Who gets left out in the AFC Playoff Race?

BeerBaron · 11-05-2010, 12:30 PM

As it stands right now, it looks like there are about 6 quality teams in the AFC East, North and South....and with one spot going to the winner of the West (Yes, the Chiefs and Raiders are improved...but not on level of these other teams yet imo) one quality team is getting left out.

So here is my look at each of those 6 teams:

New England Patriots - Best record in the league...offense keeps on rolling while their young defense shows flashes. It's hard for me to see them missing out on the playoffs.

New York Jets - Thier offense really sputtered vs. Green Bay last week, but they have the talent on both sides of the ball to be very dangerous. That defense is smothering and when the weather starts to turn and the high flying passing attacks slow down, they have the o-line and RBs to really grind out close playoff-atmosphere type games. I really feel like they're getting one of the Wildcard spots at least.

Pittsburgh Steelers - They had a hiccup against the Saints, but their defense is beastly and their offense is extremely well rounded with Ben back and Mendenhall running well. I think they win the North.

Baltimore Ravens - Another team who can play defense with the best of them and has balance on offense. I think they just beat out the AFC South loser for the other Wildcard spot.

Indy Colts - Or should I say Indy Peyton Mannings? He just keeps getting it done...not always as pretty as years past, and I think they may still lose a few against quality opponents, but it would be absolutely foolish to count them out of the playoffs until the day comes where they do actually miss out.

Tennessee Titans - Because I'm reluctant to rule out the Colts, Ravens or Jets, I guess by default I have to rule out Tennessee....but thats very hard to do. They're quietly the highest scoring team in the league (read that on TMQ) and are playing very solid defense. Their games remaining against the Colts are probably going to be the most imporant for any of the teams I've mentioned here...even if the Titans can split those games, they have a chance.

These 6 would make for a hell of a playoffs even without an AFCW team. There isn't a true "weak link" in there....any of those teams could beat any other team in there on any given day, it'd be hard to pick a winner.

So which of those teams do you think is most likely to miss out? Or could it be more than one? The Dolphins, Chargers and Texans are all dangerous and could have a say in how things fall, but I think each of them is overall worse than the 6 here.

Jvig43 · 11-05-2010, 01:04 PM

Hahah by default I was thinking the Titans as well but their a solid team too. Idk who to vote for, all of these teams can and should make the playoffs. Either Ravens or Titans for me.

CashmoneyDrew · 11-05-2010, 01:05 PM

I unfortunately and reluctantly voted Titans. :(

killxswitch · 11-05-2010, 01:05 PM

I picked the Titans because of the uncertain QB situation. Their defense is great and though CJ2K isn't killing it like last year they just got Moss so there won't be so many defenses stacking the box.

Shane P. Hallam · 11-05-2010, 01:06 PM

I have this odd feeling it will be the Jets, and I still am not counting out the Fins.

BeerBaron · 11-05-2010, 01:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shane P. Hallam

I have this odd feeling it will be the Jets, and I still am not counting out the Fins.

I debated on whether or not to include the Dolphins.....I just think if you stacked them up against any of the 6 teams listed here, they'd be the clear underdog while if you matched up any of those 6 teams, it would be hard to decide in any matchup.

The Dolphins special teams cost them the Pats game, and other than maybe the Titans QB situation....they would have the worst in that group since we don't really know what Henne is yet.

Shane P. Hallam · 11-05-2010, 01:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BeerBaron

I debated on whether or not to include the Dolphins.....I just think if you stacked them up against any of the 6 teams listed here, they'd be the clear underdog while if you matched up any of those 6 teams, it would be hard to decide in any matchup.

The Dolphins special teams cost them the Pats game, and other than maybe the Titans QB situation....they would have the worst in that group since we don't really know what Henne is yet.

Fins losses are to teams on this list, and they likely should have beaten the Steelers, I would buy them as legit, possibly better than the Titans if they match up.

killxswitch · 11-05-2010, 01:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BeerBaron

I debated on whether or not to include the Dolphins.....I just think if you stacked them up against any of the 6 teams listed here, they'd be the clear underdog while if you matched up any of those 6 teams, it would be hard to decide in any matchup.

The Dolphins special teams cost them the Pats game, and other than maybe the Titans QB situation....they would have the worst in that group since we don't really know what Henne is yet.

I really think Henne is on the brink of greatness. If he can work on finishing drives he will be a top QB in this league.

BeerBaron · 11-05-2010, 01:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by killxswitch

I really think Henne is on the brink of greatness. If he can work on finishing drives he will be a top QB in this league.

If you ask a Titans fan, VY is right there too. I want to see more from both...if either of their teams makes the playoffs, they're going to need to step up and show that they're great and not just hint at it.

killxswitch · 11-05-2010, 01:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BeerBaron

If you ask a Titans fan, VY is right there too. I want to see more from both...if either of their teams makes the playoffs, they're going to need to step up and show that they're great and not just hint at it.

I know they say that but IMO Henne is closer. Granted I have seen more of VY since he is a division rival, so that may color my assessment.

Henne has Marshall, now VY has Moss. Let's see what they can do.

Michigan · 11-05-2010, 01:40 PM

Phins are better than the Titans, IMHO

BeerBaron · 11-05-2010, 02:33 PM

You know what else is sad about this is that it's entirely possible that the AFCW winner will be the 4th seed despite potentially being the worst team....

I have nothing against the division winners being guaranteed a spot (as long as they're 8-8 or better...there should NEVER be a losing team in the postseason) but the seeding should be done by record.

killxswitch · 11-05-2010, 02:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BeerBaron

You know what else is sad about this is that it's entirely possible that the AFCW winner will be the 4th seed despite potentially being the worst team....

I have nothing against the division winners being guaranteed a spot (as long as they're 8-8 or better...there should NEVER be a losing team in the postseason) but the seeding should be done by record.

I agree. I'm glad they at least changed draft seeding so that a 7-9 division winner can't catch fire, win some playoff games, and still select in the top half of the draft. But a 7-9 or 8-8 team does not deserve to host a playoff game vs. a team with 10+ wins.

Vox Populi · 11-05-2010, 03:07 PM

Its the Colts or Titans, whoever doesn't win the division won't be in the playoffs probably. The Titans have only played one divisional game so far, they have 5 of them in their last 6 games so it should be pretty interesting to see how they do there.

bigbluedefense · 11-05-2010, 04:34 PM

Remember when ppl were still riding Houston as a "sleeper" in the offseason?

Hopefully this season where they underachieve yet again finally puts a stop to that nonsense we hear every offseason.

J255979-11nine · 11-05-2010, 04:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bigbluedefense

Remember when ppl were still riding Houston as a "sleeper" in the offseason?

Hopefully this season where they underachieve yet again finally puts a stop to that nonsense we hear every offseason.

Leagues worst tease. Every off-season they seem to improve in a critical aspect of the game only to get substantially worse in another area. Well, at least they have a decent O-line now.

BeerBaron · 11-05-2010, 05:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bigbluedefense

Remember when ppl were still riding Houston as a "sleeper" in the offseason?

Hopefully this season where they underachieve yet again finally puts a stop to that nonsense we hear every offseason.

Quote:

Originally Posted by J255979-11nine

Leagues worst tease. Every off-season they seem to improve in a critical aspect of the game only to get substantially worse in another area. Well, at least they have a decent O-line now.

Like, I know it's now the big thing to say this.....but that is exactly how Arizona was. Breakout teases for a few seasons until then everyone started to get sick of them and give up....they limp into the playoffs atop a bad division and the bam! Get hot and run to the Superbowl.

Too bad for the Texans their division is so much tougher, as is their conference....they really needed to dominate and haven't done it all.

CashmoneyDrew · 11-05-2010, 07:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Michigan

Phins are better than the Titans, IMHO

We'll find out for sure in 9 days.

Bucs_Rule · 11-05-2010, 07:38 PM

Good news for the Texans they are very much in it. Just 1 game back of the Colts and 1/2 of the Titans.

I think the Colts and Titans are much better, but they can still turn it around. They finished strong last season, if they do it again before its too late they still have a chance.

Job · 11-05-2010, 07:50 PM

That team has Gary Kubiak. No way they make it.

BeerBaron · 11-05-2010, 08:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Job

That team has Gary Kubiak. No way they make it.

They could do a lot worse. The Cowboys or Vikings would probably trade in a heartbeat right about now...

wonderbredd24 · 11-05-2010, 08:14 PM

I picked the Dolphins to win the East before the season and I think they are a team that will only get better as the season progresses. Very young, especially on defense and even if their locale doesn't lend itself to winter football, their style of play certainly does.

I wonder how big of a role yet another bad officiating decision that just happens to benefit the Steelers plays down the stretch.

I think injuries are just brutal on the Titans right now, who I had in the Superbowl :(

Brodeur · 11-05-2010, 08:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BeerBaron

They could do a lot worse. The Cowboys or Vikings would probably trade in a heartbeat right about now...

Lovie Smith challenges that.

Vox Populi · 11-05-2010, 08:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brodeur

Lovie Smith challenges that.

Don't you mean calls a time out, the replays show its a completely wrong call but he forgets to challenge it, then gets a delay of game penalty for squinting at the replay and scratching his chin?

DoughBoy · 11-05-2010, 08:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wonderbredd24

I picked the Dolphins to win the East before the season and I think they are a team that will only get better as the season progresses. Very young, especially on defense and even if their locale doesn't lend itself to winter football, their style of play certainly does.

I wonder how big of a role yet another bad officiating decision that just happens to benefit the Steelers plays down the stretch.

I think injuries are just brutal on the Titans right now, who I had in the Superbowl :(

Kenny Britt is the only one of our starters that wont be ready for the Dolphins game, unless I am completely blanking on someone.