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Old 10-23-2010, 10:57 AM    (permalink
LizardState
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Default Luck of the Ducks

It's all about scheduling these days. Oregon took care of giantkiller UCLA Thursday night by hanging 60 on them.

Oregon's remaining schedule:

10/30: @ USC
11/6: Washington
11/13: @ Cal
11/20: Idle
11/26 (Fri): Arizona
12/4: @ Oregon St.

I can't see them losing any of those. Breaking it down:

@ USC: In the LA Mausoleum, a horrible facility but SC always has the home field advantage there with a solid winning rcd at home. This could the best chance for an upset b/c of lots of reasons -- true soph Barkley has come of age, I watched USC vs. Stanford & they gave the Cardinal all they wanted, & Barkley was throwing pinpoint passes all night. USC is underrated b/c so many players transferred but still has a talent core that can score & hurt you. And USC has attitude these days, they are playing angry & it's understandable. Nobody should take the Trojans lightly. Oregon has an undersized DL, & their pass defense isn't great either, but they have a lot of FFs -- remember that they call SC Tailback U. for a reason, they could run over Oregon but have to maintain ball security, the Ducks are at the top of the NCAA in +/- turnover ratio. And the Ducks had 10 days to prepare for them.

U-Dub: Not a good enough supporting cast surrounding Locker, & he's been disappointing this season compared to last yr. In Autzen the Ducks should roll.

@ Cal: Cal has minimal offensive weapons beyond Vereen with any experience, & their OL is garbage, struggling all yr in pass protection. Tedford named Riley their starting QB until further notice b/c he's under fire & on a hotseat, & Riley is to say the least underwhelming. Their best LB, Mike Mohammed has been hurt off & on all yr, & they're vulnerable to high-powered offenses who score quickly, look how badly Nevada shredded them. I say Quackers by 3-4 scores in Strawberry Canyon.

Arizona: Foles has throwing arm problems, status TBD. And the game is in Autzen; Oregon by 21 or more.

@ Oregon St.: The Beavers have a shot with the Rodgers brothers but their defense has been suspect this yr. I think the Quack Attack rolls in Corvallis here.

If they finish unbeaten & so does Boise St. there will be enormous media pressure for the NC matchup of these 2 teams as they love the upstart underdog Broncos who grab headlines. Boise St. has to watch out for the high-scoring Nevada Wolfpack when they go to Reno on 11/26 but I think the Broncos will prevail there in a high-scoring shootout.

Oregon vs. Boise St. for the NC? Look at their remaining schedules & it looks like the most likely scenario even if the 1-loss heavyweights are excluded. I can't see the FBS leaving an undefeated Boise St. all dressed up & no place to go.

Edit: This is assuming that Oklahoma, Michigan St (down 10 to Northwestern as I write), Oklahoma St., Auburn & LSU (playing today) all lose.

Last edited by LizardState : 10-23-2010 at 01:37 PM.
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