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Old 01-28-2013, 11:14 PM    (permalink
mdmgrand
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Default Mock 2.0, Two Rounds with Explanations

Round 1
1. Kansas City (2-14) - Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M
- The Chiefs take a cornerstone player here with Joeckel. There is simply no QB worth the number one pick. One who may be available at pick 33 also may very well be the Chiefs first or second QB on their board. The QB's are a crapshoot this year.

2. Jacksonville (2-14) - Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M
- Two Aggies within the top two picks. Moore seems to have a higher ceiling than Werner and a higher floor than Mingo, so they pick a great all around player here.

3. Oakland (4-12) - Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri
- A surprise with the Raiders taking a chance on Richardson. I believe the inside rush potential will allow Richardson to climb boards to be a surprise top five pick. If you look at players such as Geno Atkins and Henry Melton, you'll see how important that inside push can be.

4. Philadelphia (4-12) - Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama
- Milliner may be a stretch as a top five pick, but he provides an upgrade in coverage. The Eagles are likely to let DRC walk, and Nnamdi may be next. Milliner helps improve their man coverage.

5. Detroit (4-12) - Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State
- Werner improves this defense as a good pass rusher and a decent run defender. His stats will rise with Suh and the improving Fairley next to him.

6. Cleveland (5-11) - Dion Jordan, OLB, Oregon
- Jordan will provide the Browns with great range, great coverage, and good pass rushing. I doubt statistics will ever be in Jordan' favor as the 6th overall selection, but his value will be known on game day as a backer opposite of Sheard as the Rush/Jack Backer.

7. Arizona (5-11) - Mike Glennon, QB, North Carolina State
- Glennon will provide this offense with a huge arm, hot/cold accuracy, suspect pocket presence, and huge upside. If Arizona improves their offensive line, this could be an outstanding selection.

8. Buffalo (6-10) - Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia
- The Bills grab their QB of the future here and let him compete with Fitzpatrick. Smith will benefit from the Spiller/Jackson combo in the backfield.

9. New York Jets (6-10) - Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia
- Jones slides a bit; a little due to medical reports and a little to do with overexposure, but I believe this would be an excellent fit for him.

10. Tennessee (6-10) - Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah
- Star falls a bit here and gets drafted to join a line that desperately needs his ability to eat up blockers.

11. San Diego (7-9) - Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee
- Rivers needs a true number one, and Patterson could become that in as little as a year. He is a big receiver who is fast and elusive.

12. Miami (7-9) - Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama
- Warmack steps in to the Dolphins lineup and immediately become a Pro Bowl fixture. I believe Warmack is the best player in this draft and it's a wonderful time for the Dolphins to be picking in the teens to have a player of this caliber drop to them.

13. Tampa Bay (7-9) - Barkevious Mingo, DE, LSU
- The Bucs could use a corner; but once again, instead of reaching, they can find a player of the same caliber in Round 2 (no later in this case). Mingo will step in and with Bowers, Clayborn, and McCoy on the same line; this easily become the best in the business after a couple seasons.

14. Carolina (7-9) - Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU
- Ansah is definitely raw, but his performance during the Senior Bowl proved that he is ready for top competition. He has excellent power and is a long stride defender. Ansah will improve this defense from day one.

15. New Orleans (7-9) - Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama
- With the switch to the 3-4, the Saints will grab a NT to anchor the defensive for the next ten years. Not a sexy pick by any means, but an effective one.

16. St. Louis (7-8-1) - Erich Fisher, OT, Central Michigan
- I have been mocking Fisher to the Rams for awhile now ( it used to be the pick from Washington). The Rams need to upgrade their line, and adding the second best tackle is a great way to do so.

17. Pittsburgh (8-8) - Keenan Allen, WR, California
- Mike Wallace will definitely be shown the door, opening up a slot for a dynamic RAC threat in Allen.

18. Dallas (8-8) - Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma
- The Cowboys need to improve their line outside of Tyron Smith. Johnson will allow them to build from the outside-in, which will help Romo.

19. New York Giants (9-7) - Datone Jones, DE/DT, UCLA
- The Giants continue to grab versatile, potential based picks for their defensive line. Jones can slide all over, much like Justin Tuck. Adding him onto this line would create nightmares for opposing lineman.

20. Chicago (10-6) - Kyle Long, OT, Oregon
- A surprise here. Long will rise on draft boards due to his pedigree and his athleticism. It would not surprise me if he became the best tackle out of this draft. There is a lot of coaching to do, but a lot of tools to work with.

21. Cincinnati* (10-6) - Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas
- Vaccaro may end up in a higher slot, but ultimately I see him draft in the early twenties, where he belongs. An all around safety who can play either spot would help the Bengals pass and rush defense.

22. St. Louis - from Washington* (10-6) - Alec Ogletree, OLB, Georgia
- The Rams grab an athletic, potential filled linebacker to pair with Laurinaitis. I personally have Ogletree ranked just outside of my top ten. He could be a steal at pick 22.

23. Minnesota* (10-6) - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson
- This pick could elongate Peterson's career, and could also ease a transition if Harvin forces a trade. Hopkins has the genetic makeup and ability of a number one receiver. If Harvin stays, this pick shows immediate dividends. If he goes, it may be a couple years, but Hopkins is a great pick for the Vikings, especially Peterson and Ponder.

24. Indianapolis* (11-5) - Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU
- Another pick that may not be attractive, but Minter will provide a great presence in the middle of the Colts' 3-4 for the next ten years. Minter is a guy you can expect to be in the right place at the right time and rack up one hundred tackles yearly.

25. Seattle* (11-5) Zach Ertz, TE, Stanford
- The Hawks do not have a lot of weaknesses at this moment. They opt to grab a great security blanket/red zone threat combination for Russel Wilson to grow with.

26. Green Bay* (11-5) Manti Te'o, ILB, Notre Dame
- Te'o will drop a bit after this bizarre incident, but ultimately I believe the Packers will grab him as a non-thumper ILB in their 3-4. I could see Te'o blossoming for the Pack and becoming one of the best players in the draft.

27. Houston* (12-4) - Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State
- Rhodes is a H/W/S prospect. He will help the Texans pass defense opposite of Joseph, pushing Jackson to the slot or the bench.

28. Denver* (13-3) - Jonathan Cooper, OG, North Carolina
- The Broncos grab a young, upgrade to their interior line.

29. New England* (12-4) John Jenkins, DT, Georgia
- The Pats grab Jenkins to groom him as the anchor of their hybrid defense. At 6-4, 355, Jenkins will provide a massive, yet athletic, mismatch.

30. Atlanta* (13-3) - Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame
- Gonzalez will get replaced by Eifert. Matt Ryan showed just how effective he can be with two top wideouts with a quality TE.

31. Baltimore* (10-6) - Khaseem Green, MLB/OLB, Rutgers
- I really believe Greene will shine if he is placed as a 4-3 Mike or a 4-3/3-4 Will. Adding Greene to the Ravens will help transition from Ray Lewis.

32. San Francisco* (11-4-1) - Eric Reid, FS, LSU
- Dashon Goldson will probably leave this offseason leaving a void in the middle. Reid is a second round prospect, but the best available in arguably San Francisco's only real hole in their depth chart.


Round 2
1. Jacksonville (2-14) - Matt Elam, SS, Florida
- Elam is an outstanding player, who may lack measurables. He will step right into the lineup in either safety position to improve the Jaguars defense under Bradley.

2. Kansas City (2-14) - Matt Barkley, QB, USC
- I'm not a huge fan of Barkley, but I understand why he will be drafted in the first two rounds. He has experience, a decent arm, and seems to be a competitor. I just can't overlook the fact that with Lee and Woods, he was so average this year. However, Reid could work some magic with Barkley.

3. Philadelphia (4-12) - Margus Hunt, DE, SMU
- Chip Kelly likes athletes, and that is exactly what Hunt is. Whether it's a 4-3 or a 3-4, Hunt has the measurables; he just needs to show strength and determination next.

4. Detroit (4-12) - Tavon Austin, RB/WR, West Virginia
- Austin could fill two voids: one by Jahvid Best, one left by Titus Young. Austin will step in an help both Stafford and Johnson with his unique role.

5. Cincinnati - from Oakland (4-12) - Alex Okafor, DE, Texas
- Okafor will help the Bengals whether they resign Johnson or let him walk. A good all-around defensive end.

6. Arizona (5-11) - Oday Aboushi, OT, Virginia
- Massie will probably stay as a RT leaving the opposite side open for Aboushi to immediately upgrade with his athleticism.

7. Cleveland (5-11) - Josh Gordon, WR, Baylor
-Supplemental

8. New York Jets (6-10) - Robert Woods, WR, USC
- Woods will add a great possession type compliment to Stephen Hill. Whoever is under center will need help via a possession type receiver.

9. Tennessee (6-10) - Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington
- Trufant has been flying up boards due to a great week at the Senior Bowl. I see the Titans grabbing him here to improve their pass defense.

10. Buffalo (6-10) - Terrance Williams, WR, Baylor
- Williams will be an immediately upgrade at WR2, and help Geno transition, if he were to win the starting job.

11. Miami (7-9) - Jordan Poyer, CB, Oregon State
- For some reason, I can just see Poyer in a Dolphins uniform. He will not wow anyone with size or speed, but his playmaking ability is great.

12. Tampa Bay (7-9) Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State
- Tampa drafts a player that just a month ago was mocked to go to them a round earlier. Banks probably does not deserve the criticism he's received lately, but likewise, he probably didn't deserve the praise he had two months ago.

13. Carolina (7-9) - Kawann Short, DT, Purdue
- Short solidified himself as an early to mid second round pick during the Senior Bowl. Adding the two standouts Short and Ansah, would do wonders for Carolina's overall defense.

14. New Orleans (7-9)
- Forfeited

15. San Diego (7-9) Barrett Jones, OG/C, Alabama
- Jones can step in an contribute at guard, center, and maybe even, right tackle. This versatility is needed for the Chargers.

16. St. Louis (7-8-1) - Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida
- The Rams have the ability to truly pick the best player available with their wealth of picks in the next two drafts. Floyd, Brockers, Quinn, and Long would be a deadly combination. Add this to the fact the behind them are blue chippers such as Jenkins, Laurinaitis, and now Ogletree. This defense could be scary within a year.

17. Dallas (8-8) - Sam Montgomery, DE, LSU
- Montgomery slide a bit here. I view him as a late first, early second type pick. Dallas needs to add a true 4-3 defensive end in either rounds one, two or three. Montgomery fills this hole opposite of Ware.

18. Pittsburgh (8-8) - Giovani Bernard, RB, North Carolina
- Bernard will give the Steelers a back who can handle it all. He will combine with Dwyer to be a great combination for the Black and Yellow.

19. New York Giants (9-7) - Chase Thomas, OLB, Stanford
- The Giants need to get a solid outside linebacker prospect in this draft. Thomas will play a traditional OLB, but allows the aggressive defense to utilize his size for their pass rush.

20. Chicago (10-6) - Arthur Brown, MLB/OLB, Kansas State
- Here is another one of those player who I just feel will end up on this team. Brown is a rangy, undersized backer who can play the middle.

21. Washington* (10-6) - Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee
- RGIII needs weapons to keep this explosive offense progressing. Hunter provides a second deep threat with Hankerson, as Garcon runs the intermediate routes.

22. Minnesota* (10-6) - Brandon Williams, DT, Missouri Southern State
- There is always a small school prospect who slips into the second. Williams is a great prospect with huge upside; Minnesota could definitely do worse.

23. Cincinnati* (10-6) - Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama
- Bama has been Running Back U lately, and Lacy continues the trend. A similar back to Ingram; Lacy isn't going to wow, but he will get the job done with power and balance.

24. Miami - from Indianapolis* (11-5) - Markus Wheaton, WR, Oregon State
- A quality, all-around receiver. Wheaton can jump in and start for the Dolphins. Miami would be awarded the best draft if they end up with Warmack, Poyer, and Wheaton all before the third round.

25. Green Bay* (11-5) - Travis Frederick, C, Wisconsin
- The Packers need an upgrade along the offensive line. Frederick will step in at center and stay for the foreseeable future.

26. Seattle* (11-5) - Da'Rick Rogers, WR, Tennessee Tech
- Pete Carroll will not let character concerns overrule ability. This is the story of Rogers; a guy with number one potential, who has been in and out of trouble. The Hawks with Russel, Lynch, Ertz, and Rogers; look out.

27. Houston* (12-4) - Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas
- The Texans grab their heir to the QB position. Schaub is good, but not great. He can hold the position for a year longer.

28. Denver* (13-3) - David Amerson, CB, North Carolina State
- Amerson has proved his ability to intercept passes, but he has trouble in man coverage. The Broncos allow him to learn gradually while easing him into the lineup.

29. New England* (12-4) - Stedman Bailey, WR, West Virginia
- The Pats miss out on Austin (the true slot receiver of the draft), but grab his teammate who could be just as deadly in the slot.

30. Atlanta* (13-3) - Will Davis, CB, Utah State
- With the increase in passing, the Falcons need to grab some depth/youth behind Samuel and Robinson.

31. Baltimore* (10-6) - T.J. McDonald, FS, USC
- A true FS to take over for Ed reed.

32. San Francisco* (11-4-1) - Robert Alford, CB, Southeastern Louisiana
- Alford played himself into the top two rounds. He is an athletic corner with decent size.
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