Originally Posted by BeerBaron
Justify it however you want, but something happening 4 out of 5 times is a pretty big trend. Like I said, I don't have an explanation for it, but something is happening to cause it.
The #1 seed in the NFC would need to win each of the next 3 years just to bring their record in divisional round games to .500 over the past 8 years.
There's something at play here.
And even the AFC isn't fairing all that much better. A #1 seed playing at home should probably be better than 3-2, and one of those wins was by a nigh unstoppable undefeated Patriots.
It's not like these #1 seed losses were major upset that came out of nowhere. In fact, looking back a these 5 games, I think I correctly predict all of the outcomes. And I'm not saying that to say that I'm a super-sayan who knows everything (I'm really not). But a lot of people were taking the Giants this year. A lot of people were taking the Packers last year, etc.
I think we're overrating seeds. In today's NFL, the difference of caliber between the #6 and the #1 seed is really small (unless you've got some **** team like the 2011 Broncos or the 2010 Seahawks). Every team has their strenghts and their weaknesses. The important thing now is the homefield advantage and even then, if you've got a team that knows how to play away, it's not really important.
This is not the 1980's where there was like 5 powerhouse followed by tons of crappy teams.