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Old 02-24-2015, 12:05 PM    (permalink
BaLLiN
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Default Ballin's Mock NFL Offseason

So I've been working on this for a couple weeks, and decided I would show my work in progress especially because a lot of things I am predicting are in the process of happening. I would love for input on Free Agency because I am really frustrated trying to match a player to a team. Let me know what you think!

Suspected Cap casualties


Potential Franchise/Transition Tags

TRANSITION PLAYER: Each team may name two Transition Players and that label must remain with them until their contracts expire or until they are released. They will be paid at least the average of the top ten highest paid players at his position. A Transition Player may sign an "Offer Sheet" with any other team, but his original team has seven days to match any offer he receives. If the original team declines to match the offer, no compensation will be awarded.

FRANCHISE PLAYER: Each team may name one Franchise Player and that label must remain with him until his contract expires or until he is released. He will be paid at least the average of the top five highest paid players at his position. He may sign an "Offer Sheet" with any other team, but his original team has seven days to match any offer he receives. If the original team declines to match the offer, compensation in the form of two first round draft picks in consecutive years will be awarded from the signing team.

Expected Rates:


Candidates:
Ndamukong Suh DT Detroit Lions - If tagged he would be worth 120% of his previous salary last year, so he would have a 1 yr ~26 million dollar contract. Highly unlikely, and Suh has previously said he wants to test free agency.

Verdict:


Dez Bryant WR Dallas Cowboys - Dallas isn’t letting Dez go and he wants top dollar, I think it’s safe to say both parties want a deal, which will likely be settled before free agency.

Verdict:


Demarco Murray RB Dallas Cowboys - Dallas has seemingly put more importance on Dez’s situation than Murray’s, and with their OL likely able to yield a productive running attack w/ other RB’s, the premise on resigning him/tagging him is significantly less important than Dez.

Verdict -


Justin Houston OLB/DE Kansas City Chiefs - Tamba Hali has given statements he would personally take a pay cut to keep Houston in KC. Houston has reportedly declined contract offers from the Chiefs, will likely be tagged as a LB which is ~1.5 mil less than a DE (which Houston’s reps will likely dispute).

Verdict:


Jason Pierre-Paul DE New York Giants - JPP more or less has released a statement saying he wants to get paid, with his primary interest of himself and his family. Rumors are he is asking for 10+mil/year. If that is the JPP of old, its plausible he would get that, but his numbers are skewed and he hasn’t consistently been the player he is expected to be. Due to the Giants being light on pass rushers and JPP wanting money, I think a tag is in order to either leverage JPP to a new deal or wait and see if he regains form in 2015.

Verdict:


Antonio Cromartie CB Arizona Cardinals - Cromarite played very well last year, but did he play well enough for a 13 mil/yr contract? I think that is an obvious ‘no’. However, I do think both parties are interested in each other, and Cromartie could wind up resigning in free agency.

Verdict -


Torrey Smith WR Baltimore Ravens - After a year that he lacked major production, it is unlikely he will get the tag with the limited cap the Ravens have, but I’m sure Ozzie wants him back. Ultimately I think a deal gets done before Free Agency.

Verdict -


Pernell McPhee DE Baltimore Ravens - McPhee had a pretty good year and is likely looking to go elsewhere for his payday/playing time. It wouldn’t be cost effective for the DE tag, given Ngata and Suggs cap numbers already on the DL.

Verdict -


Jerry Hughes DE Buffalo Bills - Despite two 10 sack seasons, I find it unlikely that Rex brings Hughes back w/ the amount of money already invested in the DL.

Verdict -


Greg Hardy DE Carolina Panthers - Carolina has made some poor decisions w/ contracts and giving up 13 mil last year for one game for Hardy will likely have them ridding their roster of most of their FA’s, plus the baggage involved with Hardy’s off the field case.

Verdict -


Jordan Cameron TE Cleveland Browns - Probably the only way Cameron will be retained, who has reportedly stated he wanted out of Cleveland. With Gordon likely done with them, they must retain some of their talent.

Verdict -


Demaryius Thomas WR Denver Broncos - Easily in the top 3 WR’s in the NFL last year, if not the best. Denver will not let him go, and will likely use the tag to leverage a long term deal.

Verdict -


Terence Knighton DT Denver Broncos - “Pot roast” has been a stalwart on the DL, but Demaryius is way too important/dominant to avoid tagging. If a deal gets done for Demaryius then its possible Knighton would be next in line for the tag.

Verdict -


Julius Thomas TE Denver Broncos - Emerged as a top TE over the past few years w/ Peyton at the helm. The talent is there, but Peyton has made other TE’s look like all-pro material in the past. I think Denver lets him enter FA due to Knighton and Demaryius being higher priorities.

Verdict -


Randall Cobb WR Green Bay Packers - Has been a great utility for the offense, complementing Jordy’s size and strength with short area quickness, deadly in the redzone over the past few years. Aaron Rodgers has asked to have him signed, but I just don’t see GB investing that much money in one position. I think he may re-sign but the tag seems like a bad investment with Jordy as the primary and a budding star in Davante Adams.

Verdict -


Cecil Shorts WR Jacksonville Jaguars - Injuries and drops with scattered production lead me to the ultimate reasoning of…no way Jose.

Verdict -


Charles Clay TE Miami Dolphins - For streaks he was very productive, but has had injuries holding him back. I think he re-signs but a 8 mil/yr tag isn’t so much to invest that I think they let him test the waters.

Verdict -


Devin McCourty FS New England Patriots - With the safety tag being only 9 mil/yr, and the current precedence on safeties, I think this is a no-brainer. It may give some leverage to Revis, but ultimately I think that both will choose to stay.

Verdict -


Jeremy Maclin WR Philadelphia Eagles - Maclin at times was killing defenses deep last year despite his 2013 being wiped out by an ACL tear. I think the Eagles will try to lock him up before free agency, but the Tag may be out of their price range and another 1 year deal for Maclin isn’t likely his forte so he most likely will be signing before the deadline.

Verdict -


Jason Worilds OLB/DE Pittsburgh Steelers - Tagged with the Transition tag last year, he would be entitled to 120% of his salary last year, so likely 13+mil/yr in 2015. This is unlikely and I think Pittsburgh and Worilds will be comfortable with him entering FA.

Verdict -


Brandon Flowers CB San Diego - Might be a little much for his level of production, but pairing him with Verrett made for a good combo last year. Him being 29 and having a physical style might be leverage enough to parlay a tag to a few year contract.

Verdict -


Byron Maxwell CB Seattle Seahawks - With as much as they have invested in the DB’s, Seattle’s new focus of Lynch, Russell Wilson, and Bobby Wagner may be too much to put that much money into solidifying the LOB and keeping Simon off the field.

Verdict -



Summary of Tags Placed

Dez Bryant WR Dallas Cowboys
Justin Houston OLB Kansas City Chiefs
Jason Pierre-Paul DE New York Giants
Jordan Cameron TE Cleveland Browns
Demaryius Thomas WR Denver Broncos
Charles Clay TE Miami Dolpins
Devin McCourty FS New England Patriots
Brandon Flowers CB San Diego Chargers

2015 Free Agency

EXCLUSIVE RIGHTS FREE AGENT (ERFA): A player whose contract has expired and has three or fewer tenured years in the league. His original team must make a contract offer by the league imposed deadline or the player becomes an unrestricted free agent. No compensation is awarded for losing EFAs.

ERFA


RESTRICTED FREE AGENT (RFA): A player whose contract has expired and has fewer than four tenured years in the league. He may sign an "Offer Sheet" with any other team, but his original team has seven days to match any offer he receives. If the original team does not match the offer, compensation will be awarded in the form of draft picks from the signing team. The round and quantity of picks are determined by the "Qualifying Offer" made by the player's original team. If a RFA is tendered a minimum qualifying offer the compensation is the equivalent of the round in which that player was originally selected. If that player was originally a rookie free agent, no compensation is awarded.

RFA


RFA Tenders
1st Round: $2,880,000
2nd Round: $2,020,000
Original Round: $1,330,000

UNRESTRICTED FREE AGENT (UFA): A player whose contract has expired and has four or more tenured years in the league. He may sign with any other team with no restrictions. If a team loses more UFAs than it signs, they will be awarded "Compensatory Draft Picks" from the league. The value of the pick is determined by the difference of the contracts signed by the players lost and those acquired. If a team has signed an equal number or more UFAs than it has lost, no "Compensatory Picks" will be awarded.

PROJECTED UFA

Notable QB

Notable RB

Notable WR

Notable TE

Notable OL

Notable DE

Notable DT

Notable ILB

Notable OLB

Notable CB

Notable S


SIGNINGS

NFL DRAFT

Projected Compensatory Picks


BIG BOARD

Comings Soon...

SELECTIONS

ROUND 1

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2014 record: 2-14 (.486 strength of schedule)
Top needs: QB, OG, S, DE, ILB, CB, LT, RB

2. Tennessee Titans
2014 record: 2-14 (.506)
Top needs: QB, pass rusher, OL(C, T), CB, DB

3. Jacksonville Jaguars
2014 record: 3-13 (.514)
Top needs: OT, C, DE, S, CB, RB, TE

4. Oakland Raiders
2014 record: 3-13 (.570)
Top needs: ILB, WR, Pass rusher, C, OT

5. Washington Redskins
2014 record: 4-12 (.496)
Top needs: S, CB, Pass rusher, OT, QB

6. New York Jets
2014 record: 4-12 (.543)
Top needs: QB, CB, OG, RB, WR, ILB

7. Chicago Bears
2014 record: 5-11 (.529)
Top needs: S, OL(G, T), ILB, Pass rusher, QB?, DL

8. Atlanta Falcons
2014 record: 6-10 (.482)
Top needs: Pass rusher, ILB, S, TE, OL, RB

9. New York Giants
2014 record: 6-10 (.512)
Top needs: OL(T,G), S, Pass rusher, DT, LB, RB

10. St. Louis Rams
2014 record: 6-10 (.531)
Top needs: QB, OL(C, T, G), LB, WR

11. Minnesota Vikings
2014 record: 7-9 (.475)
Top needs: OG, ILB, RB, CB, WR

12. Cleveland Browns
2014 record: 7-9 (.479)
Top needs: WR, DL, QB, OLB, ILB, OT

13. New Orleans Saints
2014 record: 7-9 (.486)
Top needs: CB, ILB, C, pass rusher, WR, RB, QB

14. Miami Dolphins
2014 record: 8-8 (.512)
Top needs: OL(G, C), CB, S, DT, LB

15. San Francisco 49ers
2014 record: 8-8 (.527)
Top needs: WR, DE, OL, TE, CB, Passrusher

16. Houston Texans
2014 record: 9-7 (.447)
Top needs: QB, S, ILB, CB, DE, WR, OT

17. San Diego Chargers
2014 record: 9-7 (.512)
Top needs: NT, OL, Pass Rusher, WR

18. Kansas City Chiefs
2014 record: 9-7 (.512)
Top needs: WR, ILB, S, OL, QB

19. Cleveland Browns (via trade with Buffalo Bills)
2014 record: 7-9 (.479)
Top needs: WR, DL, QB, OLB, ILB, OT

20. Philadelphia Eagles
2014 record: 10-6 (.490)
Top needs: CB, S, Passrusher, OLB, DE

21. Cincinnati Bengals
2014 record: 10-5-1 (.498)
Top needs: DE, DT, LB, OL, QB

22. Pittsburgh Steelers
2014 record: 11-5 (.451)
Top needs: CB, Passrusher, OT, S, DE

23. Detroit Lions
2014 record: 11-5 (.471)
Top needs: DT, OL(T, G, C), CB

24. Arizona Cardinals
2014 record: 11-5 (.523)
Top needs: Passrusher, ILB, OL, CB, DL

25. Carolina Panthers
2014 record: 7-8-1 (.490)
Top needs: OT, WR, Pass rusher, S, RB, OLB

26. Baltimore Ravens
2014 record: 10-6 (.475)
Top needs: CB, S, WR, Pass rusher, RB, TE

27. Dallas Cowboys
2014 record: 12-4 (.445)
Top needs: DL, S, CB, RB, LB, TE

28. Denver Broncos
2014 record: 12-4 (.521)
Top needs: OL(C, G, RT), NT, TE, S

29. Indianapolis Colts
2014 record: 11-5 (.479)
Top needs: ILB, OL(C, RG), RB, Passrusher, DE

30. Green Bay Packers
2014 record: 12-4 (.482)
Top needs: ILB, CB, NT, Passrusher, RT

31. Seattle Seahawks
2014 record: 12-4 (.525)
Top needs: WR, DT, CB, G, DE

32. New England Patriots
2014 record: 12-4 (.514)
Top needs: G, WR, CB, DL, RB


ROUND 2

1. Tennessee
2014 record: 2-14 (.506)
Top needs: QB, pass rusher, OL(C, T), CB, DB

2. Tampa Bay
2014 record: 2-14 (.486 strength of schedule)
Top needs: QB, OG, S, DE, ILB, CB, LT, RB

3. Oakland
2014 record: 3-13 (.570)
Top needs: ILB, WR, Pass rusher, C, OT

4. Jacksonville
2014 record: 3-13 (.514)
Top needs: OT, C, DE, S, CB, RB, TE

5. New York Jets
2014 record: 4-12 (.543)
Top needs: QB, CB, OG, RB, WR, ILB

6. Washington
2014 record: 4-12 (.496)
Top needs: S, CB, Pass rusher, OT, QB

7. Chicago
2014 record: 5-11 (.529)
Top needs: S, OL(G, T), ILB, Pass rusher, QB?, DL

8. New York Giants
2014 record: 6-10 (.512)
Top needs: OL(T,G), S, Pass rusher, DT, LB, RB

9. St. Louis
2014 record: 6-10 (.531)
Top needs: QB, OL(C, T, G), LB, WR

10. Atlanta
2014 record: 6-10 (.482)
Top needs: Pass rusher, ILB, S, TE, OL, RB

11. Cleveland
2014 record: 7-9 (.479)
Top needs: WR, DL, QB, OLB, ILB, OT

12. New Orleans
2014 record: 7-9 (.486)
Top needs: CB, ILB, C, pass rusher, WR, RB, QB

13. Minnesota
2014 record: 7-9 (.475)
Top needs: OG, ILB, RB, CB, WR

14. San Francisco
2014 record: 8-8 (.527)
Top needs: WR, DE, OL, TE, CB, Passrusher

15. Miami
2014 record: 8-8 (.512)
Top needs: OL(G, C), CB, S, DT, LB

16. San Diego
2014 record: 9-7 (.512)
Top needs: NT, OL, Pass Rusher, WR

17. Kansas City
2014 record: 9-7 (.512)
Top needs: WR, ILB, S, OL, QB

18. Buffalo
2014 record: 7-9 (.479)
Top three needs: OT, QB, RB, DE, S

19. Houston
2014 record: 9-7 (.447)
Top needs: QB, S, ILB, CB, DE, WR, OT

20. Philadelphia
2014 record: 10-6 (.490)
Top needs: CB, S, Passrusher, OLB, DE

21. Cincinnati
2014 record: 10-5-1 (.498)
Top needs: DE, DT, LB, OL, QB

22. Detroit
2014 record: 11-5 (.471)
Top needs: DT, OL(T, G, C), CB

23. Arizona
2014 record: 11-5 (.523)
Top needs: Passrusher, ILB, OL, CB, DL

24. Pittsburgh
2014 record: 11-5 (.451)
Top needs: CB, Passrusher, OT, S, DE

25. Carolina
2014 record: 7-8-1 (.490)
Top needs: OT, WR, Pass rusher, S, RB, OLB

26. Baltimore
2014 record: 10-6 (.475)
Top needs: CB, S, WR, Pass rusher, RB, TE

27. Denver
2014 record: 12-4 (.521)
Top needs: OL(C, G, RT), NT, TE, S

28. Dallas
2014 record: 12-4 (.445)
Top needs: DL, S, CB, RB, LB, TE

29. Indianapolis
2014 record: 11-5 (.479)
Top needs: ILB, OL(C, RG), RB, Passrusher, DE

30. Green Bay
2014 record: 12-4 (.482)
Top needs: ILB, CB, NT, Passrusher, RT

31. Seattle
2014 record: 12-4 (.525)
Top needs: WR, DT, CB, G, DE

32. New England (12-4)
2014 record: 12-4 (.514)
Top needs: G, WR, CB, DL, RB

ROUND 3

1. Tampa Bay (2-14)
2. Tennessee (2-14)
3. Jacksonville (3-13)
4. Oakland (3-13)
5. Washington (4-12)
6. New York Jets (4-12)
7. Chicago (5-11)
8. St. Louis (6-10)
9. Atlanta (6-10)
10. New York Giants (6-10)
11. New Orleans (7-9)
12. Minnesota (7-9)
13. Cleveland (7-9)
14. Miami (8-8)
15. San Francisco (8-8)
16. Kansas City (9-7)
17. Buffalo (9-7)
18. Houston (9-7)
19. San Diego (9-7)
20. Philadelphia (10-6)
21. Cincinnati (10-5-1)
22. Arizona (11-5)
23. Pittsburgh (11-5)
24. Detroit (11-5)
25. Carolina (7-8-1)
26. Baltimore (10-6)
27. Dallas (12-4)
28. Denver (12-4)
29. Indianapolis (11-5)
30. Green Bay (12-4)
31. Seattle (12-4)
32. New England (12-4)
*******************
33. New England
34. Kansas City
35. Cincinnatti

ROUND 4

1. Tennessee (2-14)
2. New England - from Tampa Bay (2-14)
3. Oakland (3-13)
4. Jacksonville (3-13)
5. New York Jets (4-12)
6. Washington (4-12)
7. Chicago (5-11)
8. Atlanta (6-10)
9. New York Giants (6-10)
10. Tampa Bay - from St. Louis (6-10)
11. Minnesota (7-9)
12. Cleveland (7-9)
13. New Orleans (7-9)
14. Philadelphia - from Buffalo via San Francisco (8-8)
15. Miami (8-8)
16. Cleveland - from Buffalo (9-7)
17. Houston (9-7)
18. San Diego (9-7)
19. Kansas City (9-7)
20. Philadelphia (10-6)
21. Cincinnati (10-5-1)
22. Pittsburgh (11-5)
23. Detroit (11-5)
24. Arizona (11-5)
25. Carolina (7-8-1)
26. Baltimore (10-6)
27. San Francisco - from Denver (12-4)
28. Dallas (12-4)
29. Indianapolis (11-5)
30. Green Bay (12-4)
31. Seattle (12-4)
32. New England (12-4)
*******************
33. San Francisco
34. Baltimore
35. Seattle
36. Denver

ROUND 5

1. Buffalo - from Tampa Bay (2-14)
2. Tennessee (2-14)
3. Jacksonville (3-13)
4. Oakland (3-13)
5. Washington (4-12)
6. New York Jets (4-12)
7. Denver - from Chicago (5-11)
8. New York Giants (6-10)
9. St. Louis (6-10)
10. Atlanta (6-10)
11. Cleveland (7-9)
12. New Orleans (7-9)
13. Minnesota (7-9)
14. Miami (8-8)
15. San Francisco (8-8)
16. Houston (9-7)
17. San Diego (9-7)
18. Kansas City (9-7)
19. Buffalo (9-7)
20. Philadelphia (10-6)
21. Cincinnati (10-5-1)
22. Detroit (11-5)
23. Arizona (11-5)
24. Pittsburgh (11-5)
25. Carolina (7-8-1)
26. Tampa Bay - from Baltimore (10-6)
27. Dallas (12-4)
28. Denver (12-4)
29. Indianapolis (11-5)
30. Green Bay (12-4)
31. Seattle (12-4)
32. New England (12-4)
*******************
33. New York Giants
34. Seattle
35. Baltimore
36. Kansas City
37. Seattle
38. Kansas City

ROUND 6

1. Tennessee (2-14)
2. Tampa Bay (2-14)
3. Oakland (3-13)
4. Jacksonville (3-13)
5. New York Jets (4-12)
6. Washington (4-12)
7. Chicago (5-11)
8. Tampa Bay - from St. Louis (6-10)
9. Atlanta (6-10)
10. New York Giants (6-10)
11. New Orleans (7-9)
12. Minnesota (7-9)
13. Cleveland (7-9)
14. San Francisco (8-8)
15. Miami (8-8)
16. San Diego (9-7)
17. Kansas City (9-7)
18. Buffalo (9-7)
19. Houston (9-7)
20. Philadelphia (10-6)
21. Cincinnati (10-5-1)
22. Arizona (11-5)
23. Pittsburgh (11-5)
24. Detroit (11-5)
25. Carolina (7-8-1)
26. Cleveland - from Baltimore (10-6)
27. Denver (12-4)
28. Baltimore - from Dallas (12-4)
29. Indianapolis (11-5)
30. Green Bay (12-4)
31. Indianapolis - from Seattle (12-4)
32. New England (12-4)
*******************
33.. Houston
34. Baltimore
35. Houston
36. Pittsburgh
37. Green Bay
38. Green Bay
39. St. Louis
40. Houston
41. Seattle
42. Houston
43. Denver

ROUND 7

1. Tampa Bay (2-14)
2. Tennessee (2-14)
3. Jacksonville (3-13)
4. Oakland (3-13)
5. Washington (4-12)
6. New York Jets (4-12)
7. Chicago (5-11)
8. Atlanta (6-10)
9. New York Giants (6-10)
10. St. Louis (6-10)
11. Minnesota (7-9)
12. Cleveland (7-9)
13. New Orleans (7-9)
14. Baltimore - from Miami (8-8)
15. Miami - from San Francisco (8-8)
16. Kansas City (9-7)
17. Buffalo (9-7)
18. Houston (9-7)
19. Dallas - from San Diego (9-7)
20. Carolina - from Philadelphia (10-6)
21. Cincinnati (10-5-1)
22. Pittsburgh (11-5)
23. Detroit (11-5)
24. Arizona (11-5)
25. Carolina (7-8-1)
26. Dallas - from Baltimore (10-6)
27. Indianapolis - from Dallas (12-4)
28. New York Giants - from Denver (12-4)
29. San Francisco - from Indianapolis (11-5)
30. Green Bay (12-4)
31. Seattle (12-4)
32. Atlanta - from St. Louis via New England (12-4)
******************
33. Denver
34. Denver
35. New England
36. Indianapolis
37. Green Bay
38. Kansas City
39. Arizona
40. New Orleans
__________________

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sniper
Quote:
Originally Posted by Thumper's Rep Comment
I ****** hate you, stupid *** smd
Greatest. Rep. Comment. EVER! You're not 12 or anything.
Philadelphia, the city of brotherly love[/size]

Last edited by BaLLiN : 03-02-2015 at 01:13 PM.
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