Originally Posted by benchod
Just to throw a bone in the "over-analyzed" argument.
Matt Leinart is usually named as the prime example, but to play devil's advocate, the draft order and the needs of the teams usually comes into play too.
The big key for the coming years is now how willing teams are to trade up. Its much cheaper financially to move up, so you may actually have more movement. This time next year, everyone will bring up Pete Carroll doing some funky business to try to trade up to get Barkley...
I'm pretty sure that Carroll can trade down and still get Barkley next year.