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Old 01-29-2014, 07:25 PM    (permalink
Caulibflower
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Default Tradeless first round mock

1. HOU- Blake Bortles, QB - UCF
Bortles continues to rise throughout the draft process and Houston decides to take a slight gamble with the quarterback with the highest upside. Bridgewater seems safer and Manziel flashier, but the Texans decide they see a raw version of Andrew Luck and pull the trigger on the 6'4" 235lb Bortles.

2. STL- Greg Robinson, OT - Auburn
I think St. Louis will be shopping this pick hard, but since there are no trades here, they take a player they hope will help keep Sam Bradford upright and healthy. I'm tempted to take Bridgewater, but they seem to like Bradford. They've got a lot invested in Chris Long and have him paired with Robert Quinn, so Clowney would be superfluous. They don't have much to write home about on their offensive line, and I think Robinson is a legitimate top-5 talent. He's a nasty lineman with great agility, knee bend and athleticism, and he plays with a lot of power.

3. JAC- Teddy Bridgewater, QB - Louisville
This pick really doesn't require any explanation. In real life they might be trying to swap picks with the Rams, but in this version of the draft they are happy to get their franchise QB at #3.

4. CLE- Johnny "Football" Manziel, QB - Texas A&M
It's a popular pick that I like. Brian Hoyer looked nice in the short time he was on the field, but he got injured and I think this is the perfect time for Cleveland to draft a quarterback with a premium pick. If Hoyer is healthy and looks good in the preseason, I'm sure they can trade him to Oakland for a second-rounder or something. I see Manziel as worthy of a top-10 pick, so he goes to the earliest team that needs a quarterback.

5. OAK- JaDaveon Clowney, DE - South Carolina
Oakland has such a weak roster that I decided I was just going to go BPA with this pick. The quarterbacks I think are worthy of this pick are all off the board already, and I'm not going to curse them with Carr. So, Oakland gets Clowney and the ghost of Al Davis sheds a smiling tear.

6. ATL- Louis Nix, DT - Notre Dame
Second-to-last in run defense this past year, Atlanta desperately needs to reinforce their defensive line, and the 340lb Nix is just the fix. Some may think this is a slight "reach," but that's simply why teams trade around in the first round; they players they want are often going to be available at different slots than where they're seeded. The Falcons would be happy to leave day 1 with the premier space-eater in the draft.

7. TB- Jake Matthews, OT - Texas A&M
The Bucs were a middle-of-the-road team by most statistical measures, suffering from lousy quarterback play at the beginning of the season, but leveling off a bit as Mike Glennon stepped in and took his lumps while learning the game. They may try to pick up another quarterback in the middle rounds to push him, but for now their going to keep building their nucleus and solidify their offensive front. This is a team that has more talent than their record - they nearly beat the Seahawks at home earlier this year.

8. MIN- Anthony Barr, RUSH - UCLA
There are a lot of directions the Vikings could go with this pick. I'd call them a darkhorse candidate to put together a package to move up for the Rams' pick at #2 to land Bridgewater or Manziel, but for now I'm going to have to give them the best available player. I think Barr is more physical than Dion Jordan and Barkevious Mingo, but is a similar kind of player - long, fast and still has a lot of room to develop. Minnesota's pass-rushers are getting up in years but still effective, so Barr can learn from them. He's usually seen as a 3-4 OLB, but he's got the traits to be a pass-rushing defensive end in Minnesota's 4-3.

9. BUF- Sammy Watkins, WR - Clemson
There are a few directions the Bills could go here, but the best all-around wide receiver in the draft is still available when their pick comes up, so they draft the dynamic Watkins to make EJ Manuel's life easier and continue adding speed to a young and developing offensive unit.

10. DET- Justin Gilbert, CB - Oklahoma State
Another pick which could go several directions, but need wins out here and the Lions finally get a player they can match up against other teams' top receiver. Scout's 41st-ranked wide receiver coming out of high school, Gilbert gives them a ballhawking defensive back who can also contribute in the return game.

11. TEN- Khalil Mack, LB - Buffalo
The Titans add some sizzle to a lackluster linebacking corps with the explosive Mack, he of the FBS-record 75 tackles for a loss along with 16 forced fumbles. Mack gives them great size and speed along with violence and instincts and gives them an extremely active versatile piece to energize the middle of their defense.

12. NYG- Zack Martin, OT - Notre Dame
Martin continues to rise through the offseason, and New York adds a versatile lineman to help keep Eli upright. This is a pick I'm not loving but feel ok about. I chose Martin over CJ Mosley, and TEs Ebron and Amaro, thinking that New York's main troubles last year seemed to be Eli's struggles, and thinking that a solid lineman would probably be more helpful than another receiver.

13. STL- Jace Amaro, TE - Texas Tech
After taking Greg Robinson with their first pick, the Rams are now free to pick up a huge, athletic target for Sam Bradford. I buy the Jimmy Graham comparisons for Jace Amaro, and Jared Cook was a bit of a bust for them as a free agent signing, dropping a lot of passes and failing to become an impact player. Mike Evans is the other consideration here, but considering the way Sam Bradford likes to keep the game contained with short passes and crossing routes, I feel like Amaro is the better fit for the Rams offense. He and Mike Evans offer extremely similar physical skillsets, but since Amaro is already prepared to play in-line at tight end and in the slot (as well as split out wide), the versatility and safety-valve experience make him the pick. I also expect Stedman Bailey to take a step next year, further lessening their need at wideout.

14. CHI- Aaron Donald, DT - Pitt
Chicago lacked any inside presence this past year, and Donald changes that immediately. He's not really a run-stuffer, but he's a nightmare to block one-on-one and adding him to their 4-3 means adding a disruptive force to a defense that ranked dead last against the run last year. The Bears hope Paea can get back to his 2012 form and make a nice 1-2 with Donald, pairing strength with speed in the middle of their defensive line.

15. PIT- Mike Evans, WR - Texas A&M
The Steelers are woefully undersized at wide receiver, and Mike Evans gives Ben Roethlisberger the broken-play/jump ball specialist he needs. Mike Evans is a Vincent Jackson clone, a huge receiver who builds speed running downfield, and will be deadly is paired with a long-bomber type quarterback, as the Steelers have in Roethlisberger.

16. DAL- Bradley Roby, CB - Ohio State
This seems like kind of a no-brainer pick to me. The Cowboys were dreadful against the pass last year, and this is about where most people are projecting Roby to go. Just seems like a natural fit.

17. BAL- Taylor Lewan, OT - Michigan
Many expected Lewan to go higher, but he's still on the board and Ozzie Newsome makes a classic pick by stopping the slide of a talented player. Baltimore could get nothing done on the ground last year, so getting a player some people had in the top 5 in this slot has their war room fist-pumping.

18. NYJ- Marquise Lee, WR - USC
The Jets passing offense was miserable last year, so they are happy to take a legitimate no. 1-type receiver in Marquise Lee. Another player who has been sighted in the top 10 in numerous mock drafts but has seen his perceived stock dip over the last year, Marquise Lee is a polished technician who also has terrific ability to run after the catch, and the Jets must give Geno Smith a real chance in order to determine whether they think he's the long-term answer at quarterback. Lee is the real deal and they've got nothing at wideout, so this is a no-brainer.

19. MIA- Ra'Shede Hageman, DT - Minnesota
The Dolphins have several nice outside rushers but no star in the middle, so they take a chance on the immensely gifted Hageman. Hageman is very technically raw, but is an incredible physical specimen and the Dolphins have shown their willingness to go after that type of player with their selection of Dion Jordan last year. It might be a year or two before Hageman comes into his own as an NFL defensive tackle, but he looks unblockable at times on tape and his size, natural power and explosiveness are just what every defensive line coach loves to work with.

20. AZ- Cyrus Kouandjio, OT - Alabama
Arizona's weak spot has been their offensive line for years, so they make an unsexy pick and take Kouandjio here, hoping to shore up a tackle spot for awhile. They consider Eric Ebron as well, but ultimately a top offensive tackle is going to be of more help to their offense.

21. GB- Eric Ebron, TE - North Carolina
With the Jermichael Finley era over, the Packers decide to replace him with Ebron, a dynamic receiving threat I think has some similarities to Vernon Davis. He's not quite the physical specimen Davis is, which is why he's going in the latter third of the first instead of the top 10, but he's a fluid, athletic pass catcher who can do some things after the catch and will give Aaron Rodgers a nice checkdown option in the middle of the field. People will say they should've taken Stephon Tuitt, but defense is just not their style.

22. PHI- Darqueze Dennard, CB - Michigan State
Another one that requires almost no explanation at all. The Eagles were one of, if not the worst secondary in the NFL last year and Dennard should go off the board sometime in the late first/early second. The Eagles pull the trigger.

23. KC- Hasean Clinton-Dix, S - Alabama
The Chiefs remember that they need help on the back end and take vidae's favorite safety. They have few other major holes, so it's a fairly straightforward selection with their choice of the top safeties in the draft all still available.

24. CIN- C.J. Mosley, LB - Alabama
Without a glaring need, Cincinnati decides to stop the slide of a player who many consider a top-10 talent and add him to an already ferocious defense. While Burfict had a terrific season last year, Rey Maualuga is solid but unspectacular in the middle and James Harrison is old, so despite it not seeming like a need, Mosley is likely going to see the field early and often. Cincy's linebacker group goes from good to scary.

25. SD- Calvin Pryor, S - Louisville
San Diego is another fairly well-balanced roster, but they lack an impact player across from Eric Weddle. It's not the most exciting pick in the world, but in Pryor they lock down the back of their secondary with a big hitter to roam the middle. Not a lot to say about this pick, it just made the most sense considering San Diego's roster and the players available. He's a good value here.

26. CLE- Gabe Jackson, OG - Mississippi State
The Browns decide to take the nastiest lineman still on the board here, to help keep defenders off of Johnny Manziel and especially to help clear lanes for the running back they intend to draft on day 2.

27. NO- Stephon Tuitt, DE/DT - Notre Dame.
New Orleans suffered from lackluster play from their defensive line last year outside of Cameron Jordan, and Tuitt is a very similar player they can line up on the other side from him, immediately improving their run defense and adding some more beef to their front 3.

28. CAR- Davante Adams, WR - Fresno State
The pick here raises a few eyebrows and the "reach" word is thrown around, but the simple fact of the matter is that Cam Newton desperately needs a no. 1 wideout to grow with and Adams fits the bill. It's this team's number one need, and they take the 6'2", 215lb Adams to give Cam a reliable target who can win one-on-one matchups. Adams has great body control and can pluck the ball out of the air away from defensive backs, and will have a great mentor in Steve Smith to continue learning the nuances of playing wide receiver. I see him as having a similar skillset as Keenan Allen, who I was adamant should have been a higher pick last year, slow 40 time notwithstanding. I expect Davante Adams to run faster than that, and he's got long arms and is reputed to have a 40+ inch vertical - he has a ton of athletic potential, although he wasn't in a "pro-style" offense at Fresno State, so he'll have some things to learn. This is a pick that might take a couple of years to really pay off, but in the long run it should be a good investment.

29. NE- Timmy Jernigan, DT - Florida State
The Pats are very pleased to see Timy Jernigan still on the board, and add a dynamic player to shore up their shoddy run defense.

30. SF- Brandin Cooks, WR/RET - Oregon State
Needing to add some spice to their wide receiver group, the 49ers add the diminutive wideout from up the coast. While thinking about this pick, I thought about which player I would least like for the Seahawks to have to play against three times a year, and Cooks is one who would do the most the change the dynamics of games. San Francisco already has several big wideouts, but they really lack a player on their offense who adds speed and elusiveness, and Cooks will give them that as well as a nice returner. I was never a big fan of LaMicheal James and see Cooks taking over his return role as well as immediately getting significant snaps as a slot receiver. I wouldn't expect him to post big yardage totals, but he adds a totally new and dangerous element to this offense and forces defenses to account for him whenever he's in the game, which will do a lot to help an offense whose identity up til now has been smashmouth football. It'll be a whole new kind of scary to have a player who's always a threat to squirt free.

31. DEN- Jason Verrett, CB - TCU
It's a good thing that Denver has the best passing offense any of us have ever seen, because they can't stop anybody's passing, either. They opt for the best cornerback left on their board and begin to acknowledge that Champ Bailey can't play forever.

32. SEA- Ryan Shazier, OLB - Ohio State
Pete Carroll and John Schneider love their players to have elite athletic ability, and that's who Ryan Shazier is. He's got terrific speed and athleticism, and is just the kind of chase linebacker the Seahawks want to have at OLB. Drafting him also allows them to be comfortable letting Cliff Avril leave in free agency and moving Bruce Irvin back to the LEO spot.


Edited in light of Vidae's comment. I've heard many times that Kansas City needs help alongside Berry at safety, I just forgot. The rest of the mock reflects that now.

Last edited by Caulibflower : 01-30-2014 at 01:33 AM.
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Old 01-29-2014, 07:28 PM    (permalink
CBFAlex
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Browns would be dumd to get te 3rd best qb with the 4th pick, there better off trading up to two (i know you didnt want to do trades) or taking watkins or clowney
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Old 01-29-2014, 07:30 PM    (permalink
Caulibflower
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I think the third-best quarterback is a legitimate top ten pick, so it makes sense for me. The top three guys this year all look like legit players in my eyes.
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Old 01-29-2014, 07:41 PM    (permalink
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I like the panther pick. I could see him going in the late 1st after the process.
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Old 01-29-2014, 10:04 PM    (permalink
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The Chiefs pick is usually ok, but with BOTH Safeties on the board they absolutely have to take one. My preference is Clinton-Dix, but one of those guys needs to be wearing Chiefs red if they're available. Kendrick Lewis is the single worst football player in the NFL and can't start again.
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Old 01-29-2014, 10:22 PM    (permalink
Caulibflower
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Duly noted. I'll bear that in mind if I do another one; too complicated to revise. I'm tired.
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Old 01-29-2014, 11:06 PM    (permalink
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Screw the Chiefs - we need a safety more than they do. Let Clinton-Dix fall I say.
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Old 01-29-2014, 11:44 PM    (permalink
Caulibflower
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Edited it. New Orleans is happy with the changes.
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Old 01-30-2014, 01:16 AM    (permalink
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I'd be shocked if we took Hageman over Kouandjio in that situation, but I can't argue because I love Hageman as a prospect.
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Old 01-30-2014, 01:50 AM    (permalink
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I see Lee in so many mocks to us I worry that it might actually happen. In any case, I like targeting a WR in the 1st.
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Old 01-30-2014, 01:15 PM    (permalink
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CBFAlex View Post
Browns would be dumd to get te 3rd best qb with the 4th pick, there better off trading up to two (i know you didnt want to do trades) or taking watkins or clowney
Pretty sure he's #1 on their QB board
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Old 01-30-2014, 01:24 PM    (permalink
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I think id prefer Lee, Ebron, or Haha over Evans
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Old 01-30-2014, 02:20 PM    (permalink
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With the hiring of Kubiak there's a real chance that Baltimore's offensive line needs are a guard and a center instead of tackle and a center. Osemele fits at guard in Castillo's system but if Kubiak and Dennsion get their way he'll probably be kicked back out to right tackle. It's really hard to say at this point. Lewan wouldn't be a bad pick if Castillo is able to run what he wants.
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Old 01-30-2014, 02:51 PM    (permalink
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The Saints had a solid defensive line last year. Jordan Pro-Bowl, Hicks was a second year player who plays like a 3-4 DE by occupying blocks, and Bunkley and 3rd rounder Jenkins played the NT very well. We also had a UDFA in Foster who came up and did decent too. One would say DL is probably our best group overall.

We need CB's, a ILB, RT, FS, and maybe another OLB. DL would be near the bottom.
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Old 01-30-2014, 03:21 PM    (permalink
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16. DAL- Bradley Roby, CB - Ohio State
This seems like kind of a no-brainer pick to me. The Cowboys were dreadful against the pass last year, and this is about where most people are projecting Roby to go. Just seems like a natural fit.
... That's an awful pick to be brutally honest. Our safety play was atrocious and our pass rushers weren't hitting home. Blaming Carr, Claiborne, and Scandrick for not covering for 10 seconds is awful logic. Add in that due to rushing 4 not working we asked our corners to play a TON of off zone/man when ideally they would be pressing.

Our biggest needs BY FAR are across the defensive line and at FS. I'd lean heavily towards DL to start with and Hageman would be a very nice pick in this scenario.

Another option would be replacing Doug Free who could be on his way out this year/next year. Lewan would have excellent value at this slot.
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Old 01-30-2014, 03:24 PM    (permalink
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fwiw Roby looks much more like a safety than corner, but no way in hell should he go over Haha or in the first round at all
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Old 01-30-2014, 10:31 PM    (permalink
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I don't mind a OG in the first, but it won't be Gabe Jackson. I like him but he's no where near as stout as he looks. Even though he's massive, he's more of a technician than a brute. When he doesn't use great technique, he gets rocked.

If the Browns draft Manziel, they need to lock up Hoyer long term as well. They'll need a fringe caliber starter at the ready when JM gets dinged.

The rest...

I think Ebron's going top ten. Perhaps not the specimen Davis was, but who is? He's a better football player than Davis, I'd say.

Nix didn't have as good a year as last...and he's got to clear medicals on his knees. I don't see him going as high as he would've been last year.
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Old 01-31-2014, 08:34 AM    (permalink
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I would be satisfied with Barr if the first 7 picks went down that way. We certainly need the defensive help & certainly don't need to reach for a QB again...
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Old 01-31-2014, 08:38 AM    (permalink
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I think even if Boldin isn't resigned, Niners are probably leaning towards a CB more than a WR. That is a position that is in dire need.
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Old 01-31-2014, 09:06 AM    (permalink
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Not feeling the Cowboys Pick at all, although you are right the the defense (including the secondary) was horrible in general last season. With Brandon Carr and Orlando Scandrick signed to long term deals and a former top 10 pick in Claiborne on the depth charts I doubt they take a swing at CB in the first round. By chance they decided a CB was the BPA, Roby wouldn't be my top choice with Darqueze Dennard still on the board.

The top choice around Cowboy fanworld has been Aaron Donald for a while. If he isn't available, like in your scenario, I think the team would continue to look at the best defensive talent left on the board or trade down. With Spencer and Hatcher likely gone, Ware another year older, and two street free agents from last year projected to be starters there is a huge hole along the D-line specificly.
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Old 01-31-2014, 10:59 AM    (permalink
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Saints defensive line is solid and has good depth. Our needs are WR, CB, RT, OLB, and FS. We could also add dept at ILB.
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Old 01-31-2014, 11:49 AM    (permalink
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meh I'll pass and go defense instead.
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Old 01-31-2014, 12:02 PM    (permalink
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I haven't been keeping up lately, but who is thinking Roby would go in that range?

Last I know he's been in the early to mid 2nd round range.
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Old 01-31-2014, 07:07 PM    (permalink
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Brent View Post
I think even if Boldin isn't resigned, Niners are probably leaning towards a CB more than a WR. That is a position that is in dire need.
Maybe, but their offense is really mundane outside of Kaepernick and they've got to add a legitimate splash player at some point. LaMichael James is not going to be that guy. I didn't realize it when I put this together, but Scott's got them taking Cooks, too. I watch the 49ers several times a year, so I feel like I know their team pretty well. Their corners might not be the best in the league, but they're serviceable. Cooks would truly add something they don't have right now.

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Not feeling the Cowboys Pick at all, although you are right the the defense (including the secondary) was horrible in general last season. With Brandon Carr and Orlando Scandrick signed to long term deals and a former top 10 pick in Claiborne on the depth charts I doubt they take a swing at CB in the first round. By chance they decided a CB was the BPA, Roby wouldn't be my top choice with Darqueze Dennard still on the board.

The top choice around Cowboy fanworld has been Aaron Donald for a while. If he isn't available, like in your scenario, I think the team would continue to look at the best defensive talent left on the board or trade down. With Spencer and Hatcher likely gone, Ware another year older, and two street free agents from last year projected to be starters there is a huge hole along the D-line specificly.
I forgot about Claiborne, honestly. My next one will be better. Appreciate all the feedback.
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Old 02-03-2014, 10:02 AM    (permalink
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9. BUF- Sammy Watkins, WR - Clemson
Roger that pick...
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