What I do is find bettors I agree with and go with them. Colin Cowherd is actually one of the best (and getting better each year). His Blazing Five was 70% last year (up from 59% in 2011). Following his bets won you an average of $1.40 per each dollar bet. I won about $500 last year following his NFL bets.
I also put $40 during preseason on the Ravens to win the Superbowl last year. That earned me a bunch of money.
Brilliant letting one of Scott Pioli's henchmen have his own team to ruin. One of the premier GM jobs in the NFL and it gets handed to a stupid **** who makes three facepalm moves for every good one. Awesome. Just like handing a new Mercedes to a 16 year old girl who's already been in three wrecks.