than the Tennessee Titans. That's right, I said it. Quickly and quietly the Texans have put together a good team and will be very competitive in the toughest division in football. DeMeco is a monster at linebacker and leads a fairly strong defense (minus the secondary) and Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson will give opposing defenses fits. Steve Slaton should fit in nicely as a third down back but Houston is definitely going to have to address their safety and running back issues this off-season.
Although I think Jeff Fisher is one of the best coaches in the NFL I just don't see the Titans having enough talent on offense to rack up enough points this year. Tennessee has a running back by committee and their best wide receiver is Justin Gage, a corny wrestling name if I ever heard one. Their defense is very solid and will help keep games close but unless Rob Bironas can kick 70 yard field goals this will be Houston's year to finish third in the AFC South.

10. The Missing Piece?
While I have the Cleveland Browns winning the AFC North, I feel that Pittsburgh will be hot on their heels and that will be because of one guy. No, not Rashard Mendenhall, Willie Parker, Santonio Holmes, or Limas Sweed but... Mewelde Moore. In a wide-open offense like the one Pittsburgh is trying to incorporate I can see Moore excelling as a 3rd down back. He's quick out of the backfield and can catch the ball and get a few YAC. If he is utilized properly he could be another weapon in a loaded arsenal.

11. When the Saints go marching in

My second and final homer “truth” and it's a doozie. The Saints will represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. I have them beating Dallas at Dallas to advance to the Super Bowl this year. While Dallas should go, I think the Saints have the better offense and a defense that will be tougher than people think. I'm sure I'll catch a lot of flak for this one but that's what these are about. The Saints have a fairly easy schedule and I'm picking them to finish 2nd in the NFC, right behind Dallas.
I have the Saints facing the Colts in the Super Bowl and losing. I wanted to put the Chargers here really bad but can't justify putting a Norv Turner coached team into the Super Bowl.

Playoffs? Playoffs?

AFC

Pittsburgh @ New England
Jacksonville @ Cleveland

New England @ San Diego
Jacksonville @ Indianapolis

New England @ Indianapolis

NFC

Washington @ Green Bay
Minnesota @ Arizona

Minnesota @ Dallas
Green Bay @ New Orleans

New Orleans @ Dallas

Super Bowl XLIII – New Orleans vs. Indianapolis
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Last edited by diabsoule : 08-14-2008 at 02:56 AM.
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Old 08-14-2008, 01:40 AM    (permalink
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Doucet is our 5th or 6th WR right now, Breaston has the slot spot basically locked up and compliments Q and Fitz with his speed
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Old 08-14-2008, 01:43 AM    (permalink
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Jason Garrett FYI not Josh

Reasonable truths, don't agree with all of them, but I can see them happening

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Old 08-14-2008, 01:48 AM    (permalink
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Corrections made. Minor brain farts.
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Old 08-14-2008, 01:48 AM    (permalink
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I really doubt 2 teams come out of the AFC North due to the strength of schedule. I foresee a lot of injuries from all teams in the AFC North.
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Old 08-14-2008, 01:53 AM    (permalink
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I really doubt 2 teams come out of the AFC North due to the strength of schedule. I foresee a lot of injuries from all teams in the AFC North.
Where else would the other wild card team come from? The AFC East? That'd either be the Bills or Jets. The AFC South? That'd be Houston or Tennessee. The AFC West? Uh, Denver...?
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Old 08-14-2008, 01:57 AM    (permalink
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Seems like everyone has the Bills as a surprise team. Glad to see someone is with me on the Browns, and somewhat on the Packers/Vikings.
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Old 08-14-2008, 02:01 AM    (permalink
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I'm on the other side of the fence with Tavaris, I think people jumped the gun in calling him a terrible QB and he will surprise people with his play, his athleticism will bail him out alot of times but coming from a small school he needs time before you can call him a bust...I really don't think Losman over Jackson is an upgrade, of course he can chunk it deep to Berrian a few times a game but he couldn't manage Buffalo's offense, what would be different in Minnesota? That would be silly for them to trade for a mediocre QB that couldn't cut it somewhere else, you either roll with Jackson or get a veteran.


Agree with most of the rest though, I even can agree with you on the Saints one, would no be surprised to see then make the Super Bowl either, they have there fair share of questions heading into the season but on paper they look the part.
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Old 08-14-2008, 02:01 AM    (permalink
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Where else would the other wild card team come from? The AFC East? That'd either be the Bills or Jets. The AFC South? That'd be Houston or Tennessee. The AFC West? Uh, Denver...?
As long as they're 9-7 because I don't see more than 1 team over .500 from the AFC North.
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Old 08-14-2008, 02:04 AM    (permalink
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As long as they're 9-7 because I don't see more than 1 team over .500 from the AFC North.
The Browns and Steelers?
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Old 08-14-2008, 02:12 AM    (permalink
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I really like this Cleveland too. Well...respect...w/e. They're going to be one of the more fun teams to watch when/if you can catch them.

I like the Cardinals too. Their D has alot of potential, especially if Branch and Watson play well.

Jets > Bills. I like our coaching staff better, and we're just a really solid all around team if the team looks like...well like they should. We're very similar teams honestly, but I just think we're a little better.
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Old 08-14-2008, 02:16 AM    (permalink
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If everyone likes the Bills and the Texans do they cease to be suprise teams? On another note, doesn't this all but assure they will be failures ala Arizona and San Fran last year?
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Old 08-14-2008, 02:22 AM    (permalink
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If everyone likes the Bills and the Texans do they cease to be suprise teams? On another note, doesn't this all but assure they will be failures ala Arizona and San Fran last year?
I don't think it all but assures them being failures but it puts them dangerously close to being that way.
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Old 08-14-2008, 02:33 AM    (permalink
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The Browns and Steelers?
Not with those schedules. 9-7 is going to win that division next year.
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Old 08-14-2008, 02:33 AM    (permalink
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God I hope you're right about number eight.
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Old 08-14-2008, 03:00 AM    (permalink
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Browns Opponents
Dallas Cowboys
Pittsburgh Steelers (2)
Baltimore Ravens (2)
Cincinnati Bengals (2)
New York Giants
Washington Redskins
Jacksonville Jaguars
Denver Broncos
Buffalo Bills
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee Titans
Philadelphia Eagles

Steelers Opponents
Texans
Browns (2)
Eagles
Ravens (2)
Jaguars
Bengals
Giants
Redskins
Colts
Chargers
Bengals (2)
Patriots
Cowboys
Titans

So they all play the Bengals, Ravens and each other twice. (6)
NFC East (Philadelphia, Washington, New York and Dallas). (4)
AFC South (Indianapolis, Tennessee, Houston and Jacksonville. (4)
The only difference is the Steelers play the Patriots and Chargers while the Browns play Denver and Buffalo.

They both play the two toughest divisions top to bottom and a very good defense/very good offense in the Ravens/Bengals. They play each other which will be a tough game. The Patriots and Chargers are debateably the two best teams in the NFL. The Browns play Denver and Buffalo who are 2 contending wild card teams. Outside of the division, neither team has any easy opponents. It could make sense to say any of those teams could make the playoffs. Obviously some of these teams will be let downs but looking at it right now, 9-7 looks very good.
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Old 08-14-2008, 03:08 AM    (permalink
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kalbears13 View Post

So they all play the Bengals, Ravens and each other twice. (6)
NFC East (Philadelphia, Washington, New York and Dallas). (4)
AFC South (Indianapolis, Tennessee, Houston and Jacksonville. (4)
The only difference is the Steelers play the Patriots and Chargers while the Browns play Denver and Buffalo.
I think it's safe to say the Steelers got screwed on that part.
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Old 08-14-2008, 03:32 AM    (permalink
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Well it is because the Steelers won the division last year and hence went to the playoffs, while the Browns on the other hand finished second in their division and didn't go to the playoffs.

You play all the teams in the conference who had the same division finish as you the year before, it's the way the schedule is structured. Denver finished second in the AFC West, Buffalo second in the AFC East, and the Browns second in the AFC North. They are already playing the Jaguars by playing the AFC South this year as per the rotational schedule.

For example, that is why we see the Colts and Patriots play each other every year in the regular season, despite not being in the same division as once was the case. As long as both teams keep winning their respective divisions, the two teams will play each other the next year. You can include the Chargers in that mix if they continue to win the AFC West, and so on.
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Old 08-14-2008, 12:02 PM    (permalink
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I still have absolutely no faith in clevelands pass D. Yeah they bolstered their line, but I still don't see anyone on that entire roster outside of Kam Whimbley who'll create any kind of a pass rush to cover the young corners. That offense will win them some games, but they'll be shoot out wins, just like last year, and I personally see DA slumping this season as his f it i'm going deep mentality bites him in the ass.

Love to see the love for the bills, they're one of the teams I think takes that step to playoff contender this year.

As for the Gmen I'll repeat we lost some very talented veterans, but Gibril and Shockey weren't being used to their full potential, shockey was a blocker and decoy all season instead of a primary weapon so his loss isn't going to be as big on the field as it is on paper or madden, same goes for gibril who is an excellent in the box safety who we were using as our cover safety, I'm actually very confident saying Kenny Phillips will be a better and more productive player for us than gibril was last season.

Losing Strahan hurts but AP was already starting to take over as the leader of the defense and between a healthy kiwi, a more experienced tuck and our solid depth guys, tollefson and wynn, we'll be able to replace his on field production. Tuck on run downs, kiwi on passing downs when tuck moves inside, and the rotation guys just to keep everyone fresh.
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Old 08-14-2008, 01:07 PM    (permalink
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Great read. I sure hope you are right about #11.
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Old 08-14-2008, 01:16 PM    (permalink
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You're certainly more optimistic about the Packers than myself
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Old 08-14-2008, 03:05 PM    (permalink
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I don't get why everyone's so impressed with the Texans, so much that they put them in a segment of their truths, yet they still concede that they will finish third and miss the playoffs. If they're so much improved, finishing third and missing the playoffs would only mean one more win at the most from last year. Someone atleast be a man and have them finishing second over the Jags, or even better first over the Colts. Now the latter would be pretty ballsy.
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Old 08-14-2008, 03:23 PM    (permalink
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I was going to save this for later, but what the heck:

I really like the Texans offense this year. I think Schaub is going to have a great year as long as he stays healthy, although I admit I'm wondering if the better quarterback isn't Sage Rosenfels. Like Schaub's accuracy, his release, and his ability to deliver the ball to the right read.

Andre Johnson is primed for a monster year imo. And the Texans have more weapons that anyone else realizes, Kevin Walter and Andre Davis make up a very good receiving core as secondary options, and Owen Daniels is a very good up-and-coming receiving tight end. The runningbacks and fulbacks will chime in in the passing game for a bit too.

Now with Alex Gibbs getting the offensive line in the best shape he can, the offense can do good things. Don't get me wrong, I'm not expecting anything big from the running game but they'll get a servicable cumulative effort. But the passing game will have to score touchdowns near the end zone, as they can't punch it in with the running game. Ahman Green is a total waste of money.

The problem though is the defense, namely the secondary. The front seven if very solid, but not having Dunta Robinson for the entire season is killer imo. The safeties don't inspire any fear, and while everyone is slurping Fred Bennett, let's see how he does in his second season and as a full-time starter. Jacqus Reeves was grossly overpaid in the offseason, lol. Everyone and their mother wants to sing the praises of Mario Williams, but I have a harder type buying the hype than most because every time I see him play the Colts he's a non-factor.

The Texans will score and they will win because of it, although they won't overtake the Colts and the Jaguars. I think they will be in the thick of the second wild card spot though, if not the ultimate winners of it by season's end.
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Old 08-14-2008, 04:19 PM    (permalink
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saints superbowl...?
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Old 08-14-2008, 04:21 PM    (permalink
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Homer Alert!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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